Playoff Eligibility 10-11-08

[FargoBison]

Here is this week's breakdown as to where every team stands. Of course the few eliminated teams could still win their conference auto. I am pretty sure I got this right but please tell me if I made any mistakes.

Here is a breakdown of what every FCS team needs to do to get 7 DI wins...

Big Sky
NAU(5-1) must go at least 4-2
WSU(5-2) must go 4-1
MSU(3-3) must 5-0
Sac St(3-3) must go 6-0
UM(5-1) must go 3-3
UNC(1-4) must go 6-0
ISU Eliminated
EWU Eliminated
PSU Eliminated

Big South
Liberty(6-0) must go at least 3-3
CSU(3-3) must go 5-0
VMI(3-3) must go 5-0
CCU(3-4) must go 4-1
Gardner Webb Eliminated
Stony Brook Eliminated

CAA
JMU(6-1) must go at least 1-3
UNH(4-1) must go 3-3
NU(2-4) must go 5-1
Nova(4-1) must go 3-3
Mass(4-2) must go 3-2
UR(4-3) must go 3-2
Hofstra(3-3) must go 4-2
W&M(3-2) must go 4-2
UD(2-4) must go 6-0
Towson(3-4) must go 4-1
Maine(3-3) must go 4-2
URI(2-5) must go 5-0

Great West
Cal Poly(3-1) must go at least 5-1*
UCD(3-4) must go 4-0
SUU Eliminated
--* denotes teams with games canceled due to hurricanes


MEAC
Hampton(4-1) must go at least 3-3
SCSU(5-2) must go 3-2
B-CU(4-2) must go 3-2
NSU(2-4) must go 6-0
DSU(2-3) must go 5-1
FAMU(4-2) must go 3-3
MSU(3-3) must go 4-2
Howard(1-4) must go 6-0
NC A&T Eliminated

MVFC
Ill St(2-3) must go at least 5-1
SDSU(3-3) must go 4-2
NDSU(3-3) must go 4-1
WIU(4-2) must go 4-1
SIU(3-2) must go 4-2
UNI(4-2) must go 4-2
MSU(2-3) must go 5-1
YSU Elminated
Ind St Elminated

NEC
MU(4-3) must go at least 4-0
SHU(6-0) must go 3-2
CCSU(4-2) must go 4-1
Albany(3-3) must go 4-1
Duq.(2-3) must go 5-0
Wagner(2-4) must go 5-0
RMU(2-4) must go 5-0
St Francis Eliminated

OVC
TSU(5-1) must go at least 2-4
Jax St(4-2) must go 3-2
Tenn-Martin(5-2) must go 3-2
EKU(4-3) must go 3-1
TTU(3-4) must go 5-0
MSU(3-4) must go 5-0
EIU(2-4) must go 5-1
SEMO(2-4) must go 6-0
APSU Eliminated

Patriot League
Lafayette(4-1) must go at least 3-3
Colgate(4-2) must go 3-2
HC(2-3) must go 5-1
Bucknell(3-2) must go 4-2
Lehigh(2-3) must go 5-1
Fordham(2-3) must go 5-1
Georgetown Eliminated

Pioneer
USD(6-0) must go at least 3-2
Dayton(5-1) must go 4-2
Butler(4-1) must go 6-0
Morehead(3-3) must go 5-0
Jacksonville(3-3) must go 6-0
Davidson Eliminated
Valpo Eliminated
Drake Eliminated

SoCon
Elon(6-1) must go at least 1-4
Wofford(4-1) must go 3-3
App St(4-2) must go 3-3
FU(5-2) must go 3-2
Citadel((3-3) must go 5-1
GSU(3-3) must go 4-1
Samford Eliminated
WCU Eliminated
Chattanooga Eliminated

Southland
SFA(3-3) must go at least 6-0
MSU(3-2) must go 6-0*
SHSU(2-2) must go 6-0*
TSU(4-2) must go 4-2
NW St(4-2) must go 5-1
SELA(3-2) must go 6-0
Nicholls State Eliminated*
--* denotes teams with games canceled due to hurricanes

Indepedents
Iona Eliminated
SSU Eliminated
Marist Eliminated

[theasushow]

appreciate you taking the time to put that together. but for some reason that northern arizona and weber state stat looks a little off. maybe its just me.

[theasushow]

okay u fixed it, i stand corrected.

[FCS Go!]

appreciate you taking the time to put that together. but for some reason that northern arizona and weber state stat looks a little off. maybe its just me.

Weber only has 3 DI wins. NAU... maybe an error:D .

[slycat]

Thanks for posting this

[kirkblitz]

76 teams left. 16 spots, who will survive? lol


Thanks for updating!!

23 teams will be knocked out next week with a loss

[phoenixphanatic21]

Thanks for this! Good to see we just need one more win to become officially eligible xhurrayx

[FargoBison]

Here are this weeks elimination games...Teams in bold must win...

Big Sky
UNC at Weber State
Sac State at Montana
EWU at Montana State

Big South
CSU at Stony Brook

CAA
W&M at UD
Villanova at URI

Great West
Iona at UCD

MEAC
Norfolk St at Hampton
Morgan State at Howard

MVFC
None

NEC
Duquesne at CCSU
Wagner at St. Francis
RMU at Bryant

OVC
UT-Martin at TTU
Murray State at Jacksonville St
SEMO at EIU

Patriot League
None

Pioneer League
Butler at Valpo
Jacksonville at Morehead St

SoCon
None

Southland
MSU at SHSU
NWST at SELA
SFA at Nicholls St

[Peems]

Even though Eastern and others are "eliminated" they could still make the playoffs if in some wacky way they were to win the Conference.

[UNI Pike]

Can you get an autobid if you do not have 7 DI wins?

[Peems]

Can you get an autobid if you do not have 7 DI wins?

Yeah. Eastern could beat Weber, and NAU then have UM lose to NAU and if everything else held Eastern would get the auto.

[FargoBison]

Even though Eastern and others are "eliminated" they could still make the playoffs if in some wacky way they were to win the Conference.

I did say that but I probably should have put "At Large" in the title to avoid any confusion.

[UNI Pike]

That is starting to sound like discussing the wildcard for the NFL playoffs in week 15.

[Peems]

I did say that but I probably should have put "At Large" in the title to avoid any confusion.
Yeah I got it, but just wanted to make sure others saw how it worked.

That is starting to sound like discussing the wildcard for the NFL playoffs in week 15.

No kidding!

[th0m]

Can you get an autobid if you do not have 7 DI wins?

Yes Lafayette won the PL autobid a couple years back at 6-5.

[TexasTerror]

Southland
SFA(3-3) must go at least 6-0
MSU(3-2) must go 6-0*
SHSU(2-2) must go 6-0*
TSU(4-2) must go 4-2
NW St(4-2) must go 5-1
SELA(3-2) must go 6-0
Nicholls State Eliminated*
--* denotes teams with games canceled due to hurricanes

Chances are -- we won't be a two-bid conference unless McN or SHSU run the table and Bobcats lone loss is to SHSU.

[uofmman1122]

Yeah. Eastern could beat Weber, and NAU then have UM lose to NAU and if everything else held Eastern would get the auto.Weber and NAU would have to lose more than just to EWU. Weber would have to lose to NAU and EWU, and then NAU would have to lose to EWU and someone else.

UM - 10-2 (6-2) with losses to Weber and NAU
NAU - 8-3 (6-2) With losses to EWU & someone else
WSU - 8-4 (6-2) With losses to EWU & NAU
EWU - 7-4 (6-2) with losses to UM and PSU

I guess in this situation, EWU would get the auto, and Montana may wind up with a seed...but it would really depend on the play of teams from other conferences...

The WSU - NAU game might come down to the BSC championship game. Plus, if PSU reaks some havoc, who knows what could happen. We may be looking at *gasp* 3 or 4 Big Sky playoff teams!! xrotatehx

Never a dull season in the Big Sky. xlolx

If my math is somehow wrong, someone please inform me! xlolx

[appfan2008]

Looks great thanks for keeping up with this each week...

You have us needing to go 3-3 to be eligible... but I bet we get in at no worse than 4-2 which I do think we can accomplish... win against WCU and UTC and split with GSU/FU/WC/EU and we are good at 8-4 IMO

[FCS_pwns_FBS]

Kudos to Elon. I'd say they are "closer" to the playoffs than any other FCS team. Anything worse than 8-4 for them at this point is just not likely. And 8-4 is if they lose to App, Wofford, and Liberty. Sure they will win at least one of those games.

[Umass74]

Interesting post. Thanks for the work.xthumbsupx

[santosballnewhampshire]

How do you guys think the committee will judge teams who played only 11 games, in comparison to those who played 12?

[Khan4Cats]

How do you guys think the committee will judge teams who played only 11 games, in comparison to those who played 12?

Interesting question(s) that will probably have to be addressed by the selection committee.

Assuming 7 D-I wins, who goes when teams are matched up like this:

8-4 vs 7-4
7-4 vs 7-5
8-3 vs 7-4

And that is not counting the possibilities of teams that were affected by the hurricanes ending at 6-3 or 7-2 with only 6 D-I wins.

[Reign of Terrier]

If the Citadel loses this weekend they're out. If GSU loses they are more than likely out. That would leave only 4 Socon teams eligible.

[UMass922]

UMass has six games remaining, so its "must go" record should be 3-3, not 3-2.

[FargoBison]

UMass has six games remaining, so its "must go" record should be 3-3, not 3-2.

UMass must go 3-2 because Bryant is a non-counter this year.

[UMass922]

UMass must go 3-2 because Bryant is a non-counter this year.

Ah, ok. Wasn't sure about that one. Good to know.