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View Full Version : AGS Crazy 8’s Survival League - Week 11, Fall 2022



Preferred Walk-On
November 6th, 2022, 11:44 AM
Well, here it is. We will be going all 12 weeks, and like the Powerball, there will eventually be a winner. Unlike the Powerball, the prize will simply be the satisfaction of knowing you are an elite FCS mind...at least for a year.

The standings have been updated, and this time I sorted them to be indicative of incorporating all tie-breakers in the order in which they will be applied.

Below is the link for making Week 11 picks and the deadline. Any errors in your sheet or others', please let me know.

MAKE SURVIVAL PICKS HERE (https://forms.gle/FkKSLfFF1NUrRXdA6)
DEADLINE: Fri, Nov 11 @ 10 PM ET

----------

Here are your Week 11 games:

Friday, November 11
Sacramento State @ Portland State

Saturday, November 12
Charleston Southern @ North Carolina A&T
Columbia @ Brown
Maine @ Albany
Sacred Heart @ Wagner
Merrimack @ Central Connecticut
Duquesne @ St. Francis
Bryant @ Holy Cross
Valparaiso @ Marist
Colgate @ Lehigh
Princeton @ Yale
Bucknell @ Georgetown
Morehead State @ Dayton
South Dakota @ North Dakota
Austin Peay @ Kennesaw State
Lafayette @ Fordham
Dartmouth @ Cornell
Abilene Christian @ Sam Houston
Stonehill @ Long Island University
Gardner-Webb @ Campbell
Villanova @ William & Mary
Towson @ Stony Brook
Richmond @ Delaware
Rhode Island @ New Hampshire
Elon @ Hampton
South Carolina State @ Howard
Western Carolina @ East Tennessee State
Harvard @ Pennsylvania
Virginia Military Institute @ Wofford
Samford @ Chattanooga
Stetson @ St. Thomas
North Carolina Central @ Norfolk State
Butler @ Drake
Northern Arizona @ Northern Colorado
Eastern Kentucky @ Jacksonville State
Morgan State @ Delaware State
North Dakota State @ Southern Illinois
Indiana State @ Western Illinois
Robert Morris @ Murray State
Bethune-Cookman @ Alcorn State
McNeese @ Houston Christian
Illinois State @ South Dakota State
Southeast Missouri State @ Eastern Illinois
Tarleton State @ Utah Tech
Prairie View A&M @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff
Furman @ Mercer
Florida A&M @ Alabama State
Idaho State @ Weber State
Eastern Washington @ Montana
Youngstown State @ Missouri State
Lamar @ New Mexico State
Texas A&M-Commerce @ Nicholls
Tennessee Tech @ North Alabama
Davidson @ San Diego
Mississippi Valley State @ Southern
Central Arkansas @ Stephen F. Austin
Alabama A&M vs. Jackson State (in Mobile, AL)
Tennessee-Martin @ Tennessee State
UC Davis @ Idaho
Northwestern State @ Southeastern Louisiana
Grambling State @ Texas Southern
Montana State @ Cal Poly

MTfan4life
November 6th, 2022, 12:48 PM
When creating the picks this week, I noticed there were a lot of coin flip type games. Made it easy to pick 30 games for us to use in the pickem contest. However, that means this guy will be brutal! Hopefully you have some teams saved!

MR. CHICKEN
November 6th, 2022, 12:57 PM
When creating the picks this week, I noticed there were a lot of coin flip type games. Made it easy to pick 30 games for us to use in the pickem contest. However, that means this guy will be brutal! Hopefully you have some teams saved!


...YER DUH SOUFF DAKOTA STATE....UH CRAZY 8'S.......AH'LL BE LUCKY TA GET 8 LEGAL PARIN'S....AN' IFIN' AH DO....2-7's.....1-8's....AN O-FERS.......BUT AH'VE LEARNED UH LOT...IN STRATEGY.....FO' NEXT SEASON....AWK!

KPSUL
November 6th, 2022, 09:10 PM
Picks-In

Daytripper
November 7th, 2022, 07:17 AM
It may be my old eyes, but I can't seem to find the Sac State-Portland State game on the list.

MR. CHICKEN
November 7th, 2022, 07:56 AM
It may be my old eyes, but I can't seem to find the Sac State-Portland State game on the list.


32638


IFIN' YER SERIOUS............BRAWK!


Friday, November 11
Sacramento State @ Portland State

Saturday, November 12
Charleston Southern @ North Carolina A&T
Columbia @ Brown
Maine @ Albany
Sacred Heart @ Wagner
Merrimack @ Central Connecticut
Duquesne @ St. Francis
Bryant @ Holy Cross
Valparaiso @ Marist
Colgate @ Lehigh
Princeton @ Yale
Bucknell @ Georgetown
Morehead State @ Dayton
South Dakota @ North Dakota
Austin Peay @ Kennesaw State
Lafayette @ Fordham
Dartmouth @ Cornell
Abilene Christian @ Sam Houston
Stonehill @ Long Island University
Gardner-Webb @ Campbell
Villanova @ William & Mary
Towson @ Stony Brook
Richmond @ Delaware
Rhode Island @ New Hampshire
Elon @ Hampton
South Carolina State @ Howard
Western Carolina @ East Tennessee State
Harvard @ Pennsylvania
Virginia Military Institute @ Wofford
Samford @ Chattanooga
Stetson @ St. Thomas
North Carolina Central @ Norfolk State
Butler @ Drake
Northern Arizona @ Northern Colorado
Eastern Kentucky @ Jacksonville State
Morgan State @ Delaware State
North Dakota State @ Southern Illinois
Indiana State @ Western Illinois
Robert Morris @ Murray State
Bethune-Cookman @ Alcorn State
McNeese @ Houston Christian
Illinois State @ South Dakota State
Southeast Missouri State @ Eastern Illinois
Tarleton State @ Utah Tech
Prairie View A&M @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff
Furman @ Mercer
Florida A&M @ Alabama State
Idaho State @ Weber State
Eastern Washington @ Montana
Youngstown State @ Missouri State
Lamar @ New Mexico State
Texas A&M-Commerce @ Nicholls
Tennessee Tech @ North Alabama
Davidson @ San Diego
Mississippi Valley State @ Southern
Central Arkansas @ Stephen F. Austin
Alabama A&M vs. Jackson State (in Mobile, AL)
Tennessee-Martin @ Tennessee State
UC Davis @ Idaho
Northwestern State @ Southeastern Louisiana
Grambling State @ Texas Southern
Montana State @ Cal Poly

Daytripper
November 7th, 2022, 09:57 AM
32638


IFIN' YER SERIOUS............BRAWK!


Friday, November 11
Sacramento State @ Portland State

Saturday, November 12
Charleston Southern @ North Carolina A&T
Columbia @ Brown
Maine @ Albany
Sacred Heart @ Wagner
Merrimack @ Central Connecticut
Duquesne @ St. Francis
Bryant @ Holy Cross
Valparaiso @ Marist
Colgate @ Lehigh
Princeton @ Yale
Bucknell @ Georgetown
Morehead State @ Dayton
South Dakota @ North Dakota
Austin Peay @ Kennesaw State
Lafayette @ Fordham
Dartmouth @ Cornell
Abilene Christian @ Sam Houston
Stonehill @ Long Island University
Gardner-Webb @ Campbell
Villanova @ William & Mary
Towson @ Stony Brook
Richmond @ Delaware
Rhode Island @ New Hampshire
Elon @ Hampton
South Carolina State @ Howard
Western Carolina @ East Tennessee State
Harvard @ Pennsylvania
Virginia Military Institute @ Wofford
Samford @ Chattanooga
Stetson @ St. Thomas
North Carolina Central @ Norfolk State
Butler @ Drake
Northern Arizona @ Northern Colorado
Eastern Kentucky @ Jacksonville State
Morgan State @ Delaware State
North Dakota State @ Southern Illinois
Indiana State @ Western Illinois
Robert Morris @ Murray State
Bethune-Cookman @ Alcorn State
McNeese @ Houston Christian
Illinois State @ South Dakota State
Southeast Missouri State @ Eastern Illinois
Tarleton State @ Utah Tech
Prairie View A&M @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff
Furman @ Mercer
Florida A&M @ Alabama State
Idaho State @ Weber State
Eastern Washington @ Montana
Youngstown State @ Missouri State
Lamar @ New Mexico State
Texas A&M-Commerce @ Nicholls
Tennessee Tech @ North Alabama
Davidson @ San Diego
Mississippi Valley State @ Southern
Central Arkansas @ Stephen F. Austin
Alabama A&M vs. Jackson State (in Mobile, AL)
Tennessee-Martin @ Tennessee State
UC Davis @ Idaho
Northwestern State @ Southeastern Louisiana
Grambling State @ Texas Southern
Montana State @ Cal Poly

That's it! I am officially in the category of mentally insufficient. Thanks, Mr. Chicken!

MSUBobcat
November 7th, 2022, 11:50 AM
I'm in. Looking at the scoreboard, should I assume that the only way I can win is if I'm the last man standing due to missing the deadline on week 4?I'm below 2 people with lower scores, but they have either a later or no elimination week. May have affected dedicating time to this each week knowing I had no chance xlolx

caribbeanhen
November 7th, 2022, 12:11 PM
This sounds like a lot of fun but I’ll be taking a powder 😞

POD Knows
November 7th, 2022, 01:09 PM
Mine is in and I am pretty sure that this is the end for POD Knows in this deal.

Preferred Walk-On
November 7th, 2022, 04:25 PM
I'm in. Looking at the scoreboard, should I assume that the only way I can win is if I'm the last man standing due to missing the deadline on week 4?I'm below 2 people with lower scores, but they have either a later or no elimination week. May have affected dedicating time to this each week knowing I had no chance xlolx

I might take this week serious, because if others drop a week, you are right in it. But you are correct...the first tie-breaker is elimination week number(s). Therefore, if somebody does not have an elimination week after this week, it would be impossible to win with one elimination week.

Daytripper
November 7th, 2022, 05:19 PM
I'm running out of good teams. I saved quite a few as I was moving through the season, but used quite a few last week and this week.

MSUBobcat
November 7th, 2022, 06:56 PM
I might take this week serious, because if others drop a week, you are right in it. But you are correct...the first tie-breaker is elimination week number(s). Therefore, if somebody does not have an elimination week after this week, it would be impossible to win with one elimination week.

The only way I could win is if the other 12 people still in all get eliminated. Of those remaining, I have the earliest elimination week. Basically since Week 4, my only chance to win was for every single other participant to eliminate themselves (with the exception of JacksFan40; if he and I were the only ones without a 2nd elimination, the number of right answers would decide). My bad for not reading the rules better.

KPSUL
November 7th, 2022, 09:15 PM
"If all eight of your picks win this week, then this team will remain available as a choice for a future week"

HaHaHa, like that's gonna happen!! xlmaox

MTfan4life
November 8th, 2022, 10:10 PM
Am I REALLY about to take a 1-8, 2-7, and a 3-6 team?!?!

OhioHen
November 9th, 2022, 02:07 PM
In

With a PFL, MEAC, 2 SWAC and my keeper if I manage to get 8 right this week is a first-year transition team!

Chalupa Batman
November 9th, 2022, 02:59 PM
Should be an exciting final 2 weeks. I've managed to hold back enough good teams that I feel completely confident in all of my picks this week, though one game I did use a 1-8 team. Then again I've felt completely confident in all my picks every other week too and here I am 4 games back of the leader. Next week I should have 5-6 teams that I feel completely confident in as well but it may be too little too late. Hoping for a couple of 7-1 weeks to end the year and a couple of 5-3 weeks from the people in front of me.

Daytripper
November 9th, 2022, 04:17 PM
I pretty much pushed all of my chips in this week. If I survive this I will just see what I can do next week.

taper
November 10th, 2022, 02:57 PM
I don't know how much work it would be, but I'd be interested in the end of year statistics. How many times each team was picked and then won or lost. Final aggregate is fine, don't need week by week.

Preferred Walk-On
November 10th, 2022, 09:48 PM
I don't know how much work it would be, but I'd be interested in the end of year statistics. How many times each team was picked and then won or lost. Final aggregate is fine, don't need week by week.

Not planning on doing this; however, if you want to, all of the data are in the sheet in my signature. I could also send you the sheet with all of the responses (by week). Just let me know.

Also, I am in, and hoping to survive to next week when I will have no viable teams left to actually use. Chalupa...survive and advance, right?

MR. CHICKEN
November 10th, 2022, 10:06 PM
IN

taper
November 10th, 2022, 10:41 PM
Not planning on doing this; however, if you want to, all of the data are in the sheet in my signature. I could also send you the sheet with all of the responses (by week). Just let me know.

Also, I am in, and hoping to survive to next week when I will have no viable teams left to actually use. Chalupa...survive and advance, right?
I tried but since the data is in a private sheet I can't access it without screenscraping. If you can make it available I can do the work.

Chalupa Batman
November 10th, 2022, 10:52 PM
I tried but since the data is in a private sheet I can't access it without screenscraping. If you can make it available I can do the work.

I’ve been dabbling around with this a little bit, I should be able to get something up here by tomorrow, maybe even tonight yet.

caribbeanhen
November 11th, 2022, 09:38 AM
I’ve been dabbling around with this a little bit, I should be able to get something up here by tomorrow, maybe even tonight yet.

hurry up and call your girlfriend

Preferred Walk-On
November 11th, 2022, 11:23 AM
I tried but since the data is in a private sheet I can't access it without screenscraping. If you can make it available I can do the work.

I put all the responses I have received for all weeks (including Week 11) into a Google Sheet (with any sensitive information removed). While this sheet is not editable, when you click on the link, it will ask you if you want to save a copy. That copy will be editable however you see fit and will not disrupt the original. CLICK HERE (https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1-EcT_ndCdHJobQP_TwnNWVvY2cBap45-8INY183j3jU/copy?usp=sharing) to download a copy of this sheet. After the Week 12 deadline, I will update the sheet to include the final week.

If there is something else I can help with, just let me know.

Finally, here are the players I have received submitted picks from:

crusader11
Chalupa Batman
KPSUL
MSUBobcat
POD Knows
Daytripper
TheValleyRaider
MTfan4life
taper
OhioHen
MR. CHICKEN
Preferred Walk-On

Chalupa Batman
November 11th, 2022, 12:35 PM
Here are the YTD stats I came up with:




Team
Times Picked
Knockouts


Abilene Christian Wildcats
14



Alabama A&M Bulldogs
9
7


Alabama State Hornets
11



Albany Great Danes
12
2


Alcorn State Braves
13
2 (1 Invalid Pick)


Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions
1
1


Austin Peay Governors
21



Bethune-Cookman Wildcats
6
2


Brown Bears
5



Bryant Bulldogs
8
5 (1 Invalid Pick)


Bucknell Bison
0



Butler Bulldogs
6



Cal Poly Mustangs
10
2


Campbell Fighting Camels
15



Central Arkansas Bears
16
12


Central Connecticut Blue Devils
4



Charleston Southern Buccaneers
9
1


Chattanooga Mocs
15



Colgate Raiders
12
2


Columbia Lions
15
1


Cornell Big Red
10



Dartmouth Big Green
13
8


Davidson Wildcats
15



Dayton Flyers
15
1


Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens
17
1


Delaware State Hornets
6
1


Drake Bulldogs
5
4


Duquesne Dukes
16
16


East Tennessee State Buccaneers
13
6


Eastern Illinois Panthers
6
1


Eastern Kentucky Colonels
10
1


Eastern Washington Eagles
12
2


Elon Phoenix
14
1


Florida A&M Rattlers
15



Fordham Rams
17



Furman Paladins
13



Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs
12



Georgetown Hoyas
4
2


Grambling State Tigers
2
1


Hampton Pirates
4
2 (1 Invalid Pick)


Harvard Crimson
5
1


Holy Cross Crusaders
15



Houston Christian Huskies
8
8


Howard Bison
2



Idaho Vandals
16
2 (2 Invalid Picks)


Idaho State Bengals
2
2


Illinois State Redbirds
16



Incarnate Word Cardinals
16



Indiana State Sycamores
5



Jackson State Tigers
16



Kennesaw State Owls
15
2


Lafayette Leopards
7
7


Lamar Cardinals
1
1


Lehigh Mountain Hawks
8
5


Lindenwood Lions
7
3


Long Island University Sharks
5
4


Maine Black Bears
12
10


Marist Red Foxes
13
4


McNeese Cowboys
14
5


Mercer Bears
17



Merrimack Warriors
16



Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils
0



Missouri State Bears
12
2


Monmouth Hawks
18
7 (1 Invalid Pick)


Montana Grizzlies
13
1


Montana State Bobcats
8



Morehead State Eagles
9
1


Morgan State Bears
3
3


Murray State Racers
1
1


New Hampshire Wildcats
16
6


Nicholls Colonels
6
4


Norfolk State Spartans
1
1


North Alabama Lions
0



North Carolina A&T Aggies
18
2


North Carolina Central Eagles
15
4


North Dakota Fighting Hawks
10



North Dakota State Bison
14



Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
5
2


Northern Colorado Bears
9
6


Northern Iowa Panthers
19
3


Northwestern State Demons
3
1


Pennsylvania Quakers
17
3


Portland State Vikings
7



Prairie View A&M Panthers
11
3


Presbyterian Blue Hose
0



Princeton Tigers
17
1 (1 Invalid Pick)


Rhode Island Rams
13



Richmond Spiders
16



Robert Morris Colonials
3
3


Sac State Hornets
11



Sacred Heart Pioneers
13
5 (1 Invalid Pick)


Samford Bulldogs
17



San Diego Toreros
15
2


South Carolina State Bulldogs
13
9


South Dakota Coyotes
4
1


South Dakota State Jackrabbits
12



Southeast Missouri State Redhawks
13



Southeastern Louisiana Lions
17
3 (1 Invalid Pick)


Southern Illinois Salukis
15
8


Southern Jaguars
1
1


Southern Utah Thunderbirds
8
2


St. Francis Red Flash
15



St. Thomas Tommies
16



Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
18
7


Stetson Hatters
7
7


Stonehill Skyhawks
4
1


Stony Brook Seawolves
2



Tarleton Texans
6



Tennessee State Tigers
7
5


Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles
1
1


Tennessee-Martin Skyhawks
15
1


Texas A&M-Commerce Lions
15
2


Texas Southern Tigers
0



The Citadel Bulldogs
5
5


Towson Tigers
15



UC Davis Aggies
15



Utah Tech Trailblazers
1



Valparaiso Beacons
9



Villanova Wildcats
18
2


Virginia Military Institute Keydets
14
1


Wagner Seahawks
1
1


Weber State Wildcats
4



Western Carolina Catamounts
16
1


Western Illinois Leathernecks
1
1


William & Mary Tribe
16



Wofford Terriers
1
1


Yale Bulldogs
15



Youngstown State Penguins
16

Catbooster
November 11th, 2022, 03:14 PM
In

KPSUL
November 12th, 2022, 07:33 PM
"If all eight of your picks win this week, then this team will remain available as a choice for a future week"

HaHaHa, like that's gonna happen!! xlmaox

Well looks like I actually exceeded my own meager expectations and may have gotten an 8 for 8 week! Just waiting for my one and only "sure thing", MT State over Cal Poly.

Preferred Walk-On
November 12th, 2022, 07:44 PM
Well looks like I actually exceeded my own meager expectations and may have gotten an 8 for 8 week! Just waiting for my one and only "sure thing", MT State over Cal Poly.

Nice! However, I am beginning to think that next year's challenge will need just a "pinch" of added difficulty.

KPSUL
November 12th, 2022, 08:15 PM
Nice! However, I am beginning to think that next year's challenge will need just a "pinch" of added difficulty.

Even a pinch more difficult and most of us would be on the sidelines watching. I suppose you could limit the number of times you can pick a team to lose to maybe 3 times, I've gone to my "go to" teams, Presbyterian and Robert Morris, numerous times.

Chalupa Batman
November 12th, 2022, 08:38 PM
Even a pinch more difficult and most of us would be on the sidelines watching. I suppose you could limit the number of times you can pick a team to lose to maybe 3 times, I've gone to my "go to" teams, Presbyterian and Robert Morris, numerous times.

I’m open to whatever suggestions PWO has, but I think this has been appropriately difficult. Not easy enough that everyone advances and those of us that are still alive are struggling to come up with enough solid picks each week.

taper
November 12th, 2022, 09:15 PM
With the current rules an elimination week effectively means you won't win, so you might as well go to single elimination instead of double. Might change how we pick teams.