Schedule Strength

[UNHWildCats]

Based on announced schedules and partial schedules for a handfull of teams these are my current SOS top 5 and bottom 5. I will have a complete workup on the comple FCS and break down by conference and so forth as soon as full schedules are relased for the remaining 12 schools or so.

Top 5

1 Southern Utah .637
2 Delaware .568
3 Dartmouth .565
4 Northern Colorado .557
5 Brown .555


Bottom 5

119 Eastern Kentucky .430
120 San Diego .425
121 Jacksonville State .415
122 Southeast Missouri State .414
123 La Salle .373

La Salle is one of the schools without full schedule being announced so its SOS could rise depending on who fills there remaining 2 or 3 slots.

I am saying it now. I dont want to hear any San Diego playoff talk this year NONE! :p

[Go...gate]

Two Ivies with highest strength of schedule. Very interesting.

[UNHWildCats]

The forumal i used isnt ideal but it also takes into account more then just the opponents overall record.

it weighs the opponents record 2/3 and the oppponent opponents record 1/3 that simple.

those 2 ivies are high because they were the two worst IVy schools last year thus they arent brogut down by facing worse conference opponents except for each other once. They both also play some tough OOC games including Dartmouith at UNH and Brown vs URI which means there opp opp calculation includes CAA teams.

But the bottom line w/l wise they both play some tough schedules based on last seasons records, though im sure there rankings may change as the season moves forward.

[appfan2008]

I think we all knew southern utah had a tough schedule but that proves it right there

[UNHWildCats]

I forgot to mention that the opponents opponents records from FBS and sub div I opponents are included for those teams just there record.

[UNHWildCats]

tell me about it Bobby :p you should see the spreadsheet I have going, every NCAA and NAIA team is listed with there records, then formulas calcuating each teams schedule to calculate the ratings :p

Another one of my projects to help ya'll enjoy ur football more :p

I really wish the rest of these schedules would come out so I can put the whole thing together for everyone.

[appfan2008]

once again thank you so much for all you do with the schedules... UNH

[UNHWildCats]

:D you aint seen nothing yet :D

[appfan2008]

i am looking forward to anything you can give us... your work is invaluable

[Seawolf97]

I dont think there is anyone on these boards that doesnt appreciate your time and work on this information

[appfan2008]

I dont think there is anyone on these boards that doesnt appreciate your time and work on this information
i agree... you are one of the only guys that everyone likes... i know people hate me!

[UNHWildCats]

everyone doesnt like me:P my politics gets me trouble lol

[appfan2008]

I was mostly refering to the fcs discussion area... which after a ton of fights in the political wing... i have decided to try to stick to

[UNHWildCats]

:p

[appfan2008]

In your humble opinion... who do you think app will fill their schedule with???

[bobbythekidd]

In your humble opinion... who do you think app will fill their schedule with???
money, and, more money games. You were not asking me though.

[UNHWildCats]

In your humble opinion... who do you think app will fill their schedule with???

Seriously I think they should call UNH and try working out a home and home, UNH would prolly want it this year to help offset a payout to Iona to cancel the game with them. That would instantly become one of the best games of the year.

Other then that I havent really looked at the openings but I will get back to you.

[UNHWildCats]

That was easy, short of teams canceling a game there not much to work with here. Sep 8 has Weber open but they have a rumored 11th game that would invoilve a cancel somewhere. Davidson and Valpo are also open.

Oct 6 just Howard.

Oct 13 just Saint Peter's

My best guess is that they will add a second FBS game and a Div II game But I have no idea whos open for those divisions

[seahawkfan2007]

If San Diego (11-1) had same record as Brown (3-8) last year and visa versa both of their 07' scheduled opponents winning percentage would about the same. Not saying they will but an 11-0 San Diego team in 07' including a win against UC-Davis on Nov 17th should get them in the playoffs.

[UNHWildCats]

If San Diego (11-1) had same record as Brown (3-8) last year and visa versa both of their 07' scheduled opponents winning percentage would about the same. Not saying they will but an 11-0 San Diego team in 07' including a win against UC-Davis on Nov 17th should get them in the playoffs.

Not sure I understand what your saying there?

[lucchesicourt]

It's not likely San Diego will beat UCD at home. UCD should be better this year again as they add schollies. The red shirts from last year, should make a huge impact for the Aggie squad this year..

[appfan2008]

That was easy, short of teams canceling a game there not much to work with here. Sep 8 has Weber open but they have a rumored 11th game that would invoilve a cancel somewhere. Davidson and Valpo are also open.

Oct 6 just Howard.

Oct 13 just Saint Peter's

My best guess is that they will add a second FBS game and a Div II game But I have no idea whos open for those divisions
I agree with you and also with bobby that we will probably hook up with a MAC team and a D2...

that will be fun but i would rather play 2 d1fcs xnodx xnodx xnodx

[danefan]

I'm sorry but San Diego could somehow miraculously go 55-0 in an 11 game schedule and still shouldn't get a playoff bid with a strength of schedule in the bottom 5. Just can't happen.

I'm wondering where Albany would be? Probably pretty low as well. I'd have to imagine the NEC schedule brings them down.

[89Hen]

Not sure I understand what your saying there?
Glad I wasn't the only one xrotatehx .

[89Hen]

Top 5
2 Delaware .568
xeyebrowx Travis, not to knock all your work, but that seems awfully high to me.

[appfan2008]

I'm sorry but San Diego could somehow miraculously go 55-0 in an 11 game schedule and still shouldn't get a playoff bid with a strength of schedule in the bottom 5. Just can't happen.

I'm wondering where Albany would be? Probably pretty low as well. I'd have to imagine the NEC schedule brings them down.
more than likely that would be the case and that is so right about usd... never will they get a bid!!!

[appfan2008]

xeyebrowx Travis, not to knock all your work, but that seems awfully high to me.
could be that they just play the best teams of the caa this coming year as a guess

[Peems]

Based on announced schedules and partial schedules for a handfull of teams these are my current SOS top 5 and bottom 5. I will have a complete workup on the comple FCS and break down by conference and so forth as soon as full schedules are relased for the remaining 12 schools or so.

Top 5

1 Southern Utah .637
2 Delaware .568
3 Dartmouth .565
4 Northern Colorado .557
5 Brown .555


Bottom 5

119 Eastern Kentucky .430
120 San Diego .425
121 Jacksonville State .415
122 Southeast Missouri State .414
123 La Salle .373

La Salle is one of the schools without full schedule being announced so its SOS could rise depending on who fills there remaining 2 or 3 slots.

I am saying it now. I dont want to hear any San Diego playoff talk this year NONE! :p

Where can we view the others(like montana:D)

[UNHWildCats]

I'm sorry but San Diego could somehow miraculously go 55-0 in an 11 game schedule and still shouldn't get a playoff bid with a strength of schedule in the bottom 5. Just can't happen.


I'm wondering where Albany would be? Probably pretty low as well. I'd have to imagine the NEC schedule brings them down.

Currently 81 with a .485

[UNHWildCats]

xeyebrowx Travis, not to knock all your work, but that seems awfully high to me.

Ya I know, and its not a perfect system.

Its purely win % based.

Navy had 9 wins as did West Chester, I could try to find a way to penalize for West Chester being a Div II but then I would have to reward Navy being an FBS and it would all just even out in the end.

5 opponents won atleast 9 games last year.

[UNHWildCats]

Where can we view the others(like montana:D)

As soon as the rest of the schedules are fully announced and I can mix in the rest of the opponents I will release a whole detailed thing on thios including conference breakdown for now heres montana...

110 .453

Your conference does include 2 incomplete schedules so that could go up.

[danefan]

Currently 81 with a .485


Not bad. I would have thought lower. I'll take it!:)......for now!

[lizrdgizrd]

That was easy, short of teams canceling a game there not much to work with here. Sep 8 has Weber open but they have a rumored 11th game that would invoilve a cancel somewhere. Davidson and Valpo are also open.

Oct 6 just Howard.

Oct 13 just Saint Peter's

My best guess is that they will add a second FBS game and a Div II game But I have no idea whos open for those divisions
I'd like to get Howard to the Rock for homecoming! I'd rather us take Davidson over a DII mostly because they're pretty close so travel would be cheap.

What does App's current SOS look like?

[appfan2008]

probably pretty good but i would imagine it will get worse with our final two games if they ever happen to get scheduled

[Tod]

As soon as the rest of the schedules are fully announced and I can mix in the rest of the opponents I will release a whole detailed thing on thios including conference breakdown for now heres montana...

110 .453

Your conference does include 2 incomplete schedules so that could go up.

Someone kill me, please...xmadx xmadx xmadx


:o

[appfan2008]

Someone kill me, please...xmadx xmadx xmadx


:o
that wouldnt be very nice!

[UNHWildCats]

56th .505

[AZGrizFan]

Someone kill me, please...xmadx xmadx xmadx


:o

Gotta figure Tod, with our OOC games sucking so bad, and not getting to play ourselves, we will in all probability have the lowest SOS in the entire BSC.

[UNHWildCats]

Do you guys want a consolation prize???

[UNHWildCats]

Montana State is WORSE!

.448 112th

[seahawkfan2007]

Is the SOS ranking from the original post based upon winning percentage only?

[UNHWildCats]

(Opponents Win % x 2) + (Opponents Opponents Win %)
_______________________________________________

3


The only exclusion is opponents opponents win % isnt factored in for Sub division I and Football Bowl Subdivision opponents.

[GOKATS]

Montana State is WORSE!

.448 112th

I'm not surprised. The only tough game we have this year is Texas A&M.:D