Originally Posted by
Lehigh Football Nation
NIL is a clusterf- of a mess. What an absolute mockery of its intent. It's quite possible that the squabbling over valuation (good luck using Scout star ratings to rate the incoming pay of incoming freshmen!) Title IX (I see no earthly way shoveling 95%+ money to male athletes will comply with Title IX opportunities prongs) and changing rules for fairness (people are thinking this will be managed by roster size and eliminating walk-ons - really? Did anyone see what happened to the PL when they shrank roster sizes?) and the House judge (who still might not agree about the settlement), this may still all unravel.
Involving FCS, almost all the schools here will be prioritizing men's basketball over football, which is way more cost-efficient (one induced paid player in hoops can carry a team vs. dozens in football). Considering the richest schools will just poach the Conference Players of the Year, too, it will be much harder to have good success consistently. At least a generational player in hoops can mean one-and-done but a run in the tournament.
I think the ultimate endgame here is going to be semipro P5 athletics, devoid of education that will long-term fail, and some sort of new NCAA-like entity that emerges from the FCS, Big East and possibly the rest of the membership. There are thorny issues to iron out but I don't think NIL will be what it is today, which is unsustainable. The NCAA made a huge mistake soaking 95% of the membership on House for that settlement. That one move I think will be the end of the NCAA.