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JMU Duke Dog
November 12th, 2006, 02:40 PM
I know this upcoming Saturday will be influential on who ends up going to the playoffs but go out on a limb and state who you think will be announced next Sunday and how the bracket will appear!


TEAMS:

Atlantic 10: #3 Massachusetts
Big Sky: #2 Montana
Gateway: #4 Youngstown State
MEAC: Hampton
Ohio Valley: UT-Martin
Patriot: Lehigh/Lafayette
Southern: #1 Appalachian State
Southland: McNeese State

At-Large (in no particular order):
Coastal Carolina
Furman
Illinois State
James Madison
Montana State/Portland State
New Hampshire
San Diego
Southern Illinois

BRACKET:

Coastal Carolina at #1 Appalachian State
UT-Martin at Furman

Lehigh/Lafayette at #4 Youngstown State
Hampton at James Madison


Southern Illinois at #3 Massachusetts
New Hampshire at Illinois State

San Diego at #2 Montana
Montana State/Portland State at McNeese State

FlyYtown
November 12th, 2006, 02:44 PM
Lafayette will rep the Patriot League, San Diego won't make the playoffs with their pathetic schedule.....

blur2005
November 12th, 2006, 02:46 PM
Lafayette will rep the Patriot League, San Diego won't make the playoffs with their pathetic schedule.....
Sadly, I think they just might.

james_lawfirm
November 12th, 2006, 03:10 PM
Lafayette will rep the Patriot League, San Diego won't make the playoffs with their pathetic schedule.....

San Diego homers seem to think that it takes three things to get into the playoffs: 1) some wins, 2) a loud-mouthed coach, & 3) a whole bunch of threads on the AGS blog to show the world (or at least the selection committee) they are WORTHY of a spot. :D :nod: :rotateh: :)

WRONGO!!!

Strength of scedule really does matter. What high school team could not beat the St. Mary Blind Girl School they are whoopin' up on? Get a real schedule and come back next year. xlolx

Your coach needs some attention. He sure is not getting it on the football field. Maybe he just wants a better job. :smiley_wi

From past experience, the selection committee pays VERY little attention to the AGS blog. Just ask Wofford a few years ago! :(

But, if by chance San Diego makes it into the playoffs, then PLEASE, PLEASE, PLEASE have the selection committee send them to Kidd Brewer Stadium in Boone, N.C. (ASU) in the first round!!! :hurray:

SouthernEagle02
November 12th, 2006, 03:30 PM
TEAMS:

Atlantic 10: #3 Massachusetts
Big Sky: #2 Montana
Gateway: #4 Youngstown State
MEAC: Hampton
Ohio Valley: UT-Martin
Patriot: Lehigh/Lafayette
Southern: #1 Appalachian State
Southland: McNeese State

At-Large (in no particular order):
Coastal Carolina
Furman
Illinois State
James Madison
Montana State/Portland State
New Hampshire
San Diego
Southern Illinois

BRACKET:

Coastal Carolina at #1 Appalachian State
UT-Martin at Furman

Lehigh/Lafayette at #4 Youngstown State
Hampton at James Madison


Southern Illinois at #3 Massachusetts
New Hampshire at Illinois State

San Diego at #2 Montana
Montana State/Portland State at McNeese State

I can buy that, but I think the games may go something like this:

Lehigh/Lafayette @ #1 App St
New Hamshire @ JMU

Hampton @ CCU
Furman @ UT Martin

Ill. St @ #3 Youngstown
S.Ill @ #4 Umass

MSU/Portland St @ #2 Montana
USD @McNeese St.
I can't give Furman a home game in the first for multiple reasons but most b/c I feel that they will be the 15th or 16th pick.

SouthernEagle02
November 12th, 2006, 03:30 PM
TEAMS:

Atlantic 10: #3 Massachusetts
Big Sky: #2 Montana
Gateway: #4 Youngstown State
MEAC: Hampton
Ohio Valley: UT-Martin
Patriot: Lehigh/Lafayette
Southern: #1 Appalachian State
Southland: McNeese State

At-Large (in no particular order):
Coastal Carolina
Furman
Illinois State
James Madison
Montana State/Portland State
New Hampshire
San Diego
Southern Illinois

BRACKET:

Coastal Carolina at #1 Appalachian State
UT-Martin at Furman

Lehigh/Lafayette at #4 Youngstown State
Hampton at James Madison


Southern Illinois at #3 Massachusetts
New Hampshire at Illinois State

San Diego at #2 Montana
Montana State/Portland State at McNeese State

I can buy that, but I think the games may go something like this:

Lehigh/Lafayette @ #1 App St
New Hamshire @ JMU

Hampton @ CCU
Furman @ UT Martin

Ill. St @ #3 Youngstown
S.Ill @ #4 Umass

MSU/Portland St @ #2 Montana
USD @McNeese St.
I can't give Furman a home game in the first for multiple reasons but most b/c I feel that they will be the 15th or 16th pick.

SouthernEagle02
November 12th, 2006, 03:30 PM
TEAMS:

Atlantic 10: #3 Massachusetts
Big Sky: #2 Montana
Gateway: #4 Youngstown State
MEAC: Hampton
Ohio Valley: UT-Martin
Patriot: Lehigh/Lafayette
Southern: #1 Appalachian State
Southland: McNeese State

At-Large (in no particular order):
Coastal Carolina
Furman
Illinois State
James Madison
Montana State/Portland State
New Hampshire
San Diego
Southern Illinois

BRACKET:

Coastal Carolina at #1 Appalachian State
UT-Martin at Furman

Lehigh/Lafayette at #4 Youngstown State
Hampton at James Madison


Southern Illinois at #3 Massachusetts
New Hampshire at Illinois State

San Diego at #2 Montana
Montana State/Portland State at McNeese State

I can buy that, but I think the games may go something like this:

Lehigh/Lafayette @ #1 App St
New Hamshire @ JMU

Hampton @ CCU
Furman @ UT Martin

Ill. St @ #3 Youngstown
S.Ill @ #4 Umass

MSU/Portland St @ #2 Montana
USD @McNeese St.
I can't give Furman a home game in the first for multiple reasons but most b/c I feel that they will be the 15th or 16th pick.

SouthernEagle02
November 12th, 2006, 03:30 PM
TEAMS:

Atlantic 10: #3 Massachusetts
Big Sky: #2 Montana
Gateway: #4 Youngstown State
MEAC: Hampton
Ohio Valley: UT-Martin
Patriot: Lehigh/Lafayette
Southern: #1 Appalachian State
Southland: McNeese State

At-Large (in no particular order):
Coastal Carolina
Furman
Illinois State
James Madison
Montana State/Portland State
New Hampshire
San Diego
Southern Illinois

BRACKET:

Coastal Carolina at #1 Appalachian State
UT-Martin at Furman

Lehigh/Lafayette at #4 Youngstown State
Hampton at James Madison


Southern Illinois at #3 Massachusetts
New Hampshire at Illinois State

San Diego at #2 Montana
Montana State/Portland State at McNeese State

I can buy that, but I think the games may go something like this:

Lehigh/Lafayette @ #1 App St
New Hamshire @ JMU

Hampton @ CCU
Furman @ UT Martin

Ill. St @ #3 Youngstown
S.Ill @ #4 Umass

MSU/Portland St @ #2 Montana
USD @McNeese St.
I can't give Furman a home game in the first for multiple reasons but most b/c I feel that they will be the 15th or 16th pick.

SouthernEagle02
November 12th, 2006, 03:30 PM
TEAMS:

Atlantic 10: #3 Massachusetts
Big Sky: #2 Montana
Gateway: #4 Youngstown State
MEAC: Hampton
Ohio Valley: UT-Martin
Patriot: Lehigh/Lafayette
Southern: #1 Appalachian State
Southland: McNeese State

At-Large (in no particular order):
Coastal Carolina
Furman
Illinois State
James Madison
Montana State/Portland State
New Hampshire
San Diego
Southern Illinois

BRACKET:

Coastal Carolina at #1 Appalachian State
UT-Martin at Furman

Lehigh/Lafayette at #4 Youngstown State
Hampton at James Madison


Southern Illinois at #3 Massachusetts
New Hampshire at Illinois State

San Diego at #2 Montana
Montana State/Portland State at McNeese State

I can buy that, but I think the games may go something like this:

Lehigh/Lafayette @ #1 App St
New Hamshire @ JMU

Hampton @ CCU
Furman @ UT Martin

Ill. St @ #3 Youngstown
S.Ill @ #4 Umass

MSU/Portland St @ #2 Montana
USD @McNeese St.
I can't give Furman a home game in the first for multiple reasons but most b/c I feel that they will be the 15th or 16th pick.

th0m
November 12th, 2006, 03:33 PM
Without going into the fact that you posted that like 5 times, conference foes cannot meet each other in the first round. Plus UNH is really not such a good fit for JMU, geographically. UT-Martin, CCU, PL-rep are all closer.

NYSigma
November 12th, 2006, 03:34 PM
I like JMU Duke Dog's predictions....by the way UNH can't play JMU in the first round it's against the rules... (same conference). The only thing is Hampton may outbid JMU....(Psst JMU Hampton is such a push over save that money for your second round bid)

Peems
November 12th, 2006, 03:38 PM
I can buy that, but I think the games may go something like this:

Lehigh/Lafayette @ #1 App St
New Hamshire @ JMU

Hampton @ CCU
Furman @ UT Martin

Ill. St @ #3 Youngstown
S.Ill @ #4 Umass

MSU/Portland St @ #2 Montana
USD @McNeese St.
I can't give Furman a home game in the first for multiple reasons but most b/c I feel that they will be the 15th or 16th pick.

conference foes cant play each other in the first round.

Appguy
November 12th, 2006, 03:41 PM
Hampton @ #1 Appalachian State
UT-Martin at Furman

Lehigh @ #4 Youngstown State
Coastal Carolina @ James Madison


Southern Illinois @ #3 Massachusetts
New Hampshire @ Illinois State

San Diego @ #2 Montana
Montana State @ McNeese State

Id prefer Hampton play us cause Lafayette gave us a game in 1st round last year. Furman rematch in second round hopefully, then the match up Im dying to see Youngstown @ App. Then App V. UMass for all the marbles.
but we all know San diego is gonna take over that part of the bracket xlolx

Torero Tradition
November 12th, 2006, 03:44 PM
I think Appguy has the best bracket to this point except MSU will not get in with a loss to the Griz...
so there is another spot open, who is gonna get it?

Peems
November 12th, 2006, 03:45 PM
Hampton @ #1 Appalachian State
UT-Martin at Furman

Lehigh @ #4 Youngstown State
Coastal Carolina @ James Madison


Southern Illinois @ #3 Massachusetts
New Hampshire @ Illinois State

San Diego @ #2 Montana
Montana State @ McNeese State

Id prefer Hampton play us cause Lafayette gave us a game in 1st round last year. Furman rematch in second round hopefully, then the match up Im dying to see Youngstown @ App. Then App V. UMass for all the marbles.
but we all know San diego is gonna take over that part of the bracket xlolx


portland state instead of MSU.

BDKJMU
November 12th, 2006, 04:51 PM
I can buy that, but I think the games may go something like this:

Lehigh/Lafayette @ #1 App St
New Hamshire @ JMU

Hampton @ CCU
Furman @ UT Martin

Ill. St @ #3 Youngstown
S.Ill @ #4 Umass

MSU/Portland St @ #2 Montana
USD @McNeese St.
I can't give Furman a home game in the first for multiple reasons but most b/c I feel that they will be the 15th or 16th pick.

Are you ok? Christ, you just posted the same damn post 5 friggin times! Dude, learn how to use the computer.

SouthernEagle02
November 12th, 2006, 05:37 PM
Without going into the fact that you posted that like 5 times, conference foes cannot meet each other in the first round. Plus UNH is really not such a good fit for JMU, geographically. UT-Martin, CCU, PL-rep are all closer.
Sorry to upset you about the whole posting thing. Godforbid we upset the mighty thOm :bow: :bow: I had tech problems at the time.

etiger
November 12th, 2006, 05:47 PM
The winner of the JMU at Towson game on Saturday will determine the
last A-10 spot. If Towson wins, JMU is 8-3 and Towson is 8-3. One of JMU's wins is aginst a Div II Team (Bloomsburg). So they would only have 7 I-AA wins. Towson controls it's own destiny right now. Go Tigers!

IaaScribe
November 12th, 2006, 07:15 PM
I don't like doing projections until the last week of the regular season, just because so many things can change. But here are my thoughts and a potential bracket:

ATLANTIC 10
Locks: Massachusetts, James Madison
Bubble: New Hampshire, Towson, Maine
Analysis: UMass will end up with the auto bid (if they don't have it already) and JMU will beat Towson on the road to eliminate the Tigers from consideration. That leaves the New Hampshire-Maine winner at 7-4. I think Maine wins that game at home and gets an at-large. They'll be 6-2 in the A-10 with losses against Youngstown State, Boston College, UMass and Rhode Island. Playing UMass tight gives Maine some extra consideration.
In: UMass, JMU, Maine.
Three down, 13 to go.

BIG SKY
Lock: Montana
Bubble: Montana State, Portland State
Analysis: I'll take the Griz at home in the Brawl of the Wild, eliminating 7-4 Montana State. The losses to Chadron State and UC Davis will kill any MSU at-large hopes. Not because UCD is bad, but because of the 45-0 licking MSU took. Portland State is in great shape. Going 6-2 in the Big Sky with no bad losses and a I-A win at New Mexico gives the Vikings a boost.
In: Montana, Portland State
Five down, 11 to go.

BIG SOUTH
Bubble: Coastal Carolina
Analysis: The Chants will take care of Charleston Southern at home. If Drafts is in any way affected by the lick he took at Liberty, CCU could win this one in a blowout. The wins against Furman, Wofford and S.C. State puts CCU in the field.
In: Coastal Carolina
Six down, 10 to go.

GATEWAY
Locks: Youngstown State, Illinois State
Bubble: Southern Illinois, Northern Iowa
Analysis: SIU will take care of Southern Utah to get to 8-3 and secure a bid. If Northern Iowa can beat Illinois State, the Panthers would have a compelling case. Great wins against South Dakota State, Youngstown State and Illinois State. Alas, I think ISU wins this one at home, leaving UNI home.
In: Youngstown State, Southern Illinois, Illinois State
Nine down, seven to go.

MEAC
Auto bid: Hampton
Bubble: Delaware State
Analysis: Delaware State should beat Howard and get to 9-2. The only losses were at Northwestern State and vs. Hampton and the Hornets have solid wins against Florida A&M, Bethune-Cookman and South Carolina State. I don't think that'll be enough, though. See SCSU in 2005.
In: Hampton
10 down, six to go.

NEC
Bubble: Monmouth
Analysis: Hard to ignore a 10-1 team. Good wins against Albany and Central Connecticut State, but a pretty bad loss to Stony Brook puts Monmouth on the wrong side of the bubble.

OVC
Auto: Tenn.-Martin (I know they haven't clinched it yet, but the Skyhawks should beat Murray State).
Bubble: Eastern Illinois
Analysis: EIU played an all-DI schedule with losses to I-A Illinois and Hawaii and projected playoff teams Tenn.-Martin and Illinois State. I think that'll be enough.
In: Tenn.-Martin, Eastern Illinois
12 down, four to go.

PATRIOT
Auto: Goes to the Lafayette-Lehigh winner. I'll say Lafayette just because that's where the game is.
In: Lafayette.
13 down, three to go.

PIONEER
Bubble: San Diego
Analysis: Discussed ad nauseum. One quality win (at Yale) and playing a terrible Pioneer schedule puts USD way down on the list of potential at-larges. Prepare to be very disappointed, Torero folk.

SOUTHERN
Auto: Appalachian State
Lock: Furman
Bubble: Wofford
Analysis: If Wofford gets to 7-4, I think they have an interesting case. No bad losses, but no particularly good wins, either. That puts them right in the same boat with Eastern Illinois.
In: Appalachian State, Furman
15 down, one to go.

SOUTHLAND
Auto: Probably goes to Sam Houston State. It gets real complicated if SHSU loses to Texas State at home, though.
16 down, none to go.

PROJECTED BRACKET:
Coastal Carolina at (1) Appalachian State
Portland State at Illinois State

Eastern Illinois at (4) Youngstown State
Hampton at James Madison

Lafayette at (2) Massachusetts
Maine at Furman

Sam Houston State at (3) Montana
Southern Illinois at Tenn.-Martin

UMass922
November 12th, 2006, 07:21 PM
Maine is done, Scribe, no matter what they do against UNH. They can only get to six D-I wins.

IaaScribe
November 12th, 2006, 07:23 PM
EDIT: Sports Network has McNeese's record wrong, thus my screwup with my pick there. Whoever wins the Southland goes to Montana, that's my best guess.

IaaScribe
November 12th, 2006, 07:25 PM
UMass: My bad, I forgot about the Shaw game.

I would still take Wofford, Delaware State, Montana State or even Monmouth, ahead of San Diego.

IaaScribe
November 12th, 2006, 07:27 PM
Or Towson if they beat JMU.

skinny_uncle
November 12th, 2006, 07:28 PM
I don't like doing projections until the last week of the regular season, just because so many things can change. But here are my thoughts and a potential bracket:

ATLANTIC 10
Locks: Massachusetts, James Madison
Bubble: New Hampshire, Towson, Maine
Analysis: UMass will end up with the auto bid (if they don't have it already) and JMU will beat Towson on the road to eliminate the Tigers from consideration. That leaves the New Hampshire-Maine winner at 7-4. I think Maine wins that game at home and gets an at-large. They'll be 6-2 in the A-10 with losses against Youngstown State, Boston College, UMass and Rhode Island. Playing UMass tight gives Maine some extra consideration.
In: UMass, JMU, Maine.
Three down, 13 to go.

BIG SKY
Lock: Montana
Bubble: Montana State, Portland State
Analysis: I'll take the Griz at home in the Brawl of the Wild, eliminating 7-4 Montana State. The losses to Chadron State and UC Davis will kill any MSU at-large hopes. Not because UCD is bad, but because of the 45-0 licking MSU took. Portland State is in great shape. Going 6-2 in the Big Sky with no bad losses and a I-A win at New Mexico gives the Vikings a boost.
In: Montana, Portland State
Five down, 11 to go.

BIG SOUTH
Bubble: Coastal Carolina
Analysis: The Chants will take care of Charleston Southern at home. If Drafts is in any way affected by the lick he took at Liberty, CCU could win this one in a blowout. The wins against Furman, Wofford and S.C. State puts CCU in the field.
In: Coastal Carolina
Six down, 10 to go.

GATEWAY
Locks: Youngstown State, Illinois State
Bubble: Southern Illinois, Northern Iowa
Analysis: SIU will take care of Southern Utah to get to 8-3 and secure a bid. If Northern Iowa can beat Illinois State, the Panthers would have a compelling case. Great wins against South Dakota State, Youngstown State and Illinois State. Alas, I think ISU wins this one at home, leaving UNI home.
In: Youngstown State, Southern Illinois, Illinois State
Nine down, seven to go.

MEAC
Auto bid: Hampton
Bubble: Delaware State
Analysis: Delaware State should beat Howard and get to 9-2. The only losses were at Northwestern State and vs. Hampton and the Hornets have solid wins against Florida A&M, Bethune-Cookman and South Carolina State. I don't think that'll be enough, though. See SCSU in 2005.
In: Hampton
10 down, six to go.

NEC
Bubble: Monmouth
Analysis: Hard to ignore a 10-1 team. Good wins against Albany and Central Connecticut State, but a pretty bad loss to Stony Brook puts Monmouth on the wrong side of the bubble.

OVC
Auto: Tenn.-Martin (I know they haven't clinched it yet, but the Skyhawks should beat Murray State).
Bubble: Eastern Illinois
Analysis: EIU played an all-DI schedule with losses to I-A Illinois and Hawaii and projected playoff teams Tenn.-Martin and Illinois State. I think that'll be enough.
In: Tenn.-Martin, Eastern Illinois
12 down, four to go.

PATRIOT
Auto: Goes to the Lafayette-Lehigh winner. I'll say Lafayette just because that's where the game is.
In: Lafayette.
13 down, three to go.

PIONEER
Bubble: San Diego
Analysis: Discussed ad nauseum. One quality win (at Yale) and playing a terrible Pioneer schedule puts USD way down on the list of potential at-larges. Prepare to be very disappointed, Torero folk.

SOUTHERN
Auto: Appalachian State
Lock: Furman
Bubble: Wofford
Analysis: If Wofford gets to 7-4, I think they have an interesting case. No bad losses, but no particularly good wins, either. That puts them right in the same boat with Eastern Illinois.
In: Appalachian State, Furman
15 down, one to go.

SOUTHLAND
Auto: Probably goes to Sam Houston State. It gets real complicated if SHSU loses to Texas State at home, though.
16 down, none to go.

PROJECTED BRACKET:
Coastal Carolina at (1) Appalachian State
Portland State at Illinois State

Eastern Illinois at (4) Youngstown State
Hampton at James Madison

Lafayette at (2) Massachusetts
Maine at Furman

Sam Houston State at (3) Montana
Southern Illinois at Tenn.-Martin

Maine won't get in at 7-4. One of those wins was a non DI game. If SHSU loses next week, I think McNeese gets that AQ (assuming they win). I also don't see Portland State getting in. Even if Montana State loses and falls into a second place tie with PSU, they did beat Portland in their head to head matchup which should give them an edge.

NDSUFREAK
November 12th, 2006, 07:29 PM
I guess i am trying to figure out how the selection goes.

UMass922
November 12th, 2006, 07:30 PM
I would still take Wofford, Delaware State, Montana State or even Monmouth, ahead of San Diego.

As would I. But I think UNH will beat Maine and claim that spot. Otherwise I agree with your playoff field.

skinny_uncle
November 12th, 2006, 07:50 PM
I guess i am trying to figure out how the selection goes.
Aren't we all?:D
The basic rules are that some leagues get autobids for their champs (at least 6 members required in the league) and you need at least 7 DI wins for consideration for an at-large bid. Non-schollie IAA leagues do not get an autobid. The Ivy league does not participate by their own choice. SWAC teams have a postseason title game of their own, so unless there is a second place team in one of their divisions that merits consideration they usually do not have a playoff team. Confused, yet?
:D

Peems
November 12th, 2006, 07:55 PM
Skinny Uncle, i guarantee you that if MSU loses to us they will not get in ahead of PSU.

IaaScribe
November 12th, 2006, 08:02 PM
Overall body of work can trump head-to-head. Ask Hofstra last year in the NCAA basketball tournament. Hofstra beat George Mason twice, but GMU had the better body of work.

Portland State's overall resume is much, much stronger than MSU's. You can't lose at home to a DII and get whacked by a provisional DI member by 45 and not expect to get penalized.

skinny_uncle
November 12th, 2006, 08:06 PM
It's possible neither will get in at 7-4. The only way I see MSU getting in is if the manage to beat Montana.

skinny_uncle
November 12th, 2006, 08:10 PM
Delaware State will probably finish 9-2. Should they not merit some consideration?

kardplayer
November 12th, 2006, 08:21 PM
If Lehigh beats Lafayette on Saturday, my money is on them bidding enough to host a first round game. My guess is that it will be against UNH.

th0m
November 12th, 2006, 08:52 PM
Sorry to upset you about the whole posting thing. Godforbid we upset the mighty thOm :bow: :bow: I had tech problems at the time.

Hey I didn't mean to come off as a jerk. But thanks for referring to me as mighty :)

UMass922
November 12th, 2006, 09:14 PM
Delaware State will probably finish 9-2. Should they not merit some consideration?

One of their wins is over a D-II, and their schedule overall is relatively weak. It's likely that a seven-win team with a much stronger schedule gets in ahead of them. They will get some consideration, though, I'm sure.

DaGriz
November 12th, 2006, 09:23 PM
San Diego at #2 Montana
Montana State/Portland State at McNeese State

If MSU gets in it means we lost this coming weekend which means we won't be a #2. The only way I see two Big Sky teams getting in is if we lose this weekend.

Cincy App
November 12th, 2006, 09:24 PM
Delaware State will probably finish 9-2. Should they not merit some consideration?

Very good question. Generally, the second place MEAC team will make the playoff field when the at-large contenders are not very deep. This year, the at-large prospects are thinner than most years hence the relevant discussions about 4-loss teams.

I do not think that Delaware St is one of the best 8 at large teams but I wouldn't count them out with an 9-2 record with 8 wins over I-AA teams (7 scholarshiped). They have lost to Hampton and NW St but have run the MEAC table outside of the Pirates.

Appguy
November 12th, 2006, 09:33 PM
Personally id rather play Hampton, Lehigh, or Tenn-Martin since weve played lafeyette and Coastal and they both gave us a good fight last season.

rokamortis
November 12th, 2006, 09:39 PM
Personally id rather play Hampton, Lehigh, or Tenn-Martin since weve played lafeyette and Coastal and they both gave us a good fight last season.

Wow - you are being too gracious concerning CCU. Thanks though.

McTailGator
November 12th, 2006, 09:49 PM
EDIT: Sports Network has McNeese's record wrong, thus my screwup with my pick there. Whoever wins the Southland goes to Montana, that's my best guess.


NCAA will not make McNeese travel in round one.

Our expernce in hosting round one events and the money we make for the NCAA will guarantee at least one home game for the Cowboy's.

If we lose to Nich, than we stay home.

But no one else in the SLC would be given a home game given their attendance problems in the past.

tralfangar
November 12th, 2006, 10:10 PM
Yeah, I don't particularly remember the CCU games being too much of a struggle considering it was over after the first half...

CopperCat
November 12th, 2006, 10:38 PM
Skinny Uncle, i guarantee you that if MSU loses to us they will not get in ahead of PSU.

guarantee eh? THE GAME HASN'T EVEN BEEN PLAYED YET!!!!:bang: :bang: :bang: :bang: :bang: :bang: :bang: :bang: :bang: :bang:

McNeeserocket
November 12th, 2006, 11:42 PM
EDIT: Sports Network has McNeese's record wrong, thus my screwup with my pick there. Whoever wins the Southland goes to Montana, that's my best guess.

Actually you still may be wrong. If both McNeese and Sam Houston win next week, they are co-conference champions. As co-conference champions, McNeese wins the tie-breaker by benefit of the head to head win. If both teams lose next week, the same is true as above. If McNeese loses and Sam Houston wins then Sam Houston is conference champ and they go to the playoffs. If McNeese wins and Sam Houston loses, then McNeese is conference champion and they go to playoffs. All McNeese has to do is win and they go. Even if they lose they could still go if Sam Houston also loses.

So you see, the qualifier has not been decided yet.

placidlakegriz
November 12th, 2006, 11:48 PM
guarantee eh? THE GAME HASN'T EVEN BEEN PLAYED YET!!!!:bang: :bang: :bang: :bang: :bang: :bang: :bang: :bang: :bang: :bang:


WHAT???

IaaScribe
November 12th, 2006, 11:51 PM
Rocket ... my clarification on that: Sports Network had McNeese already with two SFL losses and had SHSU with one. That's why I assumed if SHSU won, they got the auto. ESPN had the records right, thus my clarification.

Live4Griz
November 12th, 2006, 11:53 PM
guarantee eh? THE GAME HASN'T EVEN BEEN PLAYED YET!!!!:bang: :bang: :bang: :bang: :bang: :bang: :bang: :bang: :bang: :bang:


I think that is why Peems threw in that big operative word: IF

GO GRIZ!!

siugrad99
November 13th, 2006, 12:52 AM
SIU vs UT Martin... sounds good, although don't be surprised if SIU gets a home game as I expect our new AD to put up the $ we wouldn't put up in years past.

Go Apps
November 13th, 2006, 06:27 AM
#1 ASU hosts Coastal Carolina
Furman hosts UT Martin

#4 Young St hosts Towson
JMU hosts Hampton


#2 Montana hosts McNeese St
Ill St hosts E Ill

#3 Mass hosts Layfayette
S Ill hosts N Hamp


Missing Out: Port St, Wofford, San Diego, Del St, Monmouth, Mont St

Cincy App
November 13th, 2006, 07:13 AM
There are several meaningful games this coming weekend so I'm sure my predictions will look different after Saturday's games. Still, I'll give it a shot:

CCU at #1 ASU
Hampton at JMU

UT-Martin at #4 YSU
S. Illinois at Furman

McNeese St at #2 Montana
Portland St at Illinois St

Delaware St at #3 UMass
New Hampshire at Lehigh

I anticipate that Portland St and Delaware St will be the last 2 in - with Del St being the "Woofer".

asu7
November 13th, 2006, 09:17 AM
There are several meaningful games this coming weekend so I'm sure my predictions will look different after Saturday's games. Still, I'll give it a shot:

CCU at #1 ASU
Hampton at JMU

UT-Martin at #4 YSU
S. Illinois at Furman

McNeese St at #2 Montana
Portland St at Illinois St

Delaware St at #3 UMass
New Hampshire at Lehigh

I anticipate that Portland St and Delaware St will be the last 2 in - with Del St being the "Woofer".

This bracket makes sense:nod:
it appears that UMASS will not get their chance to play us unless both makes it to NOOGA sorry UMASS fans ... I look for a YSU ASU SEMI ... look forward to seein some penguins ... as they are my favorite animal ... it will probably be cold enough for penguins:hurray:

ChickenMan
November 13th, 2006, 11:36 AM
Delaware St @ #1 ASU
SIU @ Hampton

Tenn Martin @ Furman
McNeese St @ #4 YSU




San Diego @ #2 Montana
UNH @ Illinois St

CCU @ JMU
Lehigh @ #3 UMass

ASUSoCon
November 13th, 2006, 11:45 AM
Here is my shot at the bracket: I have Lafayette beating Lehigh and I have McNeese State winning the Southland autobid. I have Montana beating Montana State for the autobid.

Last in: Delaware State, San Diego (They will both have 8 DI wins, regardless of who they are against)

Last out: Portland State, Wofford, Eastern Illinois (All three teams will have four losses and I doubt history changes this year).

I personnally believe Portland State and Wofford are deserving of bids, but their performance against I-AA teams early in the season are going to doom them in their quest for a bid.

-------------------------

The bracket:

1. Appalachian State
Coastal Carolina

The #1 seed should play against the worst team in the field. I do not think that Coastal is the worst team in the field (Delaware State and San Diego), but this match-up geographically makes sense. Plus it is a bus trip. Mileage: 303.55

Hampton (host)
New Hampshire

With the record that Hampton has, they will host if they put up the money. New Hampshire is probably one of the last teams in, but will receive a relatively easy draw.

-------------------------

4. Youngstown State
Lafayette (Lehigh)

The Patriot winner will go to Youngstown State. Most think that the Patriot autobid will go to UMass, but Delaware State will get that honor. It geographically makes sense. Bus trip. 321.64 miles

James Madison (host)
Furman

This match-up is intriguing. James Madison lost a game that everyone thought they would win and Furman has been barely hanging on for the last month of the football season. This winner of this will go to Youngstown State in the second round. The four seed should have the hardest match-up of all the seeded teams in the second round. Plus it is a bus trip. 393.20 miles

--------------------------

3. Massachusetts
Delaware State

After this match-up is announced people will accuse the Massacusetts representation on the committee as the reason for this game. Delaware State will get 8 DI wins and that has always been the threshold for getting into the playoffs. Plus it is a bus trip. 334.51 miles

Illinois State (host)
Tennessee-Martin

There is no way that Martin hosts the game. They average a little over 4000 a game. Either Martin is going to Southern Illinois or Illinois State. Since Illinois State is ranked higher than Southern Illinois, I will save them a trip to Montana. Bus trip. 353.4 miles

--------------------

2. Montana
San Diego

The media circus has already put San Diego in the playoffs. There is no way that they are out now. With San Diego being 10-0 with 8 DI wins, they will get in over Wofford or Portland State. They might be good. I look at this in the same way as Boise State or Utah making the BCS bowl. You have to give them a chance and in the case of Utah two years ago, they beat Pitt in the Fiesta Bowl. Like it or not, the computer ratings have them high and they will be in the playoffs.

Southern Illinois (host)
McNeese State

Either team could host this game. I think that Southern Illinois will put up the money and host over McNeese State. I just can't see a barely over .500 team hosting. It could happen though. The winner will have the joy of going to Montana in the second round.

------------------


I am frugal and the committee is going to help the NCAA out with five bus trips in the first round. Comments?

Chucktown
November 13th, 2006, 11:48 AM
#1 ASU hosts Coastal Carolina
Furman hosts UT Martin

#4 Young St hosts Towson
JMU hosts Hampton


#2 Montana hosts McNeese St
Ill St hosts E Ill

#3 Mass hosts Layfayette
S Ill hosts N Hamp


Missing Out: Port St, Wofford, San Diego, Del St, Monmouth, Mont St

It would definately be nice to see a rematch of this game. Last one was very exciting, coming down until the end..

smallcollegefbfan
November 13th, 2006, 11:49 AM
San Diego homers seem to think that it takes three things to get into the playoffs: 1) some wins, 2) a loud-mouthed coach, & 3) a whole bunch of threads on the AGS blog to show the world (or at least the selection committee) they are WORTHY of a spot. :D :nod: :rotateh: :)

WRONGO!!!

Strength of scedule really does matter. What high school team could not beat the St. Mary Blind Girl School they are whoopin' up on? Get a real schedule and come back next year. xlolx

Your coach needs some attention. He sure is not getting it on the football field. Maybe he just wants a better job. :smiley_wi

From past experience, the selection committee pays VERY little attention to the AGS blog. Just ask Wofford a few years ago! :(

But, if by chance San Diego makes it into the playoffs, then PLEASE, PLEASE, PLEASE have the selection committee send them to Kidd Brewer Stadium in Boone, N.C. (ASU) in the first round!!! :hurray:

I agree. In no way will they be in the playoffs.

It is sad because USD will go from being a top team in I-AA to losing their coach to Michigan State and possibly their QB to the NFL early.

Rumor is that Harbaugh is gone to MSU for sure. I know he has been on the radio talking about some. The media has been kicking that around for a while and I believe he will leave. When more money, major football, and bigger media come calling you can not turn it down.

umassfan
November 13th, 2006, 11:55 AM
Delaware St @ #1 ASU
SIU @ Hampton

Tenn Martin @ Furman
McNeese St @ #4 YSU




San Diego @ #2 Montana
UNH @ Illinois St

CCU @ JMU
Lehigh @ #3 UMass

They wont put all 3 A10 schools on one side.

89Hen
November 13th, 2006, 11:58 AM
They wont put all 3 A10 schools on one side.
They might. In 2004 when four teams went it was split 3-1 not 2-2. :twocents:

Killsback
November 13th, 2006, 12:26 PM
The committee likes bus trips and SIU, Tennessee State, UT Martin and Eastern Illinois are all within driving distance. Last year Eastern Illinois got a home game because they were the AQ from their conference. SIU bid more than EIU did, but the committee said they wanted to reward conf champions with home games. I see SIU travelling to one of the OVC schools if they go by that same formula if those schools at least bid the minimum which is what EIU did last year. If they did not bid, maybe SIU hosts the OVC Champ.

Dabnus Brickey
November 13th, 2006, 01:26 PM
I can buy that, but I think the games may go something like this:

Lehigh/Lafayette @ #1 App St
New Hamshire @ JMU

Hampton @ CCU
Furman @ UT Martin

Ill. St @ #3 Youngstown
S.Ill @ #4 Umass

MSU/Portland St @ #2 Montana
USD @McNeese St.
I can't give Furman a home game in the first for multiple reasons but most b/c I feel that they will be the 15th or 16th pick.

You really think so?

Maroon&White
November 13th, 2006, 01:56 PM
I feel bad for the team that might have to face UNH in the first round, especially if that team has homefield.

JMU_MRD'03-'07
November 13th, 2006, 02:13 PM
Just a little note... I'll just say that if JMU gets in... we're going to be at home for any game not played against a seed. You can count on that ;)

FCS_pwns_FBS
November 13th, 2006, 02:20 PM
I really don't think USD deserves to get in over Portland State...


yeah, yeah, I know...
:deadhorse:

also, a lot of you don't seem very confident in Towson can beat JUM. Like I have said before, if Towson and UNH both win, the A10 gets 4 in.

msupokes1
November 13th, 2006, 02:34 PM
Here is my shot at the bracket: I have Lafayette beating Lehigh and I have McNeese State winning the Southland autobid. I have Montana beating Montana State for the autobid.

Last in: Delaware State, San Diego (They will both have 8 DI wins, regardless of who they are against)

Last out: Portland State, Wofford, Eastern Illinois (All three teams will have four losses and I doubt history changes this year).

I personnally believe Portland State and Wofford are deserving of bids, but their performance against I-AA teams early in the season are going to doom them in their quest for a bid.

-------------------------

The bracket:

1. Appalachian State
Coastal Carolina

The #1 seed should play against the worst team in the field. I do not think that Coastal is the worst team in the field (Delaware State and San Diego), but this match-up geographically makes sense. Plus it is a bus trip. Mileage: 303.55

Hampton (host)
New Hampshire

With the record that Hampton has, they will host if they put up the money. New Hampshire is probably one of the last teams in, but will receive a relatively easy draw.

-------------------------

4. Youngstown State
Lafayette (Lehigh)

The Patriot winner will go to Youngstown State. Most think that the Patriot autobid will go to UMass, but Delaware State will get that honor. It geographically makes sense. Bus trip. 321.64 miles

James Madison (host)
Furman

This match-up is intriguing. James Madison lost a game that everyone thought they would win and Furman has been barely hanging on for the last month of the football season. This winner of this will go to Youngstown State in the second round. The four seed should have the hardest match-up of all the seeded teams in the second round. Plus it is a bus trip. 393.20 miles

--------------------------

3. Massachusetts
Delaware State

After this match-up is announced people will accuse the Massacusetts representation on the committee as the reason for this game. Delaware State will get 8 DI wins and that has always been the threshold for getting into the playoffs. Plus it is a bus trip. 334.51 miles

Illinois State (host)
Tennessee-Martin

There is no way that Martin hosts the game. They average a little over 4000 a game. Either Martin is going to Southern Illinois or Illinois State. Since Illinois State is ranked higher than Southern Illinois, I will save them a trip to Montana. Bus trip. 353.4 miles

--------------------

2. Montana
San Diego

The media circus has already put San Diego in the playoffs. There is no way that they are out now. With San Diego being 10-0 with 8 DI wins, they will get in over Wofford or Portland State. They might be good. I look at this in the same way as Boise State or Utah making the BCS bowl. You have to give them a chance and in the case of Utah two years ago, they beat Pitt in the Fiesta Bowl. Like it or not, the computer ratings have them high and they will be in the playoffs.

Southern Illinois (host)
McNeese State

Either team could host this game. I think that Southern Illinois will put up the money and host over McNeese State. I just can't see a barely over .500 team hosting. It could happen though. The winner will have the joy of going to Montana in the second round.

------------------


I am frugal and the committee is going to help the NCAA out with five bus trips in the first round. Comments?


If McNeese makes the playoffs they will be 7-4 which isn't exactly barely over .500.

UNI MadCat
November 13th, 2006, 06:35 PM
GATEWAY
Locks: Youngstown State, Illinois State
Bubble: Southern Illinois, Northern Iowa
Analysis: SIU will take care of Southern Utah to get to 8-3 and secure a bid. If Northern Iowa can beat Illinois State, the Panthers would have a compelling case. Great wins against South Dakota State, Youngstown State and Illinois State. Alas, I think ISU wins this one at home, leaving UNI home.
In: Youngstown State, Southern Illinois, Illinois State
Nine down, seven to go.


Not that it really matters but Il St. play @ UNI in the Dome, not at home like you stated.

Also, does anyone think UNI has ANY shot? What teams do I need to root against this Saturday so that UNI might still have a chance? Or should I just start planning for next year? :(

Walkon79
November 13th, 2006, 06:40 PM
I think Appguy has the best bracket to this point except MSU will not get in with a loss to the Griz...
so there is another spot open, who is gonna get it?

We'll still have 7 D1 wins, so why not.?If another 7-4 team gets in instead, say Portland State, then let the arguments begin.

Saluki_man
November 13th, 2006, 08:04 PM
Not that it really matters but Il St. play @ UNI in the Dome, not at home like you stated.

Also, does anyone think UNI has ANY shot? What teams do I need to root against this Saturday so that UNI might still have a chance? Or should I just start planning for next year? :(


If that loss against a D-II opponent was a D-I opponent you would have a shot, but UNI put themselves in a deep hole with that loss. I just don't see a senario that will get UNI in, not unless people start losing like crazy.

Cincy App
November 13th, 2006, 08:49 PM
Just a little note... I'll just say that if JMU gets in... we're going to be at home for any game not played against a seed. You can count on that ;)

JMU at home is probably a safe bet. The primary reason is that JMU draws better than the other unseeded A-10 candidates (UNH, Maine, and Towson).

Appguy
November 13th, 2006, 09:05 PM
UNI is Out

HIU 93
November 14th, 2006, 01:05 PM
Hampton @ CCU


If we play CCU, It will probably be the other way around CCU at Hampton. I still think we draw JMU on the road, which I like in terms of a matchup and a drive.

Pard4Life
November 14th, 2006, 01:12 PM
Coastal at #1 ASU
Hampton at UNH

Eastern Illinois at #4 YSU
Southern Illinois at JMU

Lafayette at #3 UMass
Tenn-Martin at Furman

McNeese St. at #2 Montana
Portland St. at Illinois St.

youwouldno
November 14th, 2006, 02:11 PM
Pard4life-- that's definitely my favorite bracket to date. Not sure about Hampton @ UNH, but I like not being on the same side as App St!

UMass922
November 14th, 2006, 02:19 PM
Pard4life-- that's definitely my favorite bracket to date.

Mine too. I would maybe switch SIU and Hampton--UNH vs. SIU and Hampton vs. JMU seem like more likely matchups--but I think the field is spot on (though some upsets on Saturday could change things).

AZGrizFan
November 14th, 2006, 02:22 PM
Coastal at #1 ASU
Hampton at UNH

Eastern Illinois at #4 YSU
Southern Illinois at JMU

Lafayette at #3 UMass
Tenn-Martin at Furman

McNeese St. at #2 Montana
Portland St. at Illinois St.

:hurray: :hurray: :hurray: :hurray: :hurray: :hurray: :hurray:

Well done, Pard.:thumbsup: :thumbsup: :thumbsup:

2 things stick out especially: UM not being on ASU's side of the bracket, and UM getting UMass @ home if they take care of business.

BillLuc1982
November 14th, 2006, 02:24 PM
Coastal at #1 ASU
Hampton at UNH

Eastern Illinois at #4 YSU
Southern Illinois at JMU

Lafayette at #3 UMass
Tenn-Martin at Furman

McNeese St. at #2 Montana
Portland St. at Illinois St.

Switch the two bold-faced games and you'll have a good bracket!

Pard4Life
November 14th, 2006, 02:51 PM
Switch the two bold-faced games and you'll have a good bracket!

Ha, thanks guys... maybe I can be on the committee with such praise :D :rotateh:

I thought of putting Furman as the 8-9 game, but thought the committee would not want to see Furman-ASU as early as round two.

JMU2K_DukeDawg
November 14th, 2006, 03:03 PM
My prediction if UMass plays at Montana in the semis - Montana wins 6-3! :D xlolx

BillLuc1982
November 14th, 2006, 03:09 PM
My prediction if UMass plays at Montana in the semis - Montana wins 6-3! :D xlolx

Or 4-2 (coffin corner punting will win the game)

Chucktown
November 14th, 2006, 08:37 PM
EIU @ YSU