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November 7th, 2011, 07:17 AM
Here are a few clarifications for the playoff field of 20: The Ivy League does not participate in the playoffs- The SWAC will send its division champions to the SWAC title game. Assume a team must also reach 7 D1 wins to be eligible.for an at large. ALSO there are teams with still a chance of winning their Autobid but I have not listed due to upcoming schedule, will add as necessary.
FCS teams that can still entertain realistic playoff hopes. Schools are ranked by their chances of making the playoffs.. Current overall and conference records are in parentheses, and each team’s remaining schedule is listed with a brief synopsis of its chances. The adds of AQ means they got the Autobid or IN means I believe they have already made the field,regardless of how they finish. The rank below is based on being in the playoffs not where I believe they will be seated.
1. North Dakota State (9-0, 6-0 MVC)
The Games: Young State, at W. Illinois
Outlook: IN The Bison are in and in control of the top seed!
2. Montana State (9-1, 6-1 Big Sky)
The Games: Montana
Outlook: IN Only Montana is a road block to a top seed for the Bobcats
3. Ga Southern (8-1, 6-1 Southern)
The Games: at Wofford, at Alabama
Outlook: IN GSU lost some control but a win over Wofford will keep them alive for a top seed
4. Montana (8-2, 6-1 Big Sky)
The Games: at Montana State
Outlook:IN The Grizzles are now looking at the showdown with Montana State a win gives them the AB.
5. Wofford (7-2, 5-1 Southern)
The Games: GSU, at UTC
Outlook: IN Terriers needs one more win – 2 gives them the autobid and a top seed
6. Northern Iowa (7-2, 6-1 MVC)
The Games: S. Utah, at Ill State
Outlook: IN No longer in control of the autobid and now a tough schedule remains, needs two more wins to erase any doubt - but I have them in regardless.
7. Old Dominion (8-2, 5-2 CAA)
The Games: at W&M
Outlook: IN ODU grabs their first postseason spot!
8. Sam Houston State IN (9-0, 6-0 Southland)
The Games: at N’wstern State, at Texas State
Outlook: Have the easiest schedule remaining – an undefeated season and a top seed is possible
9. Lehigh (8-1, 3-0 Patriot)
The Games: Georgetown, Lafayette
Outlook: On a roll and should get the autobid –doubtful on a seed
10. Liberty (7-3, 5-0 Big South)
The Games: at Stony Brook
Outlook: In the drivers seat for the AB, a loss to SB could change everything and could eliminate them from the playoffs
11. Albany (6-3, 5-1 NEC)
The Games: at Monmouth, Sacred Heart
Outlook: Trouble ahead for Albany a loss this weekend has them in a must win to clinch the AB…
12. Norfolk State (8-2. 6-1 MEAC)
The Games: at Morgan State
Outlook: Needs to keep winning to secure Autobid , a loss would put them in a logjam
13. New Hampshire (7-2, 5-1 CAA)
The Games: at Towson, Maine
Outlook: What an exciting last two weeks – they need just one more win to secure a postseason berth.
14. Towson (7-2, 5-1 CAA)
The Games: N. Hampshire, at R. Island
Outlook: Needs to win out but a tough test this weekend – at least one more victory gives them a playoff berth
15. Maine (7-2, 5-1 CAA)
The Games: UMass, at N. Hampshire
Outlook: The CAA is turned upside down and now a 3 way tie at the top – hard to say who will finish where at this point? – one more win sends them to the postseason.
16. Appalachian State (6-3, 4-2 Southern)
The Games: WCU, at Elon
Outlook: Stunning loss at Furman took the Apps from a top 4 seed to needing a win fast – just one more will secure a postseason berth – two keeps them from playing on Thanksgiving. - erractic play has returned at the wrong time and Jackson is not looking very good as of late - can you say Pressley?
17. Furman (6-3, 5-2 Southern)
The Games: Elon, at Florida
Outlook: The Socon could be the premier conference this year – Furman did what they had to do a win over Elon guarentees a playoff bid they could still win the AB…by all looks they will be practicing on Turkey day and should host a first round game.
18. Illinois State (7-3, 5-2 MVC)
The Games: N. Iowa
Outlook: MUST WIN and they are in – four losses could still have then in as they are from a strong conference.
19. Eastern Kentucky (6-3, 5-1 OVC)
The Games: Tenn Tech, UT Martin
Outlook: Starting to emerge as the top team in the OVC – must keep winning this is a one bid league
20. Central Arkansas (7-3, 6-1 Southland)
The Games: Texas State
Outlook: Still alive but must keep winning to have a shot at the playoffs.
21. Indiana State (5-4, 3-3 MVC)
The Games: at MO State, S. Illinois
Outlook: Very much in the hunt and a strong schedule with 4 losses they will be hard to leave out.
22. Stony Brook (6-3, 4-0 Big South)
The Games: at Gardner Webb, Liberty
Outlook: Win out and they are in – all they have to do now is just beat Liberty.
23. James Madison (5-4, 3-3 CAA)
The Games: R. Island, at UMASS
Outlook: JMU continues to drop and I see a loss which means they will be eliminated
24. UT Martin (5-4, 4-2 OVC)
The Games: at Tenn St., at EKU
Outlook: Martin needs EKU to win this weekend and they need to win out to be in the AB mix..but a lot of scenarios left
25. Dusquene (7-2, 5-1 NEC)
The Games: at Sacred Heart, Robert Morris
Outlook: Needs to win out and have Albany lose and they would grab the AB.
26. Morgan State (5-4, 4-2 MEAC)
The Games: Norfolk State, Hampton
Outlook: Showdown is on this weekend – if they have any hope they must win out..
27. Tennessee Tech (5-3, 4-2 OVC)
The Games: at EKU, Austin Peay
Outlook: Must win out, but what a tough schedule the game at EKU looms large
28. Youngstown State (5-4, 3-3 MVC)
The Games: at NDSU, MO State
Outlook: Still alive but must win their last two - but I don’t see them making it.
29. Georgetown (8-2, 4-1 Patriot)
The Games: at Lehigh
Outlook: If they beat Lehigh they will burst someone’s bubble around the country and grab the Autobid – that will likely be from the MVC or Southland if it happens.
30. Jacksonville State (5-4, 4-2 OVC)
The Games: at SEMOSt, at Tenn State
Outlook: What happened - things are not looking so good and a surging EKU team is next – another loss would likely end Jax State’s post season’s aspirations.
31. SC State, Bethune, Fla A&M, Hampton (MEAC)
Outlook: All of these teams are still alive for the moment…
Below are my current projections for the I-AA playoff field.
Automatic Bids:
Patriot: Lehigh CAA: Towson
Big Sky: Montana State Southland: Sam Houston State
Southern: GSU MVC: NDSU
MEAC: Norfolk State OVC: EKU
Big South: Liberty NEC: Albany
At-large:
GSU, ASU, Furman, N. Hamp, Montana, Maine, Ill St, C. Ark, ODU, N. Iowa
Seeds: Wofford, Montana State, Towson, Sam Houston State, NDSU
Last In: N. Hampshire, C Arkansas
Last Out: Indiana State, Tenn Tech, UTC, JMU
Bracket I:
Norfolk State @ Liberty winner at No. 1 NDSU
N. Iowa @ Montana
Albany @ N. Hampshire winner at No. 4 GSU
Lehigh @ No. 5 Towson
Bracket II:
EKU @ Furman winner at No. 3 Sam Houston State
ODU @ ASU
C. Arkansas @ Ill State winner at No. 2 Montana State
Wofford @ Maine
FCS teams that can still entertain realistic playoff hopes. Schools are ranked by their chances of making the playoffs.. Current overall and conference records are in parentheses, and each team’s remaining schedule is listed with a brief synopsis of its chances. The adds of AQ means they got the Autobid or IN means I believe they have already made the field,regardless of how they finish. The rank below is based on being in the playoffs not where I believe they will be seated.
1. North Dakota State (9-0, 6-0 MVC)
The Games: Young State, at W. Illinois
Outlook: IN The Bison are in and in control of the top seed!
2. Montana State (9-1, 6-1 Big Sky)
The Games: Montana
Outlook: IN Only Montana is a road block to a top seed for the Bobcats
3. Ga Southern (8-1, 6-1 Southern)
The Games: at Wofford, at Alabama
Outlook: IN GSU lost some control but a win over Wofford will keep them alive for a top seed
4. Montana (8-2, 6-1 Big Sky)
The Games: at Montana State
Outlook:IN The Grizzles are now looking at the showdown with Montana State a win gives them the AB.
5. Wofford (7-2, 5-1 Southern)
The Games: GSU, at UTC
Outlook: IN Terriers needs one more win – 2 gives them the autobid and a top seed
6. Northern Iowa (7-2, 6-1 MVC)
The Games: S. Utah, at Ill State
Outlook: IN No longer in control of the autobid and now a tough schedule remains, needs two more wins to erase any doubt - but I have them in regardless.
7. Old Dominion (8-2, 5-2 CAA)
The Games: at W&M
Outlook: IN ODU grabs their first postseason spot!
8. Sam Houston State IN (9-0, 6-0 Southland)
The Games: at N’wstern State, at Texas State
Outlook: Have the easiest schedule remaining – an undefeated season and a top seed is possible
9. Lehigh (8-1, 3-0 Patriot)
The Games: Georgetown, Lafayette
Outlook: On a roll and should get the autobid –doubtful on a seed
10. Liberty (7-3, 5-0 Big South)
The Games: at Stony Brook
Outlook: In the drivers seat for the AB, a loss to SB could change everything and could eliminate them from the playoffs
11. Albany (6-3, 5-1 NEC)
The Games: at Monmouth, Sacred Heart
Outlook: Trouble ahead for Albany a loss this weekend has them in a must win to clinch the AB…
12. Norfolk State (8-2. 6-1 MEAC)
The Games: at Morgan State
Outlook: Needs to keep winning to secure Autobid , a loss would put them in a logjam
13. New Hampshire (7-2, 5-1 CAA)
The Games: at Towson, Maine
Outlook: What an exciting last two weeks – they need just one more win to secure a postseason berth.
14. Towson (7-2, 5-1 CAA)
The Games: N. Hampshire, at R. Island
Outlook: Needs to win out but a tough test this weekend – at least one more victory gives them a playoff berth
15. Maine (7-2, 5-1 CAA)
The Games: UMass, at N. Hampshire
Outlook: The CAA is turned upside down and now a 3 way tie at the top – hard to say who will finish where at this point? – one more win sends them to the postseason.
16. Appalachian State (6-3, 4-2 Southern)
The Games: WCU, at Elon
Outlook: Stunning loss at Furman took the Apps from a top 4 seed to needing a win fast – just one more will secure a postseason berth – two keeps them from playing on Thanksgiving. - erractic play has returned at the wrong time and Jackson is not looking very good as of late - can you say Pressley?
17. Furman (6-3, 5-2 Southern)
The Games: Elon, at Florida
Outlook: The Socon could be the premier conference this year – Furman did what they had to do a win over Elon guarentees a playoff bid they could still win the AB…by all looks they will be practicing on Turkey day and should host a first round game.
18. Illinois State (7-3, 5-2 MVC)
The Games: N. Iowa
Outlook: MUST WIN and they are in – four losses could still have then in as they are from a strong conference.
19. Eastern Kentucky (6-3, 5-1 OVC)
The Games: Tenn Tech, UT Martin
Outlook: Starting to emerge as the top team in the OVC – must keep winning this is a one bid league
20. Central Arkansas (7-3, 6-1 Southland)
The Games: Texas State
Outlook: Still alive but must keep winning to have a shot at the playoffs.
21. Indiana State (5-4, 3-3 MVC)
The Games: at MO State, S. Illinois
Outlook: Very much in the hunt and a strong schedule with 4 losses they will be hard to leave out.
22. Stony Brook (6-3, 4-0 Big South)
The Games: at Gardner Webb, Liberty
Outlook: Win out and they are in – all they have to do now is just beat Liberty.
23. James Madison (5-4, 3-3 CAA)
The Games: R. Island, at UMASS
Outlook: JMU continues to drop and I see a loss which means they will be eliminated
24. UT Martin (5-4, 4-2 OVC)
The Games: at Tenn St., at EKU
Outlook: Martin needs EKU to win this weekend and they need to win out to be in the AB mix..but a lot of scenarios left
25. Dusquene (7-2, 5-1 NEC)
The Games: at Sacred Heart, Robert Morris
Outlook: Needs to win out and have Albany lose and they would grab the AB.
26. Morgan State (5-4, 4-2 MEAC)
The Games: Norfolk State, Hampton
Outlook: Showdown is on this weekend – if they have any hope they must win out..
27. Tennessee Tech (5-3, 4-2 OVC)
The Games: at EKU, Austin Peay
Outlook: Must win out, but what a tough schedule the game at EKU looms large
28. Youngstown State (5-4, 3-3 MVC)
The Games: at NDSU, MO State
Outlook: Still alive but must win their last two - but I don’t see them making it.
29. Georgetown (8-2, 4-1 Patriot)
The Games: at Lehigh
Outlook: If they beat Lehigh they will burst someone’s bubble around the country and grab the Autobid – that will likely be from the MVC or Southland if it happens.
30. Jacksonville State (5-4, 4-2 OVC)
The Games: at SEMOSt, at Tenn State
Outlook: What happened - things are not looking so good and a surging EKU team is next – another loss would likely end Jax State’s post season’s aspirations.
31. SC State, Bethune, Fla A&M, Hampton (MEAC)
Outlook: All of these teams are still alive for the moment…
Below are my current projections for the I-AA playoff field.
Automatic Bids:
Patriot: Lehigh CAA: Towson
Big Sky: Montana State Southland: Sam Houston State
Southern: GSU MVC: NDSU
MEAC: Norfolk State OVC: EKU
Big South: Liberty NEC: Albany
At-large:
GSU, ASU, Furman, N. Hamp, Montana, Maine, Ill St, C. Ark, ODU, N. Iowa
Seeds: Wofford, Montana State, Towson, Sam Houston State, NDSU
Last In: N. Hampshire, C Arkansas
Last Out: Indiana State, Tenn Tech, UTC, JMU
Bracket I:
Norfolk State @ Liberty winner at No. 1 NDSU
N. Iowa @ Montana
Albany @ N. Hampshire winner at No. 4 GSU
Lehigh @ No. 5 Towson
Bracket II:
EKU @ Furman winner at No. 3 Sam Houston State
ODU @ ASU
C. Arkansas @ Ill State winner at No. 2 Montana State
Wofford @ Maine