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grizbeer
October 7th, 2005, 11:20 AM
This article is about I-A conferences, but the discussion about what makes the best conference is relevant to I-AA as well. given all the different ways to determine the "best" conference, I will stick with the GPI rankings.

http://www.thenewstribune.com/sports/story/5235968p-4755275c.html

I think you have to register to read, so I will post the contents here:


Pac-10 makes its case as best

DON RUIZ; THE NEWS TRIBUNE
Published: October 7th, 2005 12:01 AM
The most unwinnable argument in this country involves neither politics nor religion.

The most unwinnable argument in this country involves picking the best of the major football conferences.

(There are two exceptions to this rule. Even fans of the Big East don’t bother trying to make a case for their conference. And fans of the Southeastern Conference tend to see no argument at all, since SEC superiority is viewed as a birthright. They say it, they believe it, and that settles it.)

Elsewhere, the nagging problem is that the issue can’t really be quantified. There is no round-robin competition between the conferences, and non-conference schedules vary so greatly that such records vary from meaningless to misleading.

Texas Tech, for example, swept through its non-conference schedule of Florida International, San Houston State and Indiana State. Such bullying says nothing about either the Red Raiders or the Big 12.

On a more basic level, there isn’t even any consensus about how a “best conference” should be judged.

Is it the conference with the best champion? (If so, congratulations Pacific-10 Conference.)

Is it the conference with the most Top 10 teams? (Tie between the SEC and the Atlantic Coast Conference, with three each.)

How about the most ranked teams? (Come on down, SEC – which has six. But how significant is that when you consider the Pac-10, ACC and Big-10 have five each. And should the Pac-10 be graded on a curve because it has fewer members?)

Sigh.

Washington coach Tyrone Willingham was asked recently about changes in the Pac-10 since he left Stanford. He made the case that it was a tougher league, but instead of pointing to the top, he pointed to the bottom.

“The Pac-10 is pretty good football,” he said. “I think it’s getting better and better.

“Years ago, when I was in the league before, you probably had one or two teams – and at one time I was part of one of those teams – people thought you didn’t have to worry about them, you can win no matter what. Now, it’s not that way in the conference. A lot of the teams that were once at the bottom have got their games together and are making their way to the top.”

Is that a fair way to judge a conference: How deep can you go before you get to a bad team?

And how many bad teams are there?

The problem is, “bad” is impossible to define, even if – as with Supreme Court Justice Potter Stewart’s famous comment about obscenity – you know it when you see it.

We just don’t all see it the same way.

After all, Willingham was making the case that there are no easy games in the Pac-10. However, most fans would say the Pac-10 goes seven deep before you run into three programs that are clearly rebuilding: Washington, Arizona and Stanford.

That would mean 30 percent of Pac-10 teams aren’t very good.

But is the SEC weaker for having five bad teams – Kentucky, South Carolina, Arkansas, Mississippi and Mississippi State – among its 12 members?

And you can’t quantitatively prove there are any bad teams in the Big 12, where the whole dozen have records of .500 or better. But as noted, a lot of those wins are the product of shameless scheduling against mid-majors and even some minor-minors.

Limit those non-conference results to games involving only the Pac-10, Big 10, ACC and SEC, and the Big 12 falls to 3-3.

That kind of head-to-head play among those five top conferences probably would be the most revealing way to compare the conferences, except that such games have become disappointingly rare.

As of this first week of October – a time when most non-conference play has been concluded – there have been only 15 non-conference games matching schools from these five conferences.

The Pac-10 fared best, going 4-2. The Big 12 and ACC both went 3-3. The SEC and Big Ten fared worst, going 2-3 and 3-4, respectively.

That’s not enough for a meaningful conclusion. But the small sample speaks well for the Pac-10 and disputes the notion of SEC superiority.

Don Ruiz: 253-597-8808

[email protected]

Jacks99
October 7th, 2005, 11:40 AM
"and even some minor-minors" He must mean the Sun Belt....


I agree that the GPI is a good way to do it.

Jacks99
October 7th, 2005, 11:45 AM
Sagarin Conference ratings:

1 BIG TEN (A) = 80.76 80.34 ( 1) 11
2 ATLANTIC COAST (A) = 79.78 79.49 ( 3) 12
3 PAC-10 (A) = 79.43 79.63 ( 2) 10
4 SOUTHEASTERN (A) = 77.91 77.81 ( 4) 12
5 BIG 12 (A) = 75.55 75.97 ( 5) 12
6 MOUNTAIN WEST (A) = 72.15 71.41 ( 7) 9
7 BIG EAST (A) = 71.48 72.13 ( 6) 8
8 I-A INDEPENDENTS (A) = 67.51 68.34 ( 8) 3
9 CONFERENCE USA (A) = 64.71 65.15 ( 10) 12
10 WESTERN ATHLETIC (A) = 64.27 65.32 ( 9) 9
11 MID-AMERICAN (A) = 62.35 62.33 ( 11) 13
12 BIG SKY (AA)= 56.90 56.61 ( 12) 8
13 SOUTHLAND (AA)= 55.61 54.86 ( 14) 7
14 ATLANTIC 10 (AA)= 55.16 55.77 ( 13) 12
15 GATEWAY (AA)= 54.62 53.85 ( 16) 8
16 SUN BELT (A) = 54.16 53.80 ( 17) 8
17 GREAT WEST (AA)= 54.02 54.16 ( 15) 6
18 SOUTHERN (AA)= 53.39 53.16 ( 18) 8
19 IVY LEAGUE (AA)= 50.25 49.88 ( 19) 8
20 PATRIOT LEAGUE (AA)= 43.80 43.85 ( 20) 7
21 OHIO VALLEY (AA)= 41.16 41.35 ( 21) 9
22 MID-EASTERN (AA)= 37.15 37.56 ( 22) 9
23 BIG SOUTH (AA)= 34.60 34.92 ( 23) 5
24 SOUTHWESTERN (AA)= 31.63 31.58 ( 24) 10
25 NORTHEAST (AA)= 24.64 24.83 ( 25) 8
26 PIONEER (AA)= 21.64 22.27 ( 26) 9
27 METRO ATLANTIC (AA)= 17.34 18.69 ( 27) 5
28 I-AA INDEPENDENTS (AA)= 11.39 11.39 ( 28) 1
29 ***UNRATED*** (**)= -90.00 -90.00 ( 29) 1

89Hen
October 7th, 2005, 11:50 AM
3 PAC-10 (A) = 79.43 79.63 ( 2) 10
4 SOUTHEASTERN (A) = 77.91 77.81 ( 4) 12
Sorry to discuss I-A, and I'm not one to waive the SEC banner, but I'd take them all day long in a head to head match-up with the Pac10. USC obviously is a heavy favorite, but beyond that... Cal vs. Florida? ASU vs. Alabama? Oregon vs. LSU?.... it starts to go heavily in favor of the SEC IMO.

89Hen
October 7th, 2005, 12:45 PM
BTW, was just checking out the I-A standings... Fresno State (2-1) is the ONLY team with an overall winning record in the WAC and SunBelt COMBINED! The SunBelt doesn't even have a .500 team.

OOC results...
Louisiana-Monroe 0-3
Troy 1-3
Arkansas State 1-2
North Texas 0-2
Florida Atlantic 0-4
Florida International 1-2
Middle Tennessee State 0-2
Louisiana-Lafayette 1-3
Boise State 1-2
Nevada 1-2
Louisiana Tech 0-2
Hawaii 0-2
Idaho 0-3
Utah State 1-1
San Jose State 1-2
New Mexico State 0-4
Fresno State 2-1

89Hen
October 7th, 2005, 12:53 PM
More frivilous, mind-blowing stats....

The Big Sky teams are a combined 1-18 on the road and 18-1 at home! :eek: and the 1 in each case was a Big Sky conference game! That means the Big Sky is winless on the road OOC and undefeated at home. I guess they better pray that they get home playoff games.

Hansel
October 7th, 2005, 12:58 PM
If you're going to check Sag you better check Pete too. :p
I thought Saggy was supposed to be taken out of the GPI this year ???

http://www.i-aa.org/article.asp?articleid=72930

grizbeer
October 7th, 2005, 01:34 PM
More frivilous, mind-blowing stats....

The Big Sky teams are a combined 1-18 on the road and 18-1 at home! :eek: and the 1 in each case was a Big Sky conference game! That means the Big Sky is winless on the road OOC and undefeated at home. I guess they better pray that they get home playoff games. :confused:
Big Sky teams are 1-11 against OOC teams on the road this season, but 8 of those losses are against I-A teams (5 Pac 10 losses, 1 Big 12 loss, and 2 Wac losses).

against I-AA OOC competition on the road, PSU beat UC Davis, MSU lost to Cal Poly, Sac lost to Cal Poly, and Weber State lost to NDSU.

Since Weber State and Sac have little chance of making the playoffs, I guess you could conclude from these mind blowing stats that BSC team better hope that 1) I-A teams (at least from the Pac 10, Big 12, and WAC) are excluded from the playoffs (pretty safe on that one) and 2) BSC teams don't have to play at Cal Poly in the playoffs. Of course you are always hope for a home playoff game anyways. :D

How does A-10 stacks up against OOC teams on the road this year?

89Hen
October 7th, 2005, 01:59 PM
Take it easy Beer, it was just an observation. I missed the PSU/UC-D game. I'll have to go through the A10's schedules to see. I know UD is 0-0 OOC on the road since we don't like to play on the road (ask Lehigh61 about that). I know UNH won at UC-D, Hofstra at Albany, Towson at Morgan, W&M at VMI.. but those may be the only wins.

putter
October 7th, 2005, 02:07 PM
. I know UD is 0-0 OOC on the road since we don't like to play on the road (ask Lehigh61 about that). :D

When you have home field support like we do, why would you want to play on the road? :confused: ;)

89Hen
October 7th, 2005, 02:21 PM
When you have home field support like we do, why would you want to play on the road? :confused: ;)
Eggs-actly! Some people are just jealous. :p

Jacks99
October 7th, 2005, 02:32 PM
If you're going to check Sag you better check Pete too. :p


Is there not much respect for his system?

Hansel
October 7th, 2005, 02:34 PM
Is there not much respect for his system?
That would an understatement ;)

grizbeer
October 7th, 2005, 03:07 PM
Take it easy Beer, it was just an observation. I missed the PSU/UC-D game. I'll have to go through the A10's schedules to see. I know UD is 0-0 OOC on the road since we don't like to play on the road (ask Lehigh61 about that). I know UNH won at UC-D, Hofstra at Albany, Towson at Morgan, W&M at VMI.. but those may be the only wins.I wasn't upset, Hen, just trying to clarify the BSC record. And the A-10 question wasn't smack, it was an honest question, since it would give us a comparison, and figured since you had the BSC numbers you might have the A-10 numbers.

grizbeer
October 7th, 2005, 03:38 PM
Here is what I found out about A-10 OOC away games:
Overall record 5-10
I-AA record 4-5

Hofstra won at Albany, Lost at Furman
James Madison lost at Coastal Carolina
Maine lost at Nebraska
UMASS lost at Colgate
New Hampshire won at UCD
NorthEastern lost at Youngstown State
Richmond lost at UL Lafayette and Vanderbilt
Rhode Island won at Central Connecticut, lost at Brown
Villanova lost at Rutgers, won in Philadelphia vs Penn
William & Mary lost at Marshall, won at VMI
According to Towson's website the Morgan State game was a home game.

Overall a pretty good away record against I-AA teams.

Proud Griz Man
October 7th, 2005, 03:44 PM
More frivilous, mind-blowing stats....

The Big Sky teams are a combined 1-18 on the road and 18-1 at home! :eek: and the 1 in each case was a Big Sky conference game! That means the Big Sky is winless on the road OOC and undefeated at home. I guess they better pray that they get home playoff games.

Hen, You're a broken record with this, month after month after year after year. ;)

I'm not arguing about our home record, but remember the Griz went to Hofstra 2002 and won plus went to Maine 2003 and won. Please remember EWU won a road game in the first round last year, and NAU three years ago.

catbob
October 7th, 2005, 04:21 PM
More frivilous, mind-blowing stats....

The Big Sky teams are a combined 1-18 on the road and 18-1 at home! :eek: and the 1 in each case was a Big Sky conference game! That means the Big Sky is winless on the road OOC and undefeated at home. I guess they better pray that they get home playoff games.

And you better pray we DON'T get home playoff games. :)

RedZoneMoc
October 8th, 2005, 09:01 AM
Conference Rank
Rank, Conference (Average Rating)
1. Big Sky Conference (27.60)
2. Atlantic 10 Conference (29.32)
3. Southern Conference (29.68)
4. Southland Conference (31.05)
5. Great West Football Conference (31.20)
6. Gateway Football Conference (32.65)
7. Ivy League (36.01)
8. Patriot League (48.43)
9. Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference (55.88)
10. Ohio Valley Conference (56.05)
11. Big South Conference (57.58)
12. Southwestern Athletic Conference (66.36)
13. Pioneer Football League (71.91)
14. Northeast Conference (73.89)
15. Metro-Atlantic Athletic Conference (76.38)

89Hen
October 8th, 2005, 03:57 PM
And you better pray we DON'T get home playoff games. :)
Why not, it won't be against the Hens. The Hens are going nowhere this year. :(