Playoff Eliminator Countdown

[superman7515]

Although there is no rule specifically prohibiting the playoff committee from inviting a team with six Division 1 wins, preference is given to those that have seven D1 wins or more, so the chances of a team getting in with only six D1 wins is slim (you pretty much have to win the conference like Coastal Carolina). Here is who is in trouble after Week 4 (not including Independent/Ivy/SWAC)...

Can't make it to seven D1 wins:
Charleston Southern
North Carolina Central
North Dakota
South Dakota

Must win out:
Butler
Cal Poly
Central Arkansas
Eastern Washington
Gardner-Webb
Howard
Liberty
Missouri State
Morehead State
Nicholls State
Northern Colorado
Presbyterian
Southeast Missouri State
Stephen F Austin
Stony Brook
UC Davis
Virginia Military Institute

[BlueHenSinfonian]

Aren't USD and UND still playoff ineligible anyway?

[superman7515]

I think so but I just went through it by the conferences.

[HailSzczur]

2 playoff teams from last year already staring down playoff elimination, wow. I'm glad Nova survived this week without joining these ranks, but thats soon to come I'm sure.

[DJKyR0]

Aren't USD and UND still playoff ineligible anyway?

Still an indicator as to what kind of schedule one needs to have/get to reach the magic number seven. When five of your games are anticipated losses or non-counters, you set yourself up to lose by default, almost.

[UNHFootballAlum]

Although there is no rule specifically prohibiting the playoff committee from inviting a team with six Division 1 wins, preference is given to those that have seven D1 wins or more, so the chances of a team getting in with only six D1 wins is slim (you pretty much have to win the conference like Coastal Carolina). Here is who is in trouble after Week 4 (not including Independent/Ivy/SWAC)...

Can't make it to seven D1 wins:
Charleston Southern
North Carolina Central
North Dakota
South Dakota

Must win out:
Butler
Cal Poly
Central Arkansas
Eastern Washington
Gardner-Webb
Howard
Liberty
Missouri State
Morehead State
Nicholls State
Northern Colorado
Presbyterian
Southeast Missouri State
Stephen F Austin
Stony Brook
UC Davis
Virginia Military Institute

Liberty can still get in w/o 7 D1 wins by winning their conference. I am sure that there are others in that situation

[JMUNJ08]

Liberty can still get in w/o 7 D1 wins by winning their conference. I am sure that there are others in that situation

Yes, which he stated at the start of the thread with Coastal last year. This is more or less for the "At Large" pool.

[I-16Bandit]

2 playoff teams from last year already staring down playoff elimination, wow. I'm glad Nova survived this week without joining these ranks, but thats soon to come I'm sure.

Not only that, but last year's National Champions. Crazy to go from winning it all to starting 0-4.

Just damn. xsmhx

[TwoFeathers]

Not only that, but last year's National Champions. Crazy to go from winning it all to starting 0-4.

Just damn. xsmhx

Not to mention a strong showing against a FBS team in the opener..

[TwoFeathers]

W&M can only lose 1 more game in their final 7 to stay with 7 wins. My guess is they will be 'eliminated' in the next 3 weeks (@Villanova, @Delaware, New Hampshire).

[darell1976]

Aren't USD and UND still playoff ineligible anyway?

We are both not eligible until the 2012 season at the same time UND will start Big Sky play and USD will start MVFC play.

[superman7515]

Updated for the Week 5 results...

Can't make it to seven D1 wins:
Charleston Southern
Gardner-Webb
Missouri State
Nicholls State
North Dakota
Northern Colorado
Stephen F Austin
South Dakota

Must win out:
Butler
Bryant
Cal Poly
Campbell
Central Arkansas
Central Connecticut State
Davidson
Delaware State
Eastern Illinois
Eastern Washington
Howard
Idaho State
Lafayette
Liberty
Marist
Morehead State
North Carolina Central
Northwestern State
Presbyterian
Savannah State
South Dakota State
Southeast Missouri State
Southeastern Louisiana
St. Francis
Stony Brook
Tennessee State
UC Davis
Valparaiso
Villanova
Virginia Military Institute
Wagner
Western Carolina

[superman7515]

Updated for the Week 6 results shows some schools that were getting preseason votes are already out (Stephen F. Austin, Villanova) while others are teetering on the edge (Cal Poly, Chattanooga, William & Mary).....


Can't Make It To Seven D1 Wins:
Butler
Central Connecticut State
Charleston Southern
Davidson
Delaware State
Eastern Illinois
Gardner-Webb
Idaho State
Missouri State
Morehead State
Nicholls State
North Carolina Central
North Dakota
Northern Colorado
St. Francis
Savannah State
Stephen F Austin
South Dakota
Southeast Missouri State
Valparaiso
Villanova
Virginia Military Institute
Wagner
Western Carolina

Must Win Out:
Austin Peay
Bethune-Cookman
Bryant
Cal Poly
Campbell
Central Arkansas
Chattanooga
Dayton
Eastern Washington
Fordham
Howard
Lafayette
Lamar
Liberty
Marist
Northern Arizona
Northwestern State
Presbyterian
Rhode Island
South Dakota State
Southeastern Louisiana
Stony Brook
Tennessee State
UC Davis
William & Mary

[darell1976]

Updated for the Week 6 results shows some schools that were getting preseason votes are already out (Stephen F. Austin, Villanova) while others are teetering on the edge (Cal Poly, Chattanooga, William & Mary).....


Can't Make It To Seven D1 Wins:
Butler
Central Connecticut State
Charleston Southern
Davidson
Delaware State
Eastern Illinois
Gardner-Webb
Idaho State
Missouri State
Morehead State
Nicholls State
North Carolina Central
North Dakota
Northern Colorado
St. Francis
Savannah State
Stephen F Austin
South Dakota
Southeast Missouri State
Valparaiso
Villanova
Virginia Military Institute
Wagner
Western Carolina

Must Win Out:
Austin Peay
Bethune-Cookman
Bryant
Cal Poly
Campbell
Central Arkansas
Chattanooga
Dayton
Eastern Washington
Fordham
Howard
Lafayette
Lamar
Liberty
Marist
Northern Arizona
Northwestern State
Presbyterian
Rhode Island
South Dakota State
Southeastern Louisiana
Stony Brook
Tennessee State
UC Davis
William & Mary

After yesterday's loss to a DII team, they just need to win a game.

[superman7515]

Updated for the Week 7 results...

Can't Make It To Seven D1 Wins:
Austin Peay
Bryant
Butler
Central Connecticut State
Charleston Southern
Davidson
Delaware State
Eastern Illinois
Fordham
Gardner-Webb
Howard
Idaho State
Lamar
Marist
Missouri State
Morehead State
Nicholls State
North Carolina Central
North Dakota
Northern Arizona
Northern Colorado
Portland State
Presbyterian
Rhode Island
St. Francis
Savannah State
Stephen F Austin
South Dakota
South Dakota State
Southeast Missouri State
Southeastern Louisiana
Valparaiso
Villanova
Virginia Military Institute
Wagner
Western Carolina

Must Win Out:
Bethune-Cookman
Cal Poly
Campbell
Central Arkansas
Chattanooga
Dayton
Delaware
Drake
Eastern Washington
Elon
Florida A&M
Lafayette
Liberty
McNeese State
Northwestern State
Robert Morris
Southern Illinois
Southern Utah
Stony Brook
Tennessee-Martin
Tennessee State
The Citadel
UC Davis
Western Illinois
William & Mary

[Reign of Terrier]

can we get a list of teams that CAN make the playoffs too?

[Pard4Life]

Fordham is out... can't get an autobid and they are surely not getting an at large.

[chattanoogamocs]

can we get a list of teams that CAN make the playoffs too?

there are still about 50 of them (which is probably why he hasn't done a list yet)

...though next week I would assume that he will have a list of those who have made the minimum qualifications (and then will update it weekly from there)

[Squealofthepig]

There should be only two teams that can reach seven D1 wins next week - NDSU and SHSU. The Bearkats play at McNeese, and the Bison go to SDSU.

[chattanoogamocs]

As far as playoff qualifying goes, this is hump week.

[superman7515]

Updated for Week 8 results...

Clinched Seven D1 Wins:
North Dakota State Bison
Sam Houston State Bearkats

Can't Make It To Seven D1 Wins:
Austin Peay
Bryant
Butler
Central Connecticut State
Charleston Southern
Davidson
Delaware
Delaware State
Eastern Illinois
Elon
Fordham
Gardner-Webb
Howard
Idaho State
Lamar
Marist
McNeese State
Missouri State
Morehead State
Nicholls State
North Carolina Central
North Dakota
Northern Arizona
Northern Colorado
Portland State
Presbyterian
Rhode Island
Robert Morris
St. Francis
Savannah State
Stephen F Austin
South Dakota
South Dakota State
Southeast Missouri State
Southeastern Louisiana
Southern Illinois
Tennessee State
UC Davis
Valparaiso
Villanova
Virginia Military Institute
Wagner
Western Carolina
Western Illinois
William & Mary

Must Win Out:
Bethune-Cookman
Bucknell
Cal Poly
Campbell
Central Arkansas
Chattanooga
Coastal Carolina
Colgate
Dayton
Drake
Eastern Washington
Florida A&M
Lafayette
Liberty
North Carolina A&T
Northwestern State
Richmond
Samford
Southern Utah
Stony Brook
Tennessee-Martin
Tennessee Tech
The Citadel
Weber State

[Squealofthepig]

This should be its own thread, and thanks!

Edit: If you do start a new thread, I would just add an asterisk on the "must win out" that just says "some teams could still become playoff eligible with less than seven D1 wins if they win their conference autobid".

[dudeitsaid]

After tonight, Sacremento State must also win out to have 7 D-1 wins. So, in the Big Sky, EWU, Weber, and Sac State must win out. Montana must win at least one of it's remaining two D-1 games. Weber at times has been challenging for Montana, so that's no gimme, and Montana State will be really tough.

[AppMAN04]

Updated for Week 8 results...

Clinched Seven D1 Wins:
North Dakota State Bison
Sam Houston State Bearkats

Can't Make It To Seven D1 Wins:
Austin Peay
Bryant
Butler
Central Connecticut State
Charleston Southern
Davidson
Delaware
Delaware State
Eastern Illinois
Elon
Fordham
Gardner-Webb
Howard
Idaho State
Lamar
Marist
McNeese State
Missouri State
Morehead State
Nicholls State
North Carolina Central
North Dakota
Northern Arizona
Northern Colorado
Portland State
Presbyterian
Rhode Island
Robert Morris
St. Francis
Savannah State
Stephen F Austin
South Dakota
South Dakota State
Southeast Missouri State
Southeastern Louisiana
Southern Illinois
Tennessee State
UC Davis
Valparaiso
Villanova
Virginia Military Institute
Wagner
Western Carolina
Western Illinois
William & Mary

Must Win Out:
Bethune-Cookman
Bucknell
Cal Poly
Campbell
Central Arkansas
Chattanooga
Coastal Carolina
Colgate
Dayton
Drake
Eastern Washington
Florida A&M
Lafayette
Liberty
North Carolina A&T
Northwestern State
Richmond
Samford
Southern Utah
Stony Brook
Tennessee-Martin
Tennessee Tech
The Citadel
Weber State

Thats the difference between a good program and a great program.. Good teams rebuild, great teams RELOAD..

GO APPS!

[superman7515]

Updated for Week 9 results...

Clinched Seven D1 Wins:
Duquesne Dukes
Georgetown Hoyas
Lehigh Mountain Hawks
Maine Black Bears
Montana Grizzlies
Montana State Bobcats
North Dakota State Bison
Old Dominion Monarchs
Sam Houston State Bearkats

Can't Make It To Seven D1 Wins:
Austin Peay
Bryant
Butler
Central Connecticut State
Charleston Southern
Chattanooga
Coastal Carolina
Colgate
Davidson
Delaware
Delaware State
Eastern Illinois
Eastern Washington
Elon
Fordham
Gardner-Webb
Howard
Idaho State
Lamar
Marist
McNeese State
Missouri State
Morehead State
Nicholls State
North Carolina A&T
North Carolina Central
North Dakota
Northern Arizona
Northern Colorado
Portland State
Presbyterian
Rhode Island
Richmond
Robert Morris
Sacramento State
St. Francis
Savannah State
Stephen F Austin
South Dakota
South Dakota State
Southeast Missouri State
Southeastern Louisiana
Southern Illinois
Tennessee State
UC Davis
Valparaiso
Villanova
Virginia Military Institute
Wagner
Weber State
Western Carolina
Western Illinois
William & Mary

Must Win Out:
Bethune-Cookman
Bucknell
Cal Poly
Campbell
Central Arkansas
Dayton
Drake
Florida A&M
Lafayette
Liberty
Monmouth
Northwestern State
Samford
San Diego
South Carolina State
Southern Utah
Stony Brook
Tennessee-Martin
Tennessee Tech
The Citadel

[ccd494]

Maine has 7 DI wins.

[superman7515]

Thanks. The pitfalls of using ESPN, they still show everyone as 6-1.

[veinup]

Montana must win at least one of it's remaining two D-1 games. Weber at times has been challenging for Montana.

not today, my friend.

[HailSzczur]

Georgetown at 7-2.....that could make for an interesting scenario. Does a 8-3 Georgetown make the playoffs without the Patriot League title?

[youwouldno]

Georgetown at 7-2.....that could make for an interesting scenario. Does a 8-3 Georgetown make the playoffs without the Patriot League title?

Nope. They need to beat Lehigh to have a quality win on their resume.

[apaladin]

Georgetown at 7-2.....that could make for an interesting scenario. Does a 8-3 Georgetown make the playoffs without the Patriot League title?

xlolxxlolxxlolxxlolxxlolxxlolxxlolxxlolxxlolxxlolx xlolxxlolxxlolxxlolxxlolx

[MTfan4life]

They did put two teams from the MEAC in last year, so you never know what the committee is going to do.

[Twentysix]

Yeah but those meac teams represented well they won... wait did either of them win? Atlease they were close games... wait did either of them come within 3 touchdowns(these are the good TD's, completed 2pt conversion touchdowns, ala 24 points)? But they lost by more than 24 points to teams that were in the national title game right? I give up. Georgetown is in.

[van]

Nope. They need to beat Lehigh to have a quality win on their resume.

Well, if they beat Lehigh they would likely be the Patriot champ and get the AQ. Lehigh would still get in as an at large. I believe a similar scenario has played out for the MEAC and maybe OVC in recent years where they became an unlikely 2 bid conference and sombebody got Woofed.

[JMUNJ08]

Georgetown at 7-2.....that could make for an interesting scenario. Does a 8-3 Georgetown make the playoffs without the Patriot League title?

Everyone says Georgetown at 8-3, how about Duquesne at 9-2 with a 1 pt. loss to Bucknell (same L as Gtwon) and loss to AQ Albany?

[hidalgo]

If it comes down to it I think Duquesne has a legitimate shot........if the right teams lose. 9-2 with one loss in conference is as good as it is ever going to get for a second place NEC team.