Massey Projected D1 Wins

[BisonTru]

Team
DI Wins
Projected Wins Remaining
Projected Losses Remaining
Projected D1 Wins


N Dakota StMissouri Valley
5
6.54
0.46
11.54


MontanaBig Sky
5
4.26
1.74
9.26


S Dakota StMissouri Valley
4
5.44
1.56
9.44


James MadisonColonial
5
5.16
0.84
10.16


Weber StBig Sky
3
4.74
2.26
7.74


VillanovaColonial
6
4.18
1.82
10.18


Montana StBig Sky
5
3.63
2.37
8.63


Northern IowaMissouri Valley
3
4.34
2.66
7.34


CS SacramentoBig Sky
2
3.41
3.59
5.41


North DakotaBig Sky
3
3.56
2.44
6.56


UC DavisBig Sky
2
3.96
2.04
5.96


TowsonColonial
3
4.57
2.43
7.57


Youngstown StMissouri Valley
4
3.69
3.31
7.69


DelawareColonial
3
4.34
2.66
7.34


FurmanSouthern
4
4.14
0.86
8.14


Nicholls StSouthland
3
5.1
1.9
8.1


Stony BrookColonial
4
3.67
2.33
7.67


KennesawBig South
3
6.68
0.32
9.68


E WashingtonBig Sky
1
3.93
2.07
4.93


Idaho StBig Sky
1
3.47
3.53
4.47


Illinois StMissouri Valley
3
3.77
3.23
6.77


Cent ArkansasSouthland
3
4.74
2.26
7.74


Sam Houston StSouthland
3
4.23
1.77
7.23


NC A&TMid-Eastern AC
4
5.1
0.9
9.1


MaineColonial
2
4.4
2.6
6.4


New HampshireColonial
3
2.32
3.68
5.32


IdahoBig Sky
1
2.87
3.13
3.87


SE Missouri StOH Valley
2
5.13
1.87
7.13


Cal PolyBig Sky
2
2.49
3.51
4.49


South DakotaMissouri Valley
2
2.84
4.16
4.84


SE LouisianaSouthland
3
3.66
2.34
6.66


S IllinoisMissouri Valley
2
3.35
3.65
5.35


Portland StBig Sky
2
2.32
3.68
4.32


Northern ArizonaBig Sky
2
2.34
3.66
4.34


Jacksonville StOH Valley
4
3.89
2.11
7.89


ElonColonial
2
2.07
2.93
4.07


San DiegoPioneer
2
6.02
0.98
8.02


WoffordSouthern
3
3.33
2.67
6.33


TN MartinOH Valley
3
3.7
3.3
6.7


SamfordSouthern
3
3.61
2.39
6.61


Central ConnNortheast
3
5.21
1.79
8.21


McNeese StSouthland
3
3
3
6


Incarnate WordSouthland
3
3.26
3.74
6.26


Rhode IslandColonial
1
3.05
3.95
4.05


Austin PeayOH Valley
3
4.4
2.6
7.4


Holy CrossPatriot League
2
4.28
2.72
6.28


ChattanoogaSouthern
3
2.83
3.17
5.83


Missouri StMissouri Valley
1
1.58
5.42
2.58


Abilene ChrSouthland
1
2.64
3.36
3.64


Indiana StMissouri Valley
2
2.24
4.76
4.24


GeorgetownPatriot League
3
4.02
1.98
7.02


William & MaryColonial
2
2.12
3.88
4.12


Tennessee TechOH Valley
3
2.89
3.11
5.89


DuquesneNortheast
2
4.13
1.87
6.13


CitadelSouthern
2
3.11
2.89
5.11


Monmouth NJBig South
3
4.55
2.45
7.55


LamarSouthland
2
2.51
3.49
4.51


SUNY AlbanyColonial
3
1.63
4.37
4.63


Houston BapSouthland
3
1.72
4.28
4.72


Green = Project 8+ Wins
Yellow = Project 7 Wins
Orange = Project 6 Wins
Red = Less than 6 Wins

[BisonTru]

Analysis: The cut line seems to be right around Sam Houston St. UC Davis is ranked pretty high by Massey but only get 6 D1 wins. That makes them eligible but we will see how the committee sees that. NC A&T could throw a curve ball if they don't win their conference. Monmouth is another interesting team that is projected at 8 D1 wins but a very low ranking and schedule.

Btw, I am assuming North Alabama counts as a D1 win, but I'm not sure on that. If anyone can clarify that I'd appreciate it.

[X-Factor]

Interesting data. Northern Iowa sticks out, and this shouldn’t be anything new because they put themselves in a tough spot year after year. It’s just surprising to see them projected at only 7.

[apaladin]

Has this been updated? Furman has 4 D1 wins not 3.

[gofurman]

Has this been updated? Furman has 4 D1 wins not 3.

good point - Furman beat Charleston SOuthern, Mercer, ETSU and Samford.. somehow Massey missed on that or something

[Serpentor]

Analysis: The cut line seems to be right around Sam Houston St.

Yay! We're around the cut line! xthumbsupx

[PaladinFan]

good point - Furman beat Charleston SOuthern, Mercer, ETSU and Samford.. somehow Massey missed on that or something

But I thought I was supposed to let computers tell me how to think about everything.

[MR. CHICKEN]

But I thought I was supposed to let computers tell me how to think about everything.


.....WHAA NOT?......BASEBALL MANAGERS DO....xwhistlex.....AWK!

[Milktruck74]

good point - Furman beat Charleston SOuthern, Mercer, ETSU and Samford.. somehow Massey missed on that or something

Based on their play over the past few weeks, Massey may only be giving you credit for a 1/2 of a D1 win for MErcer and ETSU....xsmiley_wix

[FUBeAR]

Based on their play over the past few weeks, Massey may only be giving you credit for a 1/2 of a D1 win for MErcer and ETSU....xsmiley_wixLOLOLOLOLOLOL - MilkTruck got jokes!

My tea leaves told me this morning that Chatt loses their next 4...handily. They may have said final 6, but I couldn’t quite make out that military-looking formation in the bottom of the cup.

With a potentially serious injury to the #1 WR, who I don’t think returned after leaving in Q3, & RB Ford not feeling too ‘chipper’ by Q4 (6 carries for 13 yds in the 4th - about 1/2 of his ypc in the other 3 quarters), the Mocs may really struggle to find some Offense in the coming weeks.

Looking forward to more of your jokes if the SnakeBirds finish with 6 straight L’s! xsmiley_wix

[Professor]

Analysis: The cut line seems to be right around Sam Houston St. UC Davis is ranked pretty high by Massey but only get 6 D1 wins. That makes them eligible but we will see how the committee sees that. NC A&T could throw a curve ball if they don't win their conference. Monmouth is another interesting team that is projected at 8 D1 wins but a very low ranking and schedule.

Btw, I am assuming North Alabama counts as a D1 win, but I'm not sure on that. If anyone can clarify that I'd appreciate it.

The MEAC should be decided on Nov 2nd

[rtzlunar]

LOLOLOLOLOLOL - MilkTruck got jokes!

Looking forward to more of your jokes if the SnakeBirds finish with 6 straight L’s! xsmiley_wix

FUBeAR you weren’t kidding when you said you were pissy after the game Saturday. But it’s Monday now - let it go.

[Milktruck74]

LOLOLOLOLOLOL - MilkTruck got jokes!

My tea leaves told me this morning that Chatt loses their next 4...handily. They may have said final 6, but I couldn’t quite make out that military-looking formation in the bottom of the cup.

With a potentially serious injury to the #1 WR, who I don’t think returned after leaving in Q3, & RB Ford not feeling too ‘chipper’ by Q4 (6 carries for 13 yds in the 4th - about 1/2 of his ypc in the other 3 quarters), the Mocs may really struggle to find some Offense in the coming weeks.

Looking forward to more of your jokes if the SnakeBirds finish with 6 straight L’s! xsmiley_wix

I believe we pick up at least one of the next 4...Probably next Thursday. We are seriously banged up, but we have guys stepping up. We are getting better each week, so there is that. I know we haven't beaten anybody, but we are much better than we were last year. I think we will close out the last 6 on a even split. And I'll keep the jokes rolling!!!!

[BisonTru]

Has this been updated? Furman has 4 D1 wins not 3.

So when I put this together I have to manually adjust for non D1 games. Y’all have a non counter at the end of the season. Most teams have already played their non D1 games so I usually just adjust from the first column. In your case I should take off the win in wins remaining. The end result is the same tho.


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[Lehigh Football Nation]

CCSU is damned interesting in there with 8-9 projected D-I wins.

[BisonTru]

Btw, I have fixed Furman's numbers.