2018 FCS Playoff At Large Eligibility (V 5.0)

[grizband]

2018 FCS Playoff At Large Eligibility (V 5.0)

Key:
Teams preceded by an asterisk (*) have already reached 7 Division 1 wins.
Teams listed in bold need to win all remaining games to reach 7 Division I wins.
Teams followed by a hash tag (#) have played a lower division team
Teams followed by a plus sign (+) have an FBS team remaining on their schedule.
Teams followed by an percent sign (%) had a game cancelled or postponed


Teams with 7 Division 1 Wins:
*North Dakota State (8-0)
*UC Davis (7-1)
*Colgate (7-0)+% must go 1-3


Big Sky
Weber State (6-2) must go 1-2
Eastern Washington (6-2)# must go 2-1

Idaho State (5-3)# must go 3-0
Montana State (4-4) must go 3-0
Montana (4-4) must go 3-0


Big South
Kennesaw State (7-1)# must go 1-2
Monmouth (6-2) must go 1-2


Colonial
Towson (6-2) must go 1-2
James Madison (6-2) must go 1-2
Delaware (6-2) must go 1-2
Stony Brook (6-3) must go 1-1
Elon (5-2)% must go 2-1
Rhode Island (5-3) must go 2-1
Maine (5-3) must go 2-1


Independents
North Dakota (5-3) must go 2-1


MEAC
North Carolina A&T (6-2) must go 1-2
Florida A&M (6-2)# must go 2-1


Missouri Valley
South Dakota State (5-2) must go 2-1

Illinois State (5-3)# must go 3-0
Northern Iowa (4-4) must go 3-0
Western Illinois (4-4) must go 3-0


Northeast
Sacred Heart (5-3) must go 2-1

Duquesne (5-3)# must go 3-0
Bryant (5-3)# must go 3-0


Ohio Valley
Jacksonville State (6-2) must go 1-2
Southeast Missouri (6-2) must go 1-2

Murray State (4-4) must go 3-0
Eastern Kentucky (4-4) must go 3-0
Austin Peay (4-4) must go 3-0


Patriot
Everyone other than Colgate has been eliminated


Pioneer
San Diego (6-2)# must go 2-1

Stetson (6-1)#% must go 3-0
Drake (4-2)# must go 4-0
Marist (4-4) must go 3-0


Southern
ETSU (7-2)# must go 1-1
Chattanooga (6-2)+ must go 1-2
Wofford (6-2) must go 1-2

Mercer (4-4) must go 3-0


Southland
McNeese State (6-2) must go 1-2
Sam Houston State (5-3) must go 2-1
Central Arkansas (5-3) must go 2-1
Nicholls (5-3) must go 2-1

Incarnate Word (4-4)+ must go 3-0 (Iowa State game occurs if UIW misses playoffs)


SWAC
Alcorn State (7-2)# must go 1-1

[grizband]

Playoff Related Numbers:
43 teams can still reach 7 Division 1 wins
13 teams will reach 7 Division 1 wins with a victory next week
15 teams will be eliminated with a loss next week
10 conference auto bids are yet to be decided

[ST_Lawson]

Missouri Valley
Illinois State (5-2)# must go 3-1
South Dakota State (4-2) must go 3-1

Northern Iowa (4-4) must go 3-0
Western Illinois (4-4) must go 3-0


Just a couple of quick things: Illinois State is 5-3 and SDSU is 5-2, also each team only has 3 more games left. Illinois State needs to win out to reach 7 DI wins (one win was NAIA, so they'd end up 8-3). SDSU can go 2-1 to make it...they'd be 7-3 because of the cancelled Iowa State game.

[grizband]

Just a couple of quick things: Illinois State is 5-3 and SDSU is 5-2, also each team only has 3 more games left. Illinois State needs to win out to reach 7 DI wins (one win was NAIA, so they'd end up 8-3). SDSU can go 2-1 to make it...they'd be 7-3 because of the cancelled Iowa State game.Thanks for the heads up i'll get it corrected.

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[World]

excellent work, griz

thanks

[Reign of Terrier]

I think at some point we're going to need a thread discussing teams that won't have 7 D1 wins that may get playoff consideration. It's happened in the past and the bubble may be pretty weak this year.

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[Reign of Terrier]

Also you accidentally bolded Weber and Kennesaw

[Sycamore62]

if ISUb won out we would be 7-4 with a D2 win. our biggest problem is that if we do that we will knock teams out of the playoffs and i think that would cheapen all our wins

[Reign of Terrier]

This is probably the roughest part of the year to pick games, because it's the time when that one team that will finish 7-4 or 8-3 and go on a small playoff run is sitting at 4-4 or so. Lots of fluidity in predictions in the coming weeks.

[Daytripper]

I think at some point we're going to need a thread discussing teams that won't have 7 D1 wins that may get playoff consideration. It's happened in the past and the bubble may be pretty weak this year.

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A weak bubble is the only hope of SHSU....

[grizband]

I think at some point we're going to need a thread discussing teams that won't have 7 D1 wins that may get playoff consideration. It's happened in the past and the bubble may be pretty weak this year.

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Very true, my thought was after the games next week. In all honesty, some of these teams who can reach 7 D1 wins have no realistic shot at the playoffs.