FCS BCS 11/3/11 and Projected Playoff Field

[UNIFanSince1983]

Okay so I haven't done this in a couple weeks, but I have been fairly busy. I am putting up my FCS BCS rankings. It finally has all the computer ratings so it should be a little better. I am also going to put what I predict the playoff field to be based on my current BCS standings.


1 N Dakota St. 0.996
2 Montana St. 0.888
3 Sam Houston St. 0.884
4 Appalachian St. 0.838
5 Ga Southern 0.828
6 Northern Iowa 0.811
7 Maine 0.782
8 Wofford 0.688
9 Lehigh 0.681
10 Montana 0.636
11 New Hampshire 0.606
12 Old Dominion 0.490
13 James Madison 0.368
14 Harvard 0.349
15 Indiana St. 0.348
16 Towson 0.348
17 Illinois St. 0.322
18 Cal Poly 0.228
19 Furman 0.223
20 Brown 0.187
21 Liberty 0.185
22 Delaware 0.165
23 Central Arkansas 0.129
24 Jacksonville St. 0.129
25 Jackson St. 0.122


Playoff Projections

Conference AQ
Big Sky -- Montana State
Big South -- Liberty
CAA -- Maine
MEAC -- Norfolk St.
MVFC -- NDSU
NEC -- Albany
OVC -- Tennessee Tech
Patriot -- Lehigh
SoCon -- Georgia Southern
Southland -- Sam Houston St.

At-Large Teams
Appalachian St.
Northern Iowa
Wofford
Montana
New Hampshire
Old Dominion
James Madison
Indiana St.
Towson
Illinois St.

[Squealofthepig]

Definitely BCS-ish - no love for the smaller conferences!

[BisonFan02]

Definitely BCS-ish - no love for the smaller conferences!

And way too much love for the Ivies that are included...but that's beating a dead horse with BCS computer calculations.

[james_lawfirm]

Okay so I haven't done this in a couple weeks, but I have been fairly busy. I am putting up my FCS BCS rankings. It finally has all the computer ratings so it should be a little better. I am also going to put what I predict the playoff field to be based on my current BCS standings.


1 N Dakota St. 0.996
2 Montana St. 0.888
3 Sam Houston St. 0.884
4 Appalachian St. 0.838
5 Ga Southern 0.828
6 Northern Iowa 0.811
7 Maine 0.782
8 Wofford 0.688
9 Lehigh 0.681
10 Montana 0.636
11 New Hampshire 0.606
12 Old Dominion 0.490
13 James Madison 0.368
14 Harvard 0.349
15 Indiana St. 0.348
16 Towson 0.348
17 Illinois St. 0.322
18 Cal Poly 0.228
19 Furman 0.223
20 Brown 0.187
21 Liberty 0.185
22 Delaware 0.165
23 Central Arkansas 0.129
24 Jacksonville St. 0.129
25 Jackson St. 0.122


Playoff Projections

Conference AQ
Big Sky -- Montana State
Big South -- Liberty
CAA -- Maine
MEAC -- Norfolk St.
MVFC -- NDSU
NEC -- Albany
OVC -- Tennessee Tech
Patriot -- Lehigh
SoCon -- Georgia Southern
Southland -- Sam Houston St.

At-Large Teams
Appalachian St.
Northern Iowa
Wofford
Montana
New Hampshire
Old Dominion
James Madison
Indiana St.
Towson
Illinois St.

Well, great job! I think. However, unless App loses at Furman & GaSo beats Wofford, no way GaSo gets the AQ. Assuming App wins out (Furman, Elon & Western), then App gets the AQ if GaSo beats Wofford. BUT, if Wofford beats GaSo, then Wofford gets the AQ. I'd say the likely scenario is App > Furman & GaSo > Wofford, so App = AQ.

[UNIFanSince1983]

Well, great job! I think. However, unless App loses at Furman & GaSo beats Wofford, no way GaSo gets the AQ. Assuming App wins out (Furman, Elon & Western), then App gets the AQ if GaSo beats Wofford. BUT, if Wofford beats GaSo, then Wofford gets the AQ. I'd say the likely scenario is App > Furman & GaSo > Wofford, so App = AQ.

Doesn't really matter as they would all be in no matter what.

[james_lawfirm]

Doesn't really matter as they would all be in no matter what.

Well, yeah, I agree. But, hey, this is a message board. Arguing fine points of detail that don't really matter is expected.

[Go Apps]

Well, great job! I think. However, unless App loses at Furman & GaSo beats Wofford, no way GaSo gets the AQ. Assuming App wins out (Furman, Elon & Western), then App gets the AQ if GaSo beats Wofford. BUT, if Wofford beats GaSo, then Wofford gets the AQ. I'd say the likely scenario is App > Furman & GaSo > Wofford, so App = AQ.

Unless Wofford loses to UTC, then APP gets if they win out

[eaglewraith]

Unless Wofford loses to UTC, then APP gets if they win out

Let's just simplify this. Go ahead and lose to Furman :)

[appfan2008]

App should have the AQ over GSU after beating them...

[eaglewraith]

App should have the AQ over GSU after beating them...

Not a given yet.

[UNIFanSince1983]

Well Wofford is the only team that controls their own destiny at this point, so I probably should have given it to them. Obviously, it doesn't make a difference in a conference like the Southern because all 3 teams in the running are getting in at this point.

[kevin1633]

Okay so I haven't done this in a couple weeks, but I have been fairly busy. I am putting up my FCS BCS rankings. It finally has all the computer ratings so it should be a little better. I am also going to put what I predict the playoff field to be based on my current BCS standings.


1 N Dakota St. 0.996
2 Montana St. 0.888
3 Sam Houston St. 0.884
4 Appalachian St. 0.838
5 Ga Southern 0.828
6 Northern Iowa 0.811
7 Maine 0.782
8 Wofford 0.688
9 Lehigh 0.681
10 Montana 0.636
11 New Hampshire 0.606
12 Old Dominion 0.490
13 James Madison 0.368
14 Harvard 0.349
15 Indiana St. 0.348
16 Towson 0.348
17 Illinois St. 0.322
18 Cal Poly 0.228
19 Furman 0.223
20 Brown 0.187
21 Liberty 0.185
22 Delaware 0.165
23 Central Arkansas 0.129
24 Jacksonville St. 0.129
25 Jackson St. 0.122


Playoff Projections

Conference AQ
Big Sky -- Montana State
Big South -- Liberty
CAA -- Maine
MEAC -- Norfolk St.
MVFC -- NDSU
NEC -- Albany
OVC -- Tennessee Tech
Patriot -- Lehigh
SoCon -- Georgia Southern
Southland -- Sam Houston St.

At-Large Teams
Appalachian St.
Northern Iowa
Wofford
Montana
New Hampshire
Old Dominion
James Madison
Indiana St.
Towson
Illinois St.


So you have the teams, what does your bracket (games) look like?

[tingly]

It's just whatever the numbers say, so no looking at conference records or host bids or anything.