SLC Pick'em Week 5

[BEAR]

This is an elimination week. The bottom player/players will be eliminated next week. There are 7 games left.

Current standings as of 9-28-15: Week 5

UCABEAR-8
SAMMY94- 5
REVSFA- 4
CATATONIC- 4
SKYHAWK- 3
EIU1999- 3
MCNEESE75- 3
ROOMS- 2
DAYTRIPPER- 2

Scores from Sept. 26
Abilene Christian 35, Stephen F. Austin 32 (http://www.southland.org/news/2015/9/27/FB_0927153005.aspx#1)
Central Arkansas 49, Northwestern State 21 (http://www.southland.org/news/2015/9/27/FB_0927153005.aspx#2)
Sam Houston State 63, Houston Baptist 14 (http://www.southland.org/news/2015/9/27/FB_0927153005.aspx#3)
McNeese State 37, Mississippi College 0 (http://www.southland.org/news/2015/9/27/FB_0927153005.aspx#4)
Texas- El Paso 27, UIW 17 (http://www.southland.org/news/2015/9/27/FB_0927153005.aspx#5)
Colorado 48, Nicholls 0 (http://www.southland.org/news/2015/9/27/FB_0927153005.aspx#6)

Games this week:
** Note the Lamar/SLU game is Thursday Oct. 1st. All picks must be in by midnight Wednesday Sept 30th.**


Lamar at SLU
NWST at UIW
College of Faith at HBU
McNeese at Nicholls
SFA at Sam Houston
ACU at UCA


ALL picks must be in by midnight Wednesday September 30th. First game is 6 p.m. Thursday. Any questions feel free to PM me. If you would like to donate an SLC memorabilia to the prize pot feel free to PM me.

Don't forget to pick the WINNER AND THE POINT SPREAD. Example: SAM by 45 or SAM +45. Any questions about previous weeks winners picks please PM me. Remember, I'm the only smuck working this contest...it's not easy. xlolx

[McNeese75]

It's kinda like watching "Americas Got Talent" we are all asking ourself "How the hell did he do that" BEAR!!!!!

xlolx

Me thinks the rest of us are all after silver now

[Daytripper]

Note for voters: The SFA v. Sam Houston game is the Battle of the Piney Woods, which is a neutral site game at NRG stadium in Houston.

[McNeese75]

Note for voters: The SFA v. Sam Houston game is the Battle of the Piney Woods, which is a neutral site game at NRG stadium in Houston.

Neutral maybe but fans will be 80% plus in Orange

[BEAR]

It's kinda like watching "Americas Got Talent" we are all asking ourself "How the hell did he do that" BEAR!!!!!

xlolx

Me thinks the rest of us are all after silver now

I was shocked myself. Looking back at my picks last week I nailed the UCA game, the Sam game, and was closest to the McNeese game(tie). MIght have something to do with my Wedge analysis of these teams giving me a little more thought to them. Or I might just be getting lucky and everyone else isn't giving a crap about their picks this year. xdrunkyx

[Daytripper]

Lamar at SLU (LU by 3)
NWST at UIW (UIW by 1)
College of Faith at HBU (HBU by 32)
McNeese at Nicholls (McNeese by 27)
SFA at Sam Houston (SHSU by 3)
ACU at UCA (UCA by 6)

[Sammy94]

SLU +7
NWST +10
HBU +28
McNeese +20
Sam Houston +10
UCA +10

[BEAR]

Lamar at SLU +7
NWST at UIW +21
College of Faith at HBU +35
McNeese at Nicholls +35
SFA at Sam Houston +28
ACU at UCA​ +14

[BEAR]

Thoughts for this weeks' games without prediction scores:

Lamar at SLU- Tough game. I think Lamar will sneak by this one even with SLU's defense.
NWST at UIW. NWST offers very little on offense and nothing on defense. UIW easily wins.
College of Faith at HBU. Bloodbath again. HBU by multiple TDs.
McNeese at Nicholls. Easy game for the Cowboys.
SFA at Sam Houston. Sam's not playing well but SFA is struggling more. Sam by a couple.
ACU at UCA. The mirror game. UCA on track and ready to avenge last year at home. UCA by the slightest.

[eiu1999]

Lamar at SLU +3
NWST at UIW +20
College of Faith at HBU +10
McNeese at Nicholls +17
SFA at Sam Houston +31
ACU at UCA +7

[Daytripper]

Hate to say this, but I think you guys are giving Sam too much credit for that HBU win. SFA is always pumped for the BOTPW, and this year that is all they can hope for to make it a worthwhile season. I think Sam loses this game outright.

[BEAR]

The SLC has a stiffy for ACU this week. xeyebrowx

I thought Matt Cummins with 9 Kick-offs averaging 63 per should have taken the special teams honor. Kid had to have a tired leg but he typically landed it at the goal line. Talk about a strong freshman!

[BEAR]

.

[BEAR]

When you win your conference opener by 28.

https://pbs.twimg.com/tweet_video/CP7CoEVUcAArmMg.mp4

[SFA 93]

trying to get excited about this game...

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CQAroxQUwAQlTb_.png

[TheRevSFA]

I was shocked myself. Looking back at my picks last week I nailed the UCA game, the Sam game, and was closest to the McNeese game(tie). MIght have something to do with my Wedge analysis of these teams giving me a little more thought to them. Or I might just be getting lucky and everyone else isn't giving a crap about their picks this year. xdrunkyx

To be fair I am picking from a hotel in Manila

[TheRevSFA]

Lamar at SLU = SLU + 10
NWST at UIW = NWST +17
College of Faith at HBU = HBU +31
McNeese at Nicholls = McNeese +35
SFA at Sam Houston = SFA +14
ACU at UCA = uca +17

[McNeese75]

Lamar at SLU -10
NWST at UIW -3
College of Faith at HBU -38
McNeese at Nicholls -28
SFA at Sam Houston -21
ACU at UCA -10

[McNeese72]

When you win your conference opener by 28.

https://pbs.twimg.com/tweet_video/CP7CoEVUcAArmMg.mp4

Wait!!! We won our conference opener by 37 and I ddn't see any dancing like that!!! WTF! We suck at dancing, too. ;)

Doc

[Catatonic]

"Don't forget to pick the WINNER AND THE POINT SPREAD. Example: SAM by 45 or SAM +45."

Question about scoring: Do you eliminate those who pick the wrong winner before looking at who was closest to actual point spread, or is the point awarded soley on the basis of who is closest to actual point difference? Hypothetical: I pick ACU by 1. UCA wins by 1. Another contestant picks UCA by 3. Who gets the contest point?

[Catatonic]

Lamar at SLU. Lamar by 3
NWST at UIW. UIW by 3
College of Faith at HBU. HBU by 42
McNeese at Nicholls McNeese by 31
SFA at Sam Houston. SHSU by 14
ACU at UCA. ACU by 10

[BEAR]

"Don't forget to pick the WINNER AND THE POINT SPREAD. Example: SAM by 45 or SAM +45."

Question about scoring: Do you eliminate those who pick the wrong winner before looking at who was closest to actual point spread, or is the point awarded soley on the basis of who is closest to actual point difference? Hypothetical: I pick ACU by 1. UCA wins by 1. Another contestant picks UCA by 3. Who gets the contest point?


First I look at who picked the correct team that won. Then I look who got closest to the point spread up or down. So if ACU beats UCA by 14 on Saturday and you pick UCA to win I don't bother with your pick. If you correctly pick ACU then I look at your point spread. If you are the closest you get a point. If more than one person picks the same as you then everyone who picked the same as you gets a point. In your scenario the person who correctly picked UCA gets the point because they picked the correct team.

[Catatonic]

First I look at who picked the correct team that won. Then I look who got closest to the point spread up or down. So if ACU beats UCA by 14 on Saturday and you pick UCA to win I don't bother with your pick. If you correctly pick ACU then I look at your point spread. If you are the closest you get a point. If more than one person picks the same as you then everyone who picked the same as you gets a point. In your scenario the person who correctly picked UCA gets the point because they picked the correct team.

Ok, thanks.


xcoffeex

[McNeese75]

First I look at who picked the correct team that won. Then I look who got closest to the point spread up or down. So if ACU beats UCA by 14 on Saturday and you pick UCA to win I don't bother with your pick. If you correctly pick ACU then I look at your point spread. If you are the closest you get a point. If more than one person picks the same as you then everyone who picked the same as you gets a point. In your scenario the person who correctly picked UCA gets the point because they picked the correct team.


OK, everybody change their pics to exactly what Bear has and none of us will get eliminated :D

[BEAR]

OK, everybody change their pics to exactly what Bear has and none of us will get eliminated :D

Go for it! I will keep my lead that way! (don't see me doing this lucky the rest of the year. )

[BEAR]

Bump because of the numerous mascot threads. Gotta make sure everyone gets a chance. Predictions must be in by midnight tomorrow night!

[SFA 93]

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CQCP-2tUcAAWQdw.jpg
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CQG3u0SU8AAJObM.jpg:large

[McNeese75]

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CQCP-2tUcAAWQdw.jpg
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CQG3u0SU8AAJObM.jpg:large


xconfusedx what happened to "WE RISE"

(Sorry, just FWY, could not help myself :D)

[BEAR]

All predictions must be in by midnight tonight!

Still two of you to pick!

[Daytripper]

Saturday.

https://scontent-dfw1-1.xx.fbcdn.net/hphotos-xlf1/v/t1.0-9/12039442_10153635040767402_1436853196177869971_n.j pg?oh=22e8b9637ae3b43787cc9810cefccbb6&oe=56A74BB9

[Nickels]

Stephen F. Austin professor charged with having child porn

http://www.click2houston.com/news/stephen-f-austin-professor-charged-with-having-child-porn/35578466


xcoffeex

[BEAR]

We got one of those too!
http://www.thv11.com/story/news/local/conway/2015/04/14/uca-professor-arrested-for-child-porn-resigns/25786605/

That's what happens in a typical liberal university.

[BEAR]

Can we go back to the pick'em now? xcoffeex

[Nickels]

Can we go back to the pick'em now? xcoffeex
These threads also end up being official SLC chat threads... xcoffeexxcoffeex

[SFA 93]

I think we finally dropped the rising slogan.

[Nickels]

I think we finally dropped the rising slogan.
It went about as well as FINISH did for us...

[BEAR]

It went about as well as FINISH did for us...

That and the Hang 60.....

[Rooms]

Lamar at SLU. SLU by 14
NWST at UIW. NWST by 10
College of Faith at HBU. HBU by 21
McNeese at Nicholls McNeese by 28
SFA at Sam Houston. Sfa by 10
ACU at UCA. ACU by 14

[BEAR]

Gameday! xdrunkyxxthumbsupx

[Daytripper]

It went about as well as FINISH did for us...


Truth...xsmhx

[Catatonic]

Lamar at SLU. SLU by 14
NWST at UIW. NWST by 10
College of Faith at HBU. HBU by 21
McNeese at Nicholls McNeese by 28
SFA at Sam Houston. Sfa by 10
ACU at UCA. ACU by 14

I will gladly concede the ACU-UCA point to you if the Cats win by this margin :)

[BEAR]

I will gladly concede the ACU-UCA point to you if the Cats win by this margin :)

Weren't the cat fans saying they have no run defense?

Offense:
Conference only UCA is averaging 5 yards a carry and 10 yards a pass.
Conference only ACU is averaging 5 yards a carry and 8 yards a pass.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Tie


Defense:
Conference only UCA defense is allowing 2 yards a carry and 8 yards pass.
Conference only ACU defense is allowing 6 yards a carry and 6 yards pass.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Slight edge UCA

Offense run game:
UCA has Veasley and Thomas averaging 6 yards a carry.
ACU has Brown averaging 7 yards a carry.
----------------------------------------------------------------
Edge UCA due to 2 backs with good averages.

Individual defense: 2 games.
ACU has Denmark with 30 tackles
UCA has Odum, Spurlock, Woodard.
--------------------------------------------
Tie.

Keys to victory for UCA: Shutdown Brown and move Denmark out of the picture.
Keys to victory for ACU: Pass the ball.

[Catatonic]

Weren't the cat fans saying they have no run defense?

Offense:
Conference only UCA is averaging 5 yards a carry and 10 yards a pass.
Conference only ACU is averaging 5 yards a carry and 8 yards a pass.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Tie


Defense:
Conference only UCA defense is allowing 2 yards a carry and 8 yards pass.
Conference only ACU defense is allowing 6 yards a carry and 6 yards pass.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Slight edge UCA

Offense run game:
UCA has Veasley and Thomas averaging 6 yards a carry.
ACU has Brown averaging 7 yards a carry.
----------------------------------------------------------------
Edge UCA due to 2 backs with good averages.

Individual defense: 2 games.
ACU has Denmark with 30 tackles
UCA has Odum, Spurlock, Woodard.
--------------------------------------------
Tie.

Keys to victory for UCA: Shutdown Brown and move Denmark out of the picture.
Keys to victory for ACU: Pass the ball.

Uh, UCA has only played one conference game, a blow out vs Northwestern State. Kind of hard to establish "edges" on the basis of one game.


Yup, we have sucked at run defense this year. UCA has two good backs. You will probably have success on the ground against us.

Through 3 games UCA sucks at pass defense (last in the conference). ACU QB Parker McKenzie is first in the conference in passing (yards per game). His top two targets are very good at picking up yards after catches. We will probably have our way with you through the air.

Here is how I see the game: Our air attack vs your running attack. Which team can take advantage of the weakness in the other's offense enough to open up the other dimension---can you force us to defend the run enough to open up the passing game and can we pass effectively enough to open up our ground game?

Oh, and can Ken Collums find ways to use our 3 QB system to keep your D off balance and confused, like last year? Or will you be ready for whatever we throw at you?

[BEAR]

Uh, UCA has only played one conference game, a blow out vs Northwestern State. Kind of hard to establish "edges" on the basis of one game.


Yup, we have sucked at run defense this year. UCA has two good backs. You will probably have success on the ground against us.

Through 3 games UCA sucks at pass defense (last in the conference). ACU QB Parker McKenzie is first in the conference in passing (yards per game). His top two targets are very good at picking up yards after catches. We will probably have our way with you through the air.

Here is how I see the game: Our air attack vs your running attack. Which team can take advantage of the weakness in the other's offense enough to open up the other dimension---can you force us to defend the run enough to open up the passing game and can we pass effectively enough to open up our ground game?

Oh, and can Ken Collums find ways to use our 3 QB system to keep your D off balance and confused, like last year? Or will you be ready for whatever we throw at you?

NWST used 4 QBs until our game with them. We had to plan for all 4. Turned out alright.

Actually Jared Johnson from SHSU is the conference passing leader and UCA's backup QB Hildebrand is only 20 or so yards per game behind your Qb. Hildebrand's throws are scarily accurate (WRs dropped 3 TD passes against NWST, 2 wide open and 1 dead on just unexpected) and coach may have found next year's starter once Reed leaves.

You've played 2 conference games against 0-4, 1-3 teams. We've played one against an 0-4 team. Yes we can compare stats. It's rare it can be done but our competition was equal. I mean if we look ahead to our next game I see us playing HBU and scoring 70 on them and only allowing maybe 14 tops with our backups in. You're going to Lamar. Looking at Lamar and how well they have played how do you think that will play out? If we can pull out a win this weekend against the Wildcats by running the ball and decently defending the pass then after the HBU game we will be 3-0. The cats head to Lamar and will most likely be 2-2. Just my opinion since I don't play on the field. xlolx

[BEAR]

Hey Wildcats..do you see your coach in this national championship picture?

http://www.anygivensaturday.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=21400&stc=1

[Catatonic]

NWST used 4 QBs until our game with them. We had to plan for all 4. Turned out alright.

Actually Jared Johnson from SHSU is the conference passing leader and UCA's backup QB Hildebrand is only 20 or so yards per game behind your Qb. Hildebrand's throws are scarily accurate (WRs dropped 3 TD passes against NWST, 2 wide open and 1 dead on just unexpected) and coach may have found next year's starter once Reed leaves.

You've played 2 conference games against 0-4, 1-3 teams. We've played one against an 0-4 team. Yes we can compare stats. It's rare it can be done but our competition was equal. I mean if we look ahead to our next game I see us playing HBU and scoring 70 on them and only allowing maybe 14 tops with our backups in. You're going to Lamar. Looking at Lamar and how well they have played how do you think that will play out? If we can pull out a win this weekend against the Wildcats by running the ball and decently defending the pass then after the HBU game we will be 3-0. The cats head to Lamar and will most likely be 2-2. Just my opinion since I don't play on the field. xlolx

Not sure what passing stats you are looking at, but here's where mine came from....http://southland.org/stats.aspx?path=football&year=2015 update: I figured it out. you are looking at conference only stats, I am looking at overall stats.

McKenzie averages 210 yards per game, Johnson 206. Reed averages 164. Hildebrand isn't listed on the SLC site, I guess since he does not the the minimum number of attempts for inclusion. The UCA site shows him with 116 yards per game for 2 games.

We will have to agree to disagree on the meaning of one game stats. I'll just point out that UCA seems to match up well against NWST. You slobberknocked them last year, and again this year. ACU then whupped UCA and then turned around and let NWST embarrass us on our home field. Worst game we played all year.

2-2 for us is entirely possible. We never know which ACU team will show up. We are hoping we bring our A game to Conway. If so, y'all will be in for a tussle. We are also hoping you bring the Samford UCA team to play. Or the one that came to Dallas last year.

[Sammy94]

Johnson 206

That is pretty amazing since he only plays half a game.

[Catatonic]

That is pretty amazing since he only plays half a game.

He has done amazing things for y'all, without question.

[BEAR]

All I can say is if this happens again in our game.... hands up! 7 turnovers in ONE game.


fumble by Howard, R. recovered by ACU Stephens, Justi at UCA37.
fumble by Watts, D. recovered by ACU Ausborne, Terry at UCA42.
Howard, R. pass intercepted by Stephens, Justi at the ACU0, touchback.
fumble by Howard, R. recovered by ACU Richardson, Nic at UCA19.
Hildebrand, H. pass intercepted by Epps,
fumble by Murphy, C. recovered by UCA Murphy, C. at UCA24
Howard, R. pass intercepted by Epps,
Howard, R. pass intercepted by Ausborne

[Catatonic]

All I can say is if this happens again in our game.... hands up! 7 turnovers in ONE game.

Well if it happens again it will be with a new cast of ACU characters. Stephens and Richardson were seniors. Ausborne was an academic casualty. Epps is a senior but is playing more offense than defense. The ACU QB from last year is still on the team but is playing WR this year.

Ken has to find it weird coming back to Conway as "the enemy" after spending 12 years of his life as a coach and player at UCA.

[SFA 93]

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CQMPwE9UcAAuklT.jpg

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CQQtj46VAAAIhfj.jpg

[BEAR]

Looks like Sammy94 has the point for the SELA v. Lamar game. xdrunkyx

[SFA 93]

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CP59er2VEAAdZuD.jpg
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CQU5YVKU8AAjFnc.jpg

[McNeese72]

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CP59er2VEAAdZuD.jpg
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CQU5YVKU8AAjFnc.jpg


Why do you keep posting the "hype" stuff in the pickem thread??????


Doc

[Sammy94]

Please excuse 93, he is lumberjack. He is also still posting football pics while the rest of the fan base are counting down the days until the first tip off.

[Catatonic]

All I can say is if this happens again in our game.... hands up! 7 turnovers in ONE game.

One of the things our coaches noticed watching film last year was that the Bears were not doing a good job of ball control. Most of those turnovers were forced errors. We tried the same approach last week against SFA....strip the ball rather than complete the tackle...without success. SFA simply shrugged off the tackler, held onto the ball and kept on going. It almost cost us the game. Y'all have probably practiced more ball control this year, after what we were able to do last year.

[Catatonic]

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CQMPwE9UcAAuklT.jpg

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CQQtj46VAAAIhfj.jpg

I think we finally dropped the rising slogan.

Guess not.

[SFA 93]

lol old picture Catatonic from a hanging banner

[Catatonic]

Texas Longhorns: We won't schedule any teams from the lowly FCS.

TCU Horned Frogs: Really? We don't see much difference between you and SFA.

[Samalum'10]

I think any of the top 15 FCS teams would love to play UT right now

[BEAR]

Well that game was over before we expected. xlolx

I was was really looking for a good close game with Collums coaching but it was too easy to move the ball on the ground. Hildebrand got hurt but he appears to be alright. Nice to see 5 running backs get to tote the ball.

Onto HBU.

Good game Cats. Good luck the rest of the year.

[BEAR]

Points for this week:

Catatonic-2
Bear, Daytripper, Sammy94, Rev -1

[Catatonic]

Well that game was over before we expected. xlolx

I was was really looking for a good close game with Collums coaching but it was too easy to move the ball on the ground. Hildebrand got hurt but he appears to be alright. Nice to see 5 running backs get to tote the ball.

Onto HBU.

Good game Cats. Good luck the rest of the year.

Outcoached. Outplayed. Outclassed.

Worst beatdown in recent memory. UCA got payback from last years game in spades. Congratulations. Sorry we didn't provide much competition for your first or second team.

[Catatonic]

Points for this week:

Catatonic-2
Bear, Daytripper, Sammy94, Rev -1

The two teams I support with a passion-ACU and the University of Georgia. The two points I scored in the pick em contest is the lone thing I have to cheer about from yesterday. xconfusedx

[BEAR]

Outcoached. Outplayed. Outclassed.

Worst beatdown in recent memory. UCA got payback from last years game in spades. Congratulations. Sorry we didn't provide much competition for your first or second team.

Thats what makes me think it was just a bad game by the Wildcats. Kinda like we had with Samford. Nothing was clicking. Offense for you guys couldnt get started. Defense was just moved enough to get 5 yards a carry. I mean we carried the balk 56/71 plays. Only 15 passes. Campbell wasnt trying to run up the score. watching the second team line up in the first half with the third string qb was confusing because we knew the kid wasnt going to throw it. Some of your receivers dropped some dead on passes for big gains that will bite us against Sam and McNeese.

Another road game. Sigh. :(

[McNeese75]

Thats what makes me think it was just a bad game by the Wildcats. Kinda like we had with Samford. Nothing was clicking. Offense for you guys couldnt get started. Defense was just moved enough to get 5 yards a carry. I mean we carried the balk 56/71 plays. Only 15 passes. Campbell wasnt trying to run up the score. watching the second team line up in the first half with the third string qb was confusing because we knew the kid wasnt going to throw it. Some of your receivers dropped some dead on passes for big gains that will bite us against Sam and McNeese.

Another road game. Sigh. :(

You must be referring to Sam cause Y'all don't do those to Lake Charles xeyebrowx xlolx

[BEAR]

You must be referring to Sam cause Y'all don't do those to Lake Charles xeyebrowx xlolx

Road game at Samford
Road game at Oklahoma State
Road game at NWST
home
Road game at HBU
home
Road game.......

Getting tired of watching football season from afar.

See you Cowboys in two weeks. Next year I travel to Cowboyville. xlolx