Opening betting lines

[Schism55]

https://twitter.com/HEROSportsHerd/status/1064623141186621448

[Professor Chaos]

Surprised that Stony Brook and Nicholls lines are as low as they are. These do confirm that the Wofford/Elon is really the only game that's a toss-up. That's not to say that all the favorites will win but any underdog other than Elon pulling off a win would be a pretty big upset IMO.

[JSUSoutherner]

21.5??! Holy crap.


Can't wait for all the **** we're gonna get when we drop this one.


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[IBleedYellow]

San Diego covers +15.

[Schism55]

San Diego covers +15.
Already been on the horn to the book about this xthumbsupx

[lionsrking2]

San Diego covers +15.

No they won't.

[TheKingpin28]

No they won't.$20 bet via PayPal?

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[gotts]

https://twitter.com/HEROSportsHerd/status/1064623141186621448

I would give the points with Montana State, Towson, Wofford, UNI, and Nicholls

I would take the points with Delaware, SEMO, and ETSU, although JMU could run it up to try to prove a point.

[Thumper 76]

So am I the only one surprised that several teams are favored by more than Towson Over Dusquene?


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[JSUSoutherner]

So am I the only one surprised that several teams are favored by more than Towson Over Dusquene?


Sent from my iPhone using TapatalkDusquene is baller, yo.

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[gotts]

So am I the only one surprised that several teams are favored by more than Towson Over Dusquene?


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Are you thinking a more realistic line would be Towson -21? I think they could cover another TD past where the line opened.

[ksu_owls]

I would take JSU at -30. If their QB and defense keep clicking they may not lose for a while.

[Reign of Terrier]

If Wofford wins, I don't think it's by 2 points

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[JSUSoutherner]

I would take JSU at -30. If their QB and defense keep clicking they may not lose for a while.
JSU will go as the offensive line goes. OL was going pretty good the other night. Gotta keep it going.

30 might be a tad optimistic.

[Thumper 76]

Are you thinking a more realistic line would be Towson -21? I think they could cover another TD past where the line opened.

If the CAA is as good as advertised then they should be able to win by 3 scores. Just my opinion.


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[gotts]

If the CAA is as good as advertised then they should be able to win by 3 scores. Just my opinion.


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Duquesne is the worst team in the field, IMO.

[BisonTru]

San Diego, Delaware, and ETSU will cover.


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[gofurman]

https://twitter.com/HEROSportsHerd/status/1064623141186621448


Soo ol where the money talks.... Lamar really shouldn't be here. Yep

27.5. I thought the committee wanted teams that could compete ?

or did the new SLC president lobby ... Nah, couldn't be

[wcugrad95]

Well, regionalization has something to do with how ugly some of these spreads are. If you really went with 9 vs 24, 10 vs 23, etc. I would expect you could have at least a few decent matchups. But this??? Out of 8 games, 5 have spreads that are more than 2 TDs.

[JSUSoutherner]

Soo ol where the money talks.... Lamar really shouldn't be here. Yep

27.5. I thought the committee wanted teams that could compete ?

or did the new SLC president lobby ... Nah, couldn't beYeah, Furman would be so much better. :Dhttps://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/20181120/c0604e2937fb87f4d4d05131b6087698.jpg

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[BisonBacker]

21.5??! Holy crap.


Can't wait for all the **** we're gonna get when we drop this one.


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Crap which you should get if you drop that game!

[BisonBacker]

Duquesne is the worst team in the field, IMO.
I think there is more then one contender for that title!

[caribbeanhen]

Surprised that Stony Brook and Nicholls lines are as low as they are. These do confirm that the Wofford/Elon is really the only game that's a toss-up. That's not to say that all the favorites will win but any underdog other than Elon pulling off a win would be a pretty big upset IMO.

yes, the Elon Wofford game is a tough one to pick for me......

Wofford has everything going for them, home game, Elon injuries, the Triple Option, CAA vs Southren Conference is what Elon has on there side..... went into JMU and won and looked good in the trenches

[Derby City Duke]

I would think 20 is way too big for UD/JMU. I would think 12-14 is more appropriate. They must be ignoring the weather forecast and believing the Delaware QB situation is less than favorable.

[caribbeanhen]

I would think 20 is way too big for UD/JMU. I would think 12-14 is more appropriate. They must be ignoring the weather forecast and believing the Delaware QB situation is less than favorable.

how much rain are we talking about? that sure is one thing in Delaware's favor, as far as the QB situation, nobody knows as practice is closed, probably see more than one. Not many Hen fans feel very good about our chances after the Nova game, in fact the last 3 games have left a sour mood on gohens.

somehow someway we need to figure out how to get JMU playing like you did against New Hampshire, JMU certianly can be a night and day kind of team this year. your RB's were breaking off some long runs vs Towson but they are not a very good CAA defense..... I would have to think we will come out stong on defense as we seem to always play JMU as good as we are bad vs Nova....... having said all that, this game could get real ugly real fast.....

[ElCid]

yes, the Elon Wofford game is a tough one to pick for me......

Wofford has everything going for them, home game, Elon injuries, the Triple Option, CAA vs Southren Conference is what Elon has on there side..... went into JMU and won and looked good in the trenches

Dude, you are putting waaaay too much thought into it.xnodx

[Trapper..]

San Diego covers +15.

Not unless they rented a defense for the weekend

[Reign of Terrier]

FWIW I'm pretty sure the CAA team to beat a socon team in the playoffs in the last ~6 years was (#1 seed) New Hampshire over Chattanooga (in a thriller) in 2014.

On the top of my head (not including GSU beating ODU in 2011/2012)
Wofford over UNH 2012
Furman over Elon last year

And that's it.

CAA and SoCon don't play much and that's tragic

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[gofurman]

Yeah, Furman would be so much better. :D
https://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/20181120/c0604e2937fb87f4d4d05131b6087698.jpg

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18 point margin is better than 27.5. LOL. just having fun


LOL. I hear ya. I think those type metric had Furman losing to Wofford by 15. We WON by 20. They also don't take into,account coaching which I think we have. Hendrix took a 3 win team... First year won 8 games and playoffs and his 2nd year SoCon Champs !

Its MATCHUPS as much as talent. Oh well we will see how it goes

Moving on, Personally I think SoCon goes 0-2 or 1-1. SLC probably 1-2?

It is a shame with financial constraint forcing FCS regionalization causes seeding randomization. Obviously we would want 9 vs 24, 10 vs 23, 11 vs 22 etc. with unlimited money. instead sometime we get 9 vs 12 with regionalization. So sometimes playoff winning percent isn't representative for a conference until you take a ten or twenty year sample.

Everyone have a great thanksgiving

[MR. CHICKEN]

Well, regionalization has something to do with how ugly some of these spreads are. If you really went with 9 vs 24, 10 vs 23, etc. I would expect you could have at least a few decent matchups. But this??? Out of 8 games, 5 have spreads that are more than 2 TDs.


........SOMEBODAH'S....GOIN' DOWN........THINK VEGAS.....WILL GO BROKE....xsmhxxsmhx...........BRAWK!

[caribbeanhen]

Dude, you are putting waaaay too much thought into it.xnodx

nah, just trying to coax a pick out of you El Cid... I bet it's on another thread

[lionsrking2]

$20 bet via PayPal?

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Pretty sure I got this one right. xcoffeex

[TheKingpin28]

Pretty sure I got this one right. xcoffeexPretty sure you never agreed to it. I asked and you never responded.

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[lionsrking2]

Pretty sure you never agreed to it. I asked and you never responded.

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I don't gamble, thus i never responded.

[TheKingpin28]

I don't gamble, thus i never responded.

It's not gambling if you know you will win. :D

[ming01]

My best guesses:

JMU -1
NDSU -35.5
SDSU -20.5
UC-Davis -6
EWU -14.5
Weber St -8.5
KSU (no idea where this will be) -9.5
Maine -2.5

[Bison Fan in NW MN]

My best guesses:

JMU -1
NDSU -35.5
SDSU -20.5
UC-Davis -6
EWU -14.5
Weber St -8.5
KSU (no idea where this will be) -9.5
Maine -2.5


NDSU covers

[caribbeanhen]

It's not gambling if you know you will win. :D

keep you wallet safely tucked in your pocket Kingpen.....haha


Re: 2018 AGS Pick'em Contest
FINAL STANDINGS (for those who missed no more than 2 weeks) [a "z" by your name means you missed at least one week]:



1
Scrappy94
187


2
caribbeanhen
175


3
mvemjsunpx
175


4
Bisonator
174


5
Prime Power
174


6
MTfan4life
174


7
BisonTru
171


8
mcneese75
170


9
Bear84
169


10
Roamingriz
166


11
Catbooster
165


12
Evolution Prime
165


13
Gangtackle11
164


14
bluefish
163


15
ElCid
161


16
bonarae
161


17
Lehigh'98
158


18
UpstateBison
158


19
MR. CHICKEN
157


20
melloware13
155


21
FUBeAR
155


22
DABEAR
153


23
taper
152


24
zGo Lehigh TU owl
150


25
POD Knows
149


26
SUpharmacist
148


27
FCSbuff319
147


28
JacksFan40
146


29
BEAR
144


30
bison56
143


31
zTheKingpin28
138


32
zWapiti
136


33
zDaytripper
132


34
zNodak78
121

[TheKingpin28]

keep you wallet safely tucked in your pocket Kingpen.....haha


Re: 2018 AGS Pick'em Contest


FINAL STANDINGS (for those who missed no more than 2 weeks) [a "z" by your name means you missed at least one week]:



1
Scrappy94
187


2
caribbeanhen
175


3
mvemjsunpx
175


4
Bisonator
174


5
Prime Power
174


6
MTfan4life
174


7
BisonTru
171


8
mcneese75
170


9
Bear84
169


10
Roamingriz
166


11
Catbooster
165


12
Evolution Prime
165


13
Gangtackle11
164


14
bluefish
163


15
ElCid
161


16
bonarae
161


17
Lehigh'98
158


18
UpstateBison
158


19
MR. CHICKEN
157


20
melloware13
155


21
FUBeAR
155


22
DABEAR
153


23
taper
152


24
zGo Lehigh TU owl
150


25
POD Knows
149


26
SUpharmacist
148


27
FCSbuff319
147


28
JacksFan40
146


29
BEAR
144


30
bison56
143


31
zTheKingpin28
138


32
zWapiti
136


33
zDaytripper
132


34
zNodak78
121






I missed time due to being in Wales. Ask anyone, I suck at betting, and that is why whenever I make a bet, you should take it.

[ElCid]

My best guesses:

JMU -1
NDSU -35.5
SDSU -20.5
UC-Davis -6
EWU -14.5
Weber St -8.5
KSU (no idea where this will be) -9.5
Maine -2.5

Pretty sure that is too much for KSU, but I don't ever bet.

SDSU might be low.

[Professor Chaos]

Lines are up on 5dimes:

JSU (-3.5) @ Maine
JMU (-4.5) @ Colgate
Wofford @ Kennesaw St (-10.5)
Duquesne @ SDSU (-31.5)
Montana St @ NDSU (-28.5)
SEMO @ Weber St (-14.5)
Nicholls @ EWU (-18)
UNI @ UC Davis (-6)

[F'N Hawks]

Lines are up on 5dimes:

JSU (-3.5) @ Maine
JMU (-4.5) @ Colgate
Wofford @ Kennesaw St (-10.5)
Duquesne @ SDSU (-31.5)
Montana St @ NDSU (-28.5)
SEMO @ Weber St (-14.5)
Nicholls @ EWU (-18)
UNI @ UC Davis (-6)

Davis opened as a 3 point favorite. Money coming in on Colgate-down to 1.5 for JMU.

[Derby City Duke]

how much rain are we talking about? that sure is one thing in Delaware's favor, as far as the QB situation, nobody knows as practice is closed, probably see more than one. Not many Hen fans feel very good about our chances after the Nova game, in fact the last 3 games have left a sour mood on gohens.

somehow someway we need to figure out how to get JMU playing like you did against New Hampshire, JMU certianly can be a night and day kind of team this year. your RB's were breaking off some long runs vs Towson but they are not a very good CAA defense..... I would have to think we will come out stong on defense as we seem to always play JMU as good as we are bad vs Nova....... having said all that, this game could get real ugly real fast.....

c-hen, just got to watch the game as I was involved in a couple shows that consumed my entire yesterday.

poured most of the night but stopped about an hour before the game. Field drains really well, so there didn't seem to be much impact on the game. Little sliding or slipping and no issues with ball security.

Turned out just like I thought: a 2-score game dominated by defense. Looked like UD played some 3-3-5 which gives us fits and it seemed like our offense did what it usually does -- play inconsistently with dropped passes and goofy penalties. I don't know how many plays our OC has in the playbook, but we seem to get 2, maybe 3 decent drives per game. That is usually enough as our defense and special teams can create short fields at any point in a game.

Our defense was pretty lights out against a not-at-full-strength UD offense. Outside of the gadget plays and the late drive when we were playing 2-high safeties, you guys' O was pretty much an effort in futility.

Nice season for the Hens, though.

[Lorne_Malvo]

NDSU and SDSU lines are hilarious. MVFC I guess.

[Thumper 76]

NDSU and SDSU lines are hilarious. MVFC I guess.

Or ndsu playing a one dimensional team in Fargo and SDSU playing a NEC team.


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[BisonFan02]

Or ndsu playing a one dimensional team in Fargo and SDSU playing a NEC team.


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Should I laugh that the lines are close-ish considering the opponents?

[Thumper 76]

Should I laugh that the lines are close-ish considering the opponents?

I mean, maybe


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[BisonFan02]

I mean, maybe


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You giving your 4+ TDs? I'm not. xlolx

[Thumper 76]

You giving your 4+ TDs? I'm not. xlolx

Yeah, tbh I might. Unless Stig magically changes his ways and pulls the starters when he should.


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[CappinHard]

Yeah, tbh I might. Unless Stig magically changes his ways and pulls the starters when he should.


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Honestly, with the weather like it's going to be, if we get up early on them, which I anticipate we will, I can see them packing it in like USD did on a lot of their tackles which leads to big plays and lopsided scores. See the playoff game against UNH last year.

[Thumper 76]

Honestly, with the weather like it's going to be, if we get up early on them, which I anticipate we will, I can see them packing it in like USD did on a lot of their tackles which leads to big plays and lopsided scores. See the playoff game against UNH last year.

Not sure if that happens, they get some cold weather in Pittsburg and they don’t play in a dome. They sure didn’t quit after getting worked the entire first half by Towson.


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[Professor Chaos]

Honestly, with the weather like it's going to be, if we get up early on them, which I anticipate we will, I can see them packing it in like USD did on a lot of their tackles which leads to big plays and lopsided scores. See the playoff game against UNH last year.
Didn't ol' Stiggy leave Christion in the game well into the 4th in last year's quarterfinal blowout against UNH when he was rumored to hurt his hand before his 9 turnover debacle at JMU?

Learned his lesson perhaps?

[CappinHard]

Didn't ol' Stiggy leave Christion in the game well into the 4th in last year's quarterfinal blowout against UNH when he was rumored to hurt his hand before his 9 turnover debacle at JMU?

Learned his lesson perhaps?

Yes. What makes it worse is he was rumored to have hurt it in the final regular season game and then was rumored to have re-injured it or made it worse very late against UNH.

[caribbeanhen]

I missed time due to being in Wales. Ask anyone, I suck at betting, and that is why whenever I make a bet, you should take it.

Last time I was in Wales i was kicking myself for not becoming an orthodonist...

[ElCid]

Last time I was in Wales i was kicking myself for not becoming an orthodonist...

I am dying laughing.

[cx500d]

Last time I was in Wales i was kicking myself for not becoming an orthodonist...

How are you going to make money if they don't use them?

It's like being the esthetician for the east german women's swim team.

[TheKingpin28]

Last time I was in Wales i was kicking myself for not becoming an orthodonist...Well played

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