PDA

View Full Version : Big Sky Power Rankings 10-20



JALMOND
October 20th, 2024, 11:27 PM
AS October closes, the playoffs are just around the corner and the Big Sky picture is becoming clear. The top team is really good, and the second team is also good in their own right. As you get further down, however, things start to turn rather soggy. Some teams may get to the playoffs, most won't, so there is a lot of work to be done for those teams. This week, half the conference teams are off so they have a couple weeks to get it right. Here are my power rankings for this week (last week in parenthesis). Not much movement, in my opinion.

1. Montana State (1)---Last week won at Portland State 44-14, this week bye---A couple late scores by their opponent made the score seem closer than the game was for the Bobcats, but they continue to roll on whoever is put in front of them. Things may change in the next few weeks, but heading into the bye week, they look like the class of the conference.

2. UC Davis (2)---Last week won at Eastern Washington 48-38, this week bye---After a season opening loss to their big brothers of the ACC, the Aggies have done nothing but get wins and look strong. They head into the bye week full of confidence and hoping for a major showdown in four weeks with the other top team.

3. Idaho (3)---Last week beat Cal Poly at home 34-29, this week Eastern Washington at home---The Vandals did not get off to a good start last week in playing a perennial cellar dweller of the conference at home, but in the end they did what they had to and emerged victorious. They have one more game, a tough test, before their bye week.

4. Montana (4)---Last week, bye, this week at Northern Colorado---The Grizzlies had their bye week this past weekend, enjoying the results from around the conference. They still have work to do as their usually solid defense has looked suspect lately. Two weeks should be enough to get it right, as well as playing one of the lower teams.

5. Northern Arizona (5)---Last week beat Idaho State 30-26 at home, this week bye---The Lumberjacks had to work extra hard to secure a home win against one of the more feisty teams in the conference last week, but they did get the job done. Maybe the surprise team of the conference so far, they head to the bye week with confidence.

6. Sacramento State (7)---Last week beat Weber State at home 51-48 (2OT), this week at Idaho State---It took double overtime to get it done, bue the Hornets secured their first conference win of the season last week, becoming the last conference team to do so. Having taking their bye week already, they hit the road at a tough place to play.

7. Weber State (6)---Last week lost at Sacramento State 51-48 (2OT), this week bye---A couple of perplexing losses by the Wildcats have their once promising season now teetering on the brink. They do have the chance to save it, but they need to start winning again. They have probably the most to do on this bye week.

8. Eastern Washington (9)---Last week lost to UC Davis at home 48-38, this week at Idaho---The Eagles gave up a big quarter to one of the conference best teams and could not recover after that, taking a tough loss after a good road win the week before. No bye week for them as they already had it earlier, but a road test against their rival.

9. Portland State (8)---Last week lost to Montana State at home 44-14, this week bye---After playing some good football the last two weeks, the Vikings brought in the top dog in the conference and never showed up until the last quarter. There's still some football to be played on their tough docket so they better be ready after the bye week.

10. Idaho State (10)---Last week lost at Northern Arizona at home 30-26, this week Sacramento State at home---The Bengals have been running both hot and cold all season. Coming off a tough home loss to one of their equals, they give the conference darling all they can handle on the road. They have one more home game before their bye.

11. Northern Colorado (11)---Last week bye, this week Montana at home---After their surprising strong road win to weeks ago, the Bears took their week off to possibly continue surprising conference teams. They get one of the heavyweights this week, and may be catching them at the right time. Stranger things have happened.

12. Cal Poly (12)---Last week lost at Idaho 34-29, this week bye---The Mustangs have been looking pretty good in recent weeks, aside from their cellar battle two weeks ago. They went on the road and gave one of the bigwigs all they could handle last week. They approach their bye week with a bit of confidence to throw some scares.

RECAP: 1, then 2, then 3-5, with 6-7 just behind, then 8-12 in a bunch at the back.

MSUBobcat
October 21st, 2024, 01:08 PM
Seems like only 1 or 2 teams can put together a solid game. Maybe it's injuries piling up, maybe the Big Sky is just down a bit this year.

1. MSU (1) - The addition of a very serviceable passing attack to Tommy's game will help against better D's that try to stack the box. 15/20 for 239 yards, 3 TD, no INT?! Who is this guy?
2. UC Davis (2) - Dispatched an Eagles team that was coming off a solid win @ Sac St.
3. Idaho (3) - A very underwhelming performance against a bottom feeder. In the end, a win is a win, so I couldn't move UM above them. Play like this next weekend and the Eags may go home with the W.
4. UM (4) - Considered moving them to #3 for Idaho being tested by Poly, but that home loss to Weber still leaving a bad taste.
5. NAU (5) - Earned themselves another notch in the W column against an improved, but not yet "good", Bengals team.
6. Sac St. (7) - BBQ tested the Hornets, but found their way to a double OT victory at home, so they are ever so slightly ahead of Weebs
7. Weber St. (6) - played the #6 team to damn near a stalemate. Slightest edge goes to Sac St.
8. EWU (7) - Mounted a furious comeback, but fell short against a tough Davis opponent.
9. Idaho State (10) - Nearly got a solid road win in Flagstaff but weren't able to hold on.
10. PSU (9) - The latest to take one on the chin vs. the Bobcats. ISU-o passes the eye test more than the Vikings, IMO.
11. Cal Poly (12) - Gave the Vandals a challenge. Combined with the H2H over UNC, it was enough to move them over UNC, even though UNC technically has the "better" win over BBQ
12. NoCO (11) - On a bye, but passed up due to Poly's performance at one of the top teams.

1 - runaway freight train.
2 - quality team, may make noise in the playoffs
3 & 4 - may make the playoffs, but questions abound with both
5-8 Draw them out of a hat AGS. No consistency.
9 - 12 Not very good this year. There's always next year.

dbackjon
October 21st, 2024, 01:18 PM
Seems like only 1 or 2 teams can put together a solid game. Maybe it's injuries piling up, maybe the Big Sky is just down a bit this year.

1. MSU (1) - The addition of a very serviceable passing attack to Tommy's game will help against better D's that try to stack the box. 15/20 for 239 yards, 3 TD, no INT?! Who is this guy?
2. UC Davis (2) - Dispatched an Eagles team that was coming off a solid win @ Sac St.
3. Idaho (3) - A very underwhelming performance against a bottom feeder. In the end, a win is a win, so I couldn't move UM above them. Play like this next weekend and the Eags may go home with the W.
4. UM (4) - Considered moving them to #3 for Idaho being tested by Poly, but that home loss to Weber still leaving a bad taste.
5. NAU (5) - Earned themselves another notch in the W column against an improved, but not yet "good", Bengals team.
6. Sac St. (7) - BBQ tested the Hornets, but found their way to a double OT victory at home, so they are ever so slightly ahead of Weebs
7. Weber St. (6) - played the #6 team to damn near a stalemate. Slightest edge goes to Sac St.
8. EWU (7) - Mounted a furious comeback, but fell short against a tough Davis opponent.
9. Idaho State (10) - Nearly got a solid road win in Flagstaff but weren't able to hold on.
10. PSU (9) - The latest to take one on the chin vs. the Bobcats. ISU-o passes the eye test more than the Vikings, IMO.
11. Cal Poly (12) - Gave the Vandals a challenge. Combined with the H2H over UNC, it was enough to move them over UNC, even though UNC technically has the "better" win over BBQ
12. NoCO (11) - On a bye, but passed up due to Poly's performance at one of the top teams.

1 - runaway freight train.
2 - quality team, may make noise in the playoffs
3 & 4 - may make the playoffs, but questions abound with both
5-8 Draw them out of a hat AGS. No consistency.
9 - 12 Not very good this year. There's always next year.

Reasonable other than NAU should be in your 3/4 grouping

wapiti
October 21st, 2024, 01:26 PM
1. Montana State ---At 8-0 the Bobcats will be in the playoffs. They are now playing for seeding. Bye, @EWU, Sac, @UC Davis, UM

2. UC Davis ---With 7 Div 1 wins the Aggies have qualified for the playoffs. Bye, NC, @UM, MSU, Sac

3. Idaho ---Needs 2 more wins to qualify for playoffs. Should get those with what's left on the schedule: EWU, Bye, @PSU, Weber, @ISU

4. Montana --- Had a bye. Needs 2 more wins and should get those. @NC, @CP, UC Davis, PSU, @MSU

5. Northern Arizona ---Needs to win out to earn 7 Div 1 wins. Bye, Weber, @CP, @NC, EWU

6. Sacramento State ---Earned a hard fought win. Needs to win 4 of 5 games left and that will be tough. @ISU, PSU, @MSU, @CP, UC Davis

7. Weber State ---With the loss Weber has to win to earn 7 Div 1 wins and that looks tough. Bye, @NAU, ISU, @Idaho, CP

8. Eastern Washington ---With the loss EWU has to win out to earn 7 Div 1 wins and that looks tough. @Idaho, MSU, @NC, ISU, @NAU

9. Portland State --- Playing a spoiler role. Bye, @Sac, Idaho, @UM, NC

10. Idaho State ---With the loss the Bengals are out of the playoffs. Sac, Bye, @Weber, @EWU, Idaho

11. Northern Colorado ---Playing spoiler role. UM, @UC Davis, EWU, NAU, @PSU

12. Cal Poly ---Playing spoiler role: Bye, UM, NAU, Sac, @Weber

MSUBobcat
October 21st, 2024, 02:01 PM
Reasonable other than NAU should be in your 3/4 grouping

Possibly. Even winning out leaves NAU on the bubble due to that Lincoln game leaving the 'Jacks with 7 counters, with their best win being at home against a floundering Sac State team likely to end up 6-6. 7 FCS wins in a 12 game season, with an 0-3 record against teams in the playoffs (UIW, Idaho, UM), has a very good chance of being left behind. They were all road games so perhaps the committee may factor that in. If you're on the bubble with 8-win teams and maybe some other 7-win teams, going 0-fer against the teams solidly in doesn't add to the resume.

dbackjon
October 21st, 2024, 02:07 PM
Possibly. Even winning out leaves NAU on the bubble due to that Lincoln game leaving the 'Jacks with 7 counters, with their best win being at home against a floundering Sac State team likely to end up 6-6. 7 FCS wins in a 12 game season, with an 0-3 record against teams in the playoffs (UIW, Idaho, UM), has a very good chance of being left behind. They were all road games so perhaps the committee may factor that in. If you're on the bubble with 8-win teams and maybe some other 7-win teams, going 0-fer against the teams solidly in doesn't add to the resume.

We would be on the bubble, which fits with your 3/4. First we have to win out, then do our lobbying.

MSUBobcat
October 21st, 2024, 02:28 PM
We would be on the bubble, which fits with your 3/4. First we have to win out, then do our lobbying.

Maybe my wording was a bit ambiguous. I meant it as, "sure these teams may make the playoffs (i.e. I expect that they will), but they have serious question marks, so I don't expect much more than a round 1 victory, maybe a round 2 upset." Idaho should get to 8 wins, possibly 9, and easily be in, especially with the FBS win. I also expect UM to hit 8 wins with @UNC, @CP and home vs PSU yet to play and at least 1 solid win in Misery St and WCU looking better of late but with a tough stretch upcoming. At this point, projecting into the remainder of the schedule, I don't see UI and UM as bubble teams like I do NAU.