View Full Version : AGS Playoff Bracket Challenge - After Semifinals, Fall 2021
Preferred Walk-On
December 18th, 2021, 05:02 PM
With one game remaining, and it's a big one, Professor Chaos has taken the lead. He also had both teams in his championship matchup. Nice work, Professor.
The semifinal week awards are as follows:
High Score: footballer23
Best Score Prediction: bonarae
Best Margin Prediction: bonarae, Daytripper, footballer23, grizband, HootyHoo, katss07, KsawOwls, ming01, OhioHen
When I get a chance, I will post all the players with a predicted National Championship team still alive. However, our winner will surely come down to score and margin predictions, as nobody picked Montana State to win the championship (bulletin board material, I guess). That said, it will be quite difficult for anyone to catch the Professor, but I am not going to do the math to determine whether or not it is possible (somebody else can do this, if they want).
On to Frisco...
Player
Semifinals
Total
# Correct
Professor Chaos
92
447
18
caribbeanhen
84
444
17
ElCid
68
419
19
Catbooster
92
412
18
Chalupa Batman
88
410
17
OhioHen
84
406
18
Massey
68
403
18
footballer23
116
400
15
wapiti
100
399
17
dewey
76
398
18
MSUBobcat
92
393
17
putter
40
393
17
ST_Lawson
68
391
17
Pitz
48
384
16
Katfan
84
381
17
MSUWineGuy
68
381
16
Roamingriz
80
378
16
taper
72
375
17
mvfcfan
88
373
16
THE DANIMAL
80
372
15
Carolina010
68
370
16
ming01
88
367
12
MR. CHICKEN
76
366
16
bobcathpdevil56
84
365
16
Karl Havoc
48
364
15
HensRock
52
360
17
FCSbuff319
44
359
16
Go Lehigh TU owl
68
359
14
Bisonator
68
358
16
Griz23
64
350
15
atthewbon
64
349
17
Preferred Walk-On
52
348
16
Prime Power
48
348
17
CockyGeek
64
347
16
Hambone
64
346
15
JacksFan40
60
345
15
POD Knows
56
344
15
mvemjsunpx
64
343
13
GoBlueHens83
64
342
13
BigBlueMU
56
340
14
crusader11
64
337
15
MSUDuo
48
330
14
TheValleyRaider
40
329
15
NOLA
24
326
14
grizband
88
320
13
Daytripper
88
310
13
RabidRabbit
308
14
bonarae
100
303
13
HootyHoo
56
302
13
JSUSoutherner
40
299
14
katss07
68
298
14
KsawOwls
64
294
12
MTfan4life
40
294
13
paward
60
277
12
Libertine
48
245
10
Puddin Tane
36
196
10
CenMEBlackBearFan
75
6
Mfergy4
74
6
Anthony215
45
4
bob12
0
0
dgtw
0
0
Drblankstare
0
0
Gangtackle11
0
0
McNeese75
0
0
NY Crusader 2010
0
0
PantherRob82
0
0
SpreadTheWord
0
0
TheKingpin28
0
0
Preferred Walk-On
December 18th, 2021, 08:06 PM
Here are the remaining players that still have a potential national champion remaining. Broken down into two groups, but really does not matter, since all have picked North Dakota State. Again, will come down to score and margin predictions, with up to 50 pt available there. If North Dakota State loses, then caribbeanhen (did not have NDSU in championship game) has a chance to make up (3) points, but since the next closest players are 28 pt behind (and did not have NDSU in championship game) and 35 pt behind (but same pick as the Professor), it seems highly unlikely (dare I say impossible, given that the score predictions are all very similar) that anyone but caribbean has a chance. It appears to be a two-horse race.
National Champion Still Alive
Player
Total Points
Semifinalist 1
Semifinalist 2
Champion
Montana State v. North Dakota State
Professor Chaos
447
Montana State
North Dakota State
North Dakota State
Catbooster
412
Montana State
North Dakota State
North Dakota State
footballer23
400
Montana State
North Dakota State
North Dakota State
MSUBobcat
393
Montana State
North Dakota State
North Dakota State
bobcathpdevil56
365
Montana State
North Dakota State
North Dakota State
Other v. North Dakota State
Chalupa Batman
410
Sam Houston
North Dakota State
North Dakota State
OhioHen
406
Sam Houston
North Dakota State
North Dakota State
Massey
403
South Dakota State
North Dakota State
North Dakota State
dewey
398
South Dakota State
North Dakota State
North Dakota State
ST_Lawson
391
South Dakota State
North Dakota State
North Dakota State
MSUWineGuy
381
South Dakota State
North Dakota State
North Dakota State
Roamingriz
378
Sam Houston
North Dakota State
North Dakota State
taper
375
South Dakota State
North Dakota State
North Dakota State
mvfcfan
373
Sam Houston
North Dakota State
North Dakota State
ming01
367
Sam Houston
North Dakota State
North Dakota State
HensRock
360
South Dakota State
North Dakota State
North Dakota State
Bisonator
358
South Dakota State
North Dakota State
North Dakota State
Griz23
350
South Dakota State
North Dakota State
North Dakota State
Preferred Walk-On
348
South Dakota State
North Dakota State
North Dakota State
Prime Power
348
South Dakota State
North Dakota State
North Dakota State
grizband
320
Sam Houston
North Dakota State
North Dakota State
JSUSoutherner
299
South Dakota State
North Dakota State
North Dakota State
MTfan4life
294
Villanova
North Dakota State
North Dakota State
Catbooster
December 18th, 2021, 08:45 PM
I should have had faith and taken my Bobcats one more game. Given our performance on offense with the QB we were running at the time, I thought I was going too far as it was.
caribbeanhen
December 19th, 2021, 08:27 AM
So your telling me if Montana State wins I still have a chance?
Well I’m telling you I have no chance... none
Professor Chaos
December 19th, 2021, 09:24 AM
So your telling me if Montana State wins I still have a chance?
Well I’m telling you I have no chance... none
Better go get your Touchdown Tommy merch now! ;)
caribbeanhen
December 19th, 2021, 09:30 AM
Better go get your Touchdown Tommy merch now! ;)
Haha, might have to work up a little song about Tommy two threat
Preferred Walk-On
December 19th, 2021, 01:39 PM
Professor Chaos
North Dakota State 30
Montana State 16
caribbeanhen
Sam Houston 24
North Dakota State 20
If North Dakota State wins, Professor Chaos would automatically have 25 pt on caribbeanhen (by virtue of correct pick) and score prediction/margin of victory should be to the Professor's advantage as well. If Montana State wins, it would come down to score prediction and margin of victory. caribbeanhen would already have a slight advantage, as he already picked the winner to score more than North Dakota State, and would therefore have a score prediction and margin of victory edge. So, let's say Montana State wins by 1 pt, 21-20. caribbeanhen would get 25 pt for score prediction (within 3 pt) and 25 pt for margin of victory (again, within 3 pt) and will easily overtake the Professor. Let's say Montana State wins 54-24. caribbeanhen would pick up 0 pt for score prediction (35 off) and 0 pt for margin of victory (26 off) and the Professor would win. It basically comes down to does Montana State or North Dakota State win, with the only caveat being that it is not a high scoring blowout. I really don't see that (high-scoring blowout) scenario happening though. This is just crude math, but I think it pretty much rides on the winner of the game.
caribbeanhen
December 19th, 2021, 11:21 PM
Thanks for that outstanding explanation Full Ride
Lets go Montana State!
caribbeanhen
December 21st, 2021, 01:08 PM
Professor Chaos
North Dakota State 30
Montana State 16
caribbeanhen
Sam Houston 24
North Dakota State 20
If North Dakota State wins, Professor Chaos would automatically have 25 pt on caribbeanhen (by virtue of correct pick) and score prediction/margin of victory should be to the Professor's advantage as well. If Montana State wins, it would come down to score prediction and margin of victory. caribbeanhen would already have a slight advantage, as he already picked the winner to score more than North Dakota State, and would therefore have a score prediction and margin of victory edge. So, let's say Montana State wins by 1 pt, 21-20. caribbeanhen would get 25 pt for score prediction (within 3 pt) and 25 pt for margin of victory (again, within 3 pt) and will easily overtake the Professor. Let's say Montana State wins 54-24. caribbeanhen would pick up 0 pt for score prediction (35 off) and 0 pt for margin of victory (26 off) and the Professor would win. It basically comes down to does Montana State or North Dakota State win, with the only caveat being that it is not a high scoring blowout. I really don't see that (high-scoring blowout) scenario happening though. This is just crude math, but I think it pretty much rides on the winner of the game.
You know this is not the first time The Good Professor and I have had the pleasure to know one of these things is not like the other
Such a contrast in styles
Professor is a man of spreadsheets, mathematical equations and algorithms
I dont have a computer, use an abacus and stickmen for counting and can barely do basic math
Profesor is a statistician, the numbers are his native language
I don’t bother looking at the stats, not smart enough to interpret into anything useful
The Professor is an X’s and O’s guy
Cover 2, Zone read, Jack and Jill or is it Will
I’m a Jimmies and Joes guy because I can still see, just watchwatch games and don’t bother trying to hear them
Profesor is spit and polished, sugar and spice college stamped and everything nice, pair of Rockports, Gucci watch, pipe, fireplace with Christmas music and a light snow falling
Im rough around the edges, an unwashed pheasant (tyhh) earned my degree right here on AGS, flip flops, use beer for toothpaste and styling gel. Song lyrics dancing in my head and came on here to pan for laughs and how I got here I havent a clue
but here we are
Merry Christmas and Happy New Year to everyone on AGS
Professor Chaos
December 21st, 2021, 02:12 PM
You know this is not the first time The Good Professor and I have had the pleasure to know one of these things is not like the other
Such a contrast in styles
Professor is a man of spreadsheets, mathematical equations and algorithms
I dont have a computer, use an abacus and stickmen for counting and can barely do basic math
Profesor is a statistician, the numbers are his native language
I don’t bother looking at the stats, not smart enough to interpret into anything useful
The Professor is an X’s and O’s guy
Cover 2, Zone read, Jack and Jill or is it Will
I’m a Jimmies and Joes guy because I can still see, just watchwatch games and don’t bother trying to hear them
Profesor is spit and polished, sugar and spice college stamped and everything nice, pair of Rockports, Gucci watch, pipe, fireplace with Christmas music and a light snow falling
Im rough around the edges, an unwashed pheasant (tyhh) earned my degree right here on AGS, flip flops, use beer for toothpaste and styling gel. Song lyrics dancing in my head and came on here to pan for laughs and how I got here I havent a clue
but here we are
Merry Christmas and Happy New Year to everyone on AGS
IIRC that was in the playoff pick 'em in 2017 when it came down to who won the title between the Bison and the Dukes. I do like to look at stats but I go with my gut way more than I should. Not quite sure why I picked Montana St to come out of the top half of the bracket... I guess I figured SDSU was going to blow up the 4/5 quadrant and my gut told me they'd run out of gas in the semis. It was definitely a gut instinct to pick Montana St over SHSU in the quarters. I should try to remember what I ate the day I filled out that bracket because my gut was on the money (so far)!
And for what it's worth I wear gym shorts probably over 75% of the time since COVID started. :)
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