What are the chances of your team making the playoffs...

[ChickenMan]

I'd say Delaware's chances are 50/50 at best. The Hens had some questions heading into the preseason and injuries have only made things more difficult. Although UD is capable of anything from 6-5 to 9-2... too many things will have to go well for UD to get to the eight wins needed for a playoff bid. My guess is 7-4.

[Killtoppers90]

I'd say that WKU will make the playoffs again to continue our streak. And look out, we might even win a game this season there too!

[Hansel]

Highly unlikely

[ngineer]

I would say Lehigh's chances are about 80%. The significant parity among the top four teams (Lehigh, Colgate, Fordham and Lafayette) makes for a good possibility of a shared title, again--and even a possible 3-way. Someone, there, would get left out in the cold. But on balance, I think we are one of the top two teams in the league and should get in. Wins over UD and/Harvard won't hurt either.

[cosmo here]

I would say Lehigh's chances are about 80%. The significant parity among the top four teams (Lehigh, Colgate, Fordham and Lafayette) makes for a good possibility of a shared title, again--and even a possible 3-way. Someone, there, would get left out in the cold. But on balance, I think we are one of the top two teams in the league and should get in. Wins over UD and/Harvard won't hurt either.

80% . . that means there's a 1 in 5 chance Lehigh doesn't make it. Last year, winning eight straight after losing to Villanova and then losing at Lafayette, Lehigh had to sweat it out on Sunday. And the PL usually doesn't get a second team in. With the 'significant parity' and non-league games vs. Delaware and Harvard, I think you're overly generous.

[Tribe4SF]

With 6-8 teams having a realistic shot in the A-10, I don't think anyone's odds are better than 50-50. I just came from the Tribes first scrimmage, and based on the play of the two QBs, I do expect us to be in the mix.

[ISUMatt]

Id say realistically Illinois State has a less than 5% chance to make the playoffs... more like 1% because Id never say never!!!

[tribe ol]

4SF,

Would love to hear your observations on the scrimmage if you have time to post...

[txstatebobcat]

We can only afford to lose one OOC game and one conference matchup. While its certainly possible, all kinds of things could go wrong.

[Tribe4SF]

4SF,

Would love to hear your observations on the scrimmage if you have time to post...

Will post on CAA temporary board.

[tribe ol]

Thanks so much!

[catbob]

I'd say the Cats chances are pretty decent, but not sound by any means.

We have very winnable conference games against NAU, ISU, Weber, Sac St and PSU. We should hold an advantage in those games though I can see us losing to NAU and possibly PSU if they live up to the hype.

But then we have a road game vs EWU and then travel back to Bozeman to play the Griz.

Good news is 3 of our last 4 are at home, but that one road game is agains EWU.

I can see us making the playoffs, but with our hard OOC schedule (NDSU, Cal Poly, SFA, Ok St), and 2 top5 ranked teams in our conference, we are going to have to lose no more than 2 conference games to hopefully get a share (I think we have the chance to win it outright but we are a typically injury prone team), and if we win 3 OOC games then we can lose a couple conference games and maybe still get at at large bid with an 8-3 record, considering how difficult our schedule is this year.

I give us a 65% chance, maybe 70%.

[rcny46]

I agree with Tribe4SF's logic when he says that he doubts anyone's chances are better than 50/50.I can envision UNH losing 4 or 5,and that will negate their chances this year IMHO.

[JaxSinfonian]

Fair-to-middlin'.

If JSU doesn't win the OVC, they'd better have put a hurtin' on Furman, UTC and UAB.

[igo4uni]

Id say realistically Illinois State has a less than 5% chance to make the playoffs... more like 1% because Id never say never!!!

I don't want you to think that I'm piling on, Matt, but you probably are correct on this issue. Who knows, though. The Redbirds could beat WKU and SIU and win the rest of their conference games (except vs. UNI of course) and get into the playoffs.

You may just have to wait for Basketball season!! :D :D

peace

igo4uni

[youwouldno]

Very high (Furman)

[th0m]

I have no idea. Although it sounds like a broken record, because of the conference slate I have no idea. What I do know is that a lot of people expect us to.

[Pantherpower]

UNI can't have the let down game this year. If they avoid that, I'd say their chances of getting in the playoffs are better than average.

[poharry]

Slim and none and none is going for the door right now.

[saint0917]

I would say Umass has about a 75 to 80% chance of making the playoffs. They should start off the year 6-0, 5-1. The last 5 will be tough. Out of those 5 Umass only has one home game. Should end the year at 9-2, 8-3.

@ Maine
New Hampshire, Home
@ Delaware
@ Army
@ Hofstra

[eaglesrthe1]

I say an 80% chance for the Eagles

[Sam Adams]

You just never know in the A10. The league is just so tough its easy to imagine losing games you think you should win and then pulling an upset on the road. UMass is pretty well loaded with lots of depth on offense and an emerging defense. I'd give them a 70% chance at finishing 8-3 and getting a bid.

[dungeonjoe]

always a threesome in the SoCon making it to the playoffs. Wofford can only lose two games on the SoCon schedule if we hope to go... I'd say it will hinge on the APpSt game. I'd say WoCo has about a 3 in 10 shot of going.

[Ronbo]

This would be our 13th straight playoff. (Knock on wood). If I was superstitious (stroking rabbits foot) I would be very scared that we might have a bad year. (Kissing my horseshoe). Hope we don't have an injury marred season that kills our playoff chances. Hang on, where's my 4 leaf clover, I've lost my 4 leaf clover! It was right here in my wallet, where is that damn thing? Oh there it is. Whew! That would have done us in for sure. ;)

[ngineer]

80% . . that means there's a 1 in 5 chance Lehigh doesn't make it. Last year, winning eight straight after losing to Villanova and then losing at Lafayette, Lehigh had to sweat it out on Sunday. And the PL usually doesn't get a second team in. With the 'significant parity' and non-league games vs. Delaware and Harvard, I think you're overly generous.

I see your point, but my view is that "all things being equal" Lehigh goes 6-0 or 5-1 in the league and we win at least one of the major OOC games with Delaware and Harvard. At 9-2, we go either with the auto or selection. At 8-3, very doubtful, but I see the odds of us going 8-3 at about 1 in 5.
No question that if we lose a few key players to injury, the formula changes, but no one can forecast that.

[blukeys]

I'd say Delaware's chances are 50/50 at best. The Hens had some questions heading into the preseason and injuries have only made things more difficult. Although UD is capable of anything from 6-5 to 9-2... too many things will have to go well for UD to get to the eight wins needed for a playoff bid. My guess is 7-4.

What you said CM

[GreatAppSt]

I think the Apps can make it, our schedule thinks we can't. We'll see soon enough.

[JMU2004]

50% or lower for JMU.....if we were in any other conference, 80% or higher

JMU is loaded....and if anyone wants to be scared, we are even MORE loaded in 2006.

[McNeese75]

:confused: :eek: :rotateh: :bawling: :mad:

Probably not, most likely no way!

[blukeys]

:confused: :eek: :rotateh: :bawling: :mad:

Probably not, most likely no way!

So what's the likely opening date of the Crapsville Bar in Lake Charles? ;) ;) ;)

[McNeese75]

So what's the likely opening date of the Crapsville Bar in Lake Charles? ;) ;) ;)

Oh I figure we will be undefeated until conference play begins and then the bloodletting will begin so probably not until late October or so :eek: :D

[kats89]

Depends on how the receiving corp plays out. Couple of these guys break through and we could see a run like last year again. Will wait until conference starts to make a more educated guess.

[Sly Fox]

At Liberty we frown on making odds. :D

That said, we are a MAJOR longshot. But anything is possible.

[UAalum72]

At Liberty we frown on making odds. :D

Then don't make odds. Call it a math problem and calculate the probabilities (for entertainment purposes only, not for gambling).

For example, I figure Albany's probability of going undefeated this year is about 0.000159% . This would get us to the selection committee, where the chance of being selected would be MUCH worse (unless UMass, Maine and Hofstra still finish 1-2-3 in the A-10 and Fordham wins the Patriot) because any playoff-league team that loses to an NEC squad is obviously not very good.

[Husky Alum]

NU's chances for the playoffs... slim and next to none. Here's why....

1. Too many question marks at QB and on D (LB and in the backfield).

2. A-10 is as loaded as it has been in ages.

3. OOC schedule is suicide.

I say about 10% if I were placing odds.

[eagleskins]

Oh I figure we will be undefeated until conference play begins and then the bloodletting will begin so probably not until late October or so :eek: :D


McNeese is going to beat GSU in Statesboro? Don't think so buddy.

[McNeese75]

McNeese is going to beat GSU in Statesboro? Don't think so buddy.

:D OH, you caught that little jab did ya ;)

We just expect to have a good time before and after the game at a minimum and hopefully will be able to enjoy the inbetween without too much discomfort. :p

[blukeys]

Oh I figure we will be undefeated until conference play begins and then the bloodletting will begin so probably not until late October or so :eek: :D
Save me a seat. I drink Jack on the rocks. ;) :) :beerchug: :beerchug: :beerchug:

[golionsgo]

We're probably not at the point in our program where we're ready to make a playoff push but I do think we're good enough to spoil someone else's chance.

[McNeese75]

Save me a seat. I drink Jack on the rocks. ;) :) :beerchug: :beerchug: :beerchug:

xprost2x Would you like to preorder any appetizers Sir? Myself, I will be having the crab cakes with my Crown and Seven.

[buckp]

xprost2x Would you like to preorder any appetizers Sir? Myself, I will be having the crab cakes with my Crown and Seven.

Make mine a double, 75........I'm starting to get nervous over our first game! ;)

[Reed Rothchild]

I'd say UNI's chances are strong to quite strong. Favorable schedule with 1 tough conference game at WKU. But the Panthers need to watch out for those "letdown" games that always seem to trouble them (Ill St in '01) 9-2 or 8-3 will get them in

[Dukester]

We (JMU) enter the A10 season with the most overall talent and experience - but we also face the most difficult conference road schedule. That said, if we keep our QB healthy I say 60% we make the playoffs.

:)

[McNeese75]

Make mine a double, 75........I'm starting to get nervous over our first game! ;)

I am excited about it (well nervous maybe) but if we slip on that one, Its gonna be a looooooooooooooong ride :(

[blukeys]

xprost2x Would you like to preorder any appetizers Sir? Myself, I will be having the crab cakes with my Crown and Seven.


Crab Cakes works for me we love them up here. :beerchug:

[OL FU]

Very high (Furman)


Ditto

[Ivytalk]

Slim and none, and Slim just left town!

Thank YOU, Ivy League presidents! :mad:

[colgate13]

I'd put Colgate in the 25-35% range, based on chances of winning the autobid.

Throw in a one loss to a PL team winning the title and going 10-1, in as an at-large with a UMass W. I'd put those odds under 5%.

[Pard94]

80% . . that means there's a 1 in 5 chance Lehigh doesn't make it. Last year, winning eight straight after losing to Villanova and then losing at Lafayette, Lehigh had to sweat it out on Sunday. And the PL usually doesn't get a second team in. With the 'significant parity' and non-league games vs. Delaware and Harvard, I think you're overly generous.

That's right Cosmo, set him straight!

[LetsGoNova]

I'd say Villanova is probably on the lower end of the playoff contenders in the A-10. Our schedule is suicidal, with a I-A and only four home games. A lot of question marks on defense and the O-line has to step it up. I'll say 25% if I have to give a %.

[putter]

Griz have 50/50 shot

[OL FU]

Griz have 50/50 shot

Cautious? or is there a good reason to believe that it might not be 14 (is that correct?) in a row?

[Black and Gold Express]

Talentwise I think we're back to being playoff caliber. But what will do us in is that we're likely to only have 1-2 quality wins max this year with our schedule.

What we need is the autobid, which will be tough. Our best hope, realistically, is to be 2-2 in OOC. Say we split with GSU and Furman (I'm going to say W at home against GSU, L on the road to Furman), and run the table the rest of the way, at 8-3, 6-1 we should get a share of the crown unless Furman runs the table at 7-0 (a good possibility).

Some ASU folks seem to think 7-4 with our schedule gives us a good shot to get in, but unless at least one of those wins is from KU/FU/GSU/LSU, I would wonder where the quality wins come from. I don't think the committe would see Wofford, EKU, and CCU all as quality wins, but that could be our salvation.

Either way, we have to get over this road losing hump, which hopefully we do in week 1 at EKU. No small task, but if we don't, I think there is a real possibility of the road becoming this Mental Monster that screws us in the ground harder each week. That is, until we beat Elon to snap it, worst case. ;)

As for my pick, I'll put us at 35% chance right now. It's a lot to ask of this team, but it's not like the pieces are not in place to do it. We just have to be near-perfect in our I-AA schedule.

[putter]

Cautious? or is there a good reason to believe that it might not be 14 (is that correct?) in a row?


I think we are definitely playoff calibur and can go deep again- especially with our defense. I think with a new QB and a more balanced Big Sky that we can not afford any letdowns this year as Eastern Washington, Montana State and Portland State can get in as well as Northern Arizona so there is not much room for error this year.

[ChiefGSU275]

Slim and none, and Slim just left town!

Thank YOU, Ivy League presidents! :mad:


LOL!! That is funny right there!!

As for GSU, I think we will be in. We will have some question marks early, but I think we have the talent to at least share the conference title, if not win it outright, but I think that will hinge on our trip to Boone. The Furman game I am more confident in because we are at home and will have had time for our team to gel.