View Full Version : FCS SOS according to Massey
centennial
September 2nd, 2014, 02:02 PM
Thought it would be interesting to look at the numbers. I formatted it for easy reading.
Team
SoS
Team
SoS
South DakotaMissouri Valley
1
Delaware StMid-Eastern AC
62
UC DavisBig Sky
2
Incarnate WordFCS Indep
63
S Dakota StMissouri Valley
3
GramblingSouthwestern AC
64
Jacksonville StOH Valley
4
Morgan StMid-Eastern AC
65
Weber StBig Sky
5
Stony BrookColonial
66
SF AustinSouthland
6
E WashingtonBig Sky
67
Portland StBig Sky
7
VMIBig South
68
SamfordSouthern
8
FordhamPatriot League
69
Idaho StBig Sky
9
Alabama A&MSouthwestern AC
70
Cent ArkansasSouthland
10
Albany NYColonial
71
Northern IowaMissouri Valley
11
Holy CrossPatriot League
72
William & MaryColonial
12
DrakePioneer
73
LibertyBig South
13
E KentuckyOH Valley
74
WoffordSouthern
14
FurmanSouthern
75
ElonSouthern
15
TowsonColonial
76
E IllinoisOH Valley
16
GeorgetownPatriot League
77
DelawareColonial
17
MaineColonial
78
Indiana StMissouri Valley
18
Jackson StSouthwestern AC
79
NC CentralMid-Eastern AC
19
Monmouth NJFCS Indep
80
N Dakota StMissouri Valley
20
Sacred HeartNortheast
81
VillanovaColonial
21
Florida A&MMid-Eastern AC
82
PresbyterianBig South
22
BucknellPatriot League
83
James MadisonColonial
23
CS SacramentoBig Sky
84
New HampshireColonial
24
CampbellPioneer
85
North DakotaBig Sky
25
WagnerNortheast
86
TN MartinOH Valley
26
TX SouthernSouthwestern AC
87
Northern ArizonaBig Sky
27
SE LouisianaSouthland
88
Youngstown StMissouri Valley
28
NC A&TMid-Eastern AC
89
ColgatePatriot League
29
Houston BapFCS Indep
90
Southern UnivSouthwestern AC
30
San DiegoPioneer
90
Montana StBig Sky
31
DavidsonPioneer
90
Savannah StMid-Eastern AC
32
Illinois StMissouri Valley
90
Southern UtahBig Sky
33
YaleIvy League
90
Austin PeayOH Valley
34
PennIvy League
90
DuquesneNortheast
35
LehighPatriot League
90
JacksonvillePioneer
36
CornellIvy League
90
Central ConnNortheast
37
MS Valley StSouthwestern AC
90
MontanaBig Sky
38
PrincetonIvy League
90
Alabama StSouthwestern AC
39
LafayettePatriot League
90
HowardMid-Eastern AC
40
ButlerPioneer
90
ChattanoogaSouthern
41
DaytonPioneer
90
CitadelSouthern
42
BrownIvy League
90
W CarolinaSouthern
43
Rhode IslandColonial
90
HamptonMid-Eastern AC
44
N ColoradoBig Sky
90
Northwestern LASouthland
45
HarvardIvy League
90
Ark Pine BluffSouthwestern AC
46
DartmouthIvy League
90
Nicholls StSouthland
47
McNeese StSouthland
90
Norfolk StMid-Eastern AC
48
ColumbiaIvy League
90
Morehead StPioneer
49
S IllinoisMissouri Valley
110
Gardner WebbBig South
50
Prairie ViewSouthwestern AC
111
St Francis PANortheast
51
MercerPioneer
112
Cal Poly SLOBig Sky
52
S Carolina StMid-Eastern AC
113
ValparaisoPioneer
53
LamarSouthland
114
BryantNortheast
54
CharlotteFCS Indep
115
Robert MorrisNortheast
55
RichmondColonial
116
Sam Houston StSouthland
56
Tennessee TechOH Valley
117
Coastal CarBig South
57
W IllinoisMissouri Valley
118
MaristPioneer
58
SE Missouri StOH Valley
119
Abilene ChrFCS Indep
59
Murray StOH Valley
120
Bethune-CookmanMid-Eastern AC
60
Alcorn StSouthwestern AC
121
Missouri StMissouri Valley
61
Charleston SoBig South
122
Tennessee StOH Valley
123
StetsonPioneer
124
BEAR
September 2nd, 2014, 02:28 PM
Southland SOS= 60.
Middle of the pack.
( 6,10, 45,47, 56 59,63,88,90,90,114 )
PAllen
September 2nd, 2014, 02:37 PM
VMI is in the Southern not the Big South. I wonder what else he's failed to update.
Catatonic
September 2nd, 2014, 03:15 PM
VMI is in the Southern not the Big South. I wonder what else he's failed to update.
ACU is in the Southland and no longer an independent.
OL FU
September 2nd, 2014, 03:16 PM
I am more than a little confused. I assume this is after game 1?
centennial
September 2nd, 2014, 03:28 PM
I am more than a little confused. I assume this is after game 1?
Pre Season + 1st game. Yes.
darell1976
September 2nd, 2014, 03:28 PM
5 BSC in the top 25, tough way to start the year.
centennial
September 2nd, 2014, 03:36 PM
5 BSC in the top 25, tough way to start the year.
UC Davis 2
Weber St 5
Portland St 7
Idaho St 9
North Dakota 25
Weaker teams having more difficult schedules?
darell1976
September 2nd, 2014, 03:40 PM
UC Davis 2
Weber St 5
Portland St 7
Idaho St 9
North Dakota 25
Weaker teams having more difficult schedules?
Of course money has a lot to with that.
NoDak 4 Ever
September 2nd, 2014, 03:45 PM
UC Davis 2
Weber St 5
Portland St 7
Idaho St 9
North Dakota 25
Weaker teams having more difficult schedules?
It's about 1/2 conference 1/2 FBS game. UNI has 2 FBS games, SDSU played Missouri, USD played Oregon and they all are in the MVFC so naturally they will be higher. If you had a FBS team, you were probably in the top vs those that didn't.
NDSU has the luxury of not having itself on the schedule.
centennial
September 2nd, 2014, 03:54 PM
It's about 1/2 conference 1/2 FBS game. UNI has 2 FBS games, SDSU played Missouri, USD played Oregon and they all are in the MVFC so naturally they will be higher. If you had a FBS team, you were probably in the top vs those that didn't.
NDSU has the luxury of not having itself on the schedule.
Here are the SoS for AGS top 15
1
North Dakota State Bison
2056
20
2
Eastern Washington Eagles
1982
67
3
Southeastern Louisiana Lions
1842
88
4
Northern Iowa Panthers
1671
11
5
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
1560
57
6
New Hampshire Wildcats
1473
24
7
Villanova Wildcats
1432
21
8
Montana Grizzlies
1388
31
9T
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
1254
36
9T
Fordham Rams
1254
69
11
McNeese State Cowboys
1209
90
12
South Dakota State Jackrabbits
1170
3
13
Richmond Spiders
927
116
14
Furman Paladins
889
75
15
Chattanooga Mocs
859 41
I bolded the ones above 50th in FCS for SoS
Go Green
September 2nd, 2014, 03:55 PM
Massey thinks that every Ivy team has the same SOS?
xconfusedx
centennial
September 2nd, 2014, 03:58 PM
Massey thinks that every Ivy team has the same SOS?
xconfusedx
They are all slightly different but his algorithm clubs everyone within a certain range as a tie.
Go Green
September 2nd, 2014, 04:03 PM
They are all slightly different but his algorithm clubs everyone within a certain range as a tie.
Still find that hard to swallow.
Just as one of any examples, just compare Yale (Colgate, Lehigh, Army) with Princeton (Colgate, San Diego, Davidson).
In any event, not worth getting worked up over until midseason or so...
thebootfitter
September 2nd, 2014, 04:35 PM
In any event, not worth getting worked up over until midseason or so...
Exactly. This early in the season, you can't put much stock in the computer ratings, as there is not enough data to make them predictive enough. Will be fun to see how this shifts as conference games start getting under way.
clenz
September 2nd, 2014, 05:31 PM
UC Davis 2
Weber St 5
Portland St 7
Idaho St 9
North Dakota 25
Weaker teams having more difficult schedules?
They don't get to pad their schedules by playing themselves...
BEAR
September 2nd, 2014, 05:47 PM
Central Arkansas #10 SOS???? Really? I didn't think Texas Tech was that much better than UCA up to this point. xlolx
Go...gate
September 3rd, 2014, 01:02 AM
Colgate way ahead of the rest of the Patriot and Ivy in schedule strength.
GoAgs72
September 3rd, 2014, 01:14 AM
UC Davis at #2 is one reason why I think the team will be better this year but with a worse record. The AD should be questioned about scheduling Stanford and Colorado State in the same year but only an 11 game schedule. If you choose FBS opponents why not UNLV, Idaho or New Mexico State?
Skyhawk71
September 3rd, 2014, 07:41 AM
#26 in strength of schedule, will be the only #26 the Skyhawks see this season.............xbangx
BEAR
September 3rd, 2014, 09:19 AM
#26 in strength of schedule, will be the only #26 the Skyhawks see this season.............xbangx
Nope. You'll see him.
http://www.ucasports.com/images/2014/8/12/headshot_2_ene_prince_mug_2014.jpg #26 Prince Ene Position: DB
Height: 5-10
Weight: 190
Class: Sophomore
Hometown: Houston, Texas
High School: Two-Star recruit by both rivals.com and scout.com...ranked the No. 184 defensive back nationally by scout.com...had 33 total tackles, five passes broken up, and one fumble recovery during the 2011 season.
You can see more of his highlights here as he frustrated the Texas Tech running and passing game.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AFhfyPWtukE:
PAllen
September 3rd, 2014, 10:31 AM
Pre Season + 1st game. Yes.
And right there is the issue with all of these early season "scientific rankings". How do you determine a strength of schedule before any games have been played? You make a bunch of assumptions which you then carry through the season. As I've said many times, if you allow me to make one assumption unchallenged, I can prove to you that you are on Mars.
NoDak 4 Ever
September 3rd, 2014, 10:38 AM
And right there is the issue with all of these early season "scientific rankings". How do you determine a strength of schedule before any games have been played? You make a bunch of assumptions which you then carry through the season. As I've said many times, if you allow me to make one assumption unchallenged, I can prove to you that you are on Mars.
It's not terribly hard. Ivy/Patriot/SWAC/MEAC/Pioneer are weak. BSC/MVFC/CAA are strong. Southland/Big South/OVC are in the middle.
AmsterBison
September 3rd, 2014, 11:09 AM
It's not terribly hard. Ivy/Patriot/SWAC/MEAC/Pioneer are weak. BSC/MVFC/CAA are strong. Southland/Big South/OVC are in the middle.
I prefer to classify conferences by scientifically assigning them to an analogous sitcom and then assigning each team to a character in the conference's given show. It's foolproof as far as any of you know.
For example, the CAA is IT'S ALWAYS SUNNY IN PHILADELPHIA. Villanova is Charlie because they're the wildcard; Rhode Island is Rickety Cricket; etc.
Sure, some shows are stronger than others but one character in a weak show can be stronger than another character on a stronger show. And that's where science needs to take over.
gotts
September 3rd, 2014, 11:13 AM
I prefer to classify conferences by scientifically assigning them to an analogous sitcom and then assigning each team to a character in the conference's given show. It's foolproof as far as any of you know.
For example, the CAA is IT'S ALWAYS SUNNY IN PHILADELPHIA. Villanova is Charlie because they're the wildcard; Rhode Island is Rickety Cricket; etc.
Sure, some shows are stronger than others but one character in a weak show can be stronger than another character on a stronger show. And that's where science needs to take over.
I like where this is headed.
walliver
September 3rd, 2014, 11:16 AM
And right there is the issue with all of these early season "scientific rankings". How do you determine a strength of schedule before any games have been played? You make a bunch of assumptions which you then carry through the season. As I've said many times, if you allow me to make one assumption unchallenged, I can prove to you that you are on Mars.
SOS is the Achilles' Heel of all computer rankings.
If you have a weak team in your conference, the other teams' SOS and eventual rankings are pulled down. The presence of a few weak conference mates does not in any way lessen the quality of the other teams, but the computer formulae have no way of assessing that.
If the Seattle Seahawks played an all PFL schedule, they would not appear high in the computer rankings, and back in the 16-team playoff era probably wouldn't make the play-offs. That doesn't change the fact that the Seattle Seahawks are very very much better than any college football team.
centennial
September 3rd, 2014, 12:27 PM
SOS is the Achilles' Heel of all computer rankings.
If you have a weak team in your conference, the other teams' SOS and eventual rankings are pulled down. The presence of a few weak conference mates does not in any way lessen the quality of the other teams, but the computer formulae have no way of assessing that.
If the Seattle Seahawks played an all PFL schedule, they would not appear high in the computer rankings, and back in the 16-team playoff era probably wouldn't make the play-offs. That doesn't change the fact that the Seattle Seahawks are very very much better than any college football team.
The Seattle Seahawks would beat every team 100-0 including the one FBS team and OOC, and easily win the FCS championship. They would easily be top 5 in the country. Would they deserve to be no.1- yes, but its not as bad as you are making it out to be. Every conference has a few weak teams- this includes the CAA, MVFC, MWC, MAC, B10 however, they are usually weak in comparison to the conference. For example South Dakota(7th, 8th MVFC) could win a few lower conferences. That would not be the case for PFL dungeon dweller.
In the end, schedule good teams and BEAT them. SoS means nothing without it beating the teams. For example in basketball there a few conferences with really high SoS (one is 28th out of 32), since they cannot beat their OOC they are ranked low.
OhioHen
September 3rd, 2014, 12:38 PM
In the end, schedule good teams and BEAT them. SoS means nothing without it beating the teams.
Strength of VICTORIES is much more meaningful than strength of schedule. Who did you beat? And who did those teams you beat beat?
Delaware's strength of schedule this year will be boosted because Pitt was on the schedule (to say the Hens "played" Pitt on Saturday is pushing the envelope, IMO). SoS is improved by losing 62-0 in this case, proving how worthless the concept is.
PAllen
September 3rd, 2014, 03:19 PM
Strength of VICTORIES is much more meaningful than strength of schedule. Who did you beat? And who did those teams you beat beat?
Delaware's strength of schedule this year will be boosted because Pitt was on the schedule (to say the Hens "played" Pitt on Saturday is pushing the envelope, IMO). SoS is improved by losing 62-0 in this case, proving how worthless the concept is.
Exactly.
citdog
September 3rd, 2014, 03:21 PM
Exactly.
EASY to say when your team plays NOBODY.
tnbison
September 3rd, 2014, 03:25 PM
NDSU has the luxury of not having itself on the schedule.
Love this.
whoanellie
September 3rd, 2014, 06:39 PM
VMI is in the Southern not the Big South. I wonder what else he's failed to update. As Elon is not in SoCon but CAA update your system Massey
Big Dawg
September 4th, 2014, 03:44 AM
FAMU's schedule is tough...we open the season with Jackson State(lost on a Hail Mary), Miami, 6th ranked Coastal Carolina, 14th ranked Tennessee State...then NCA&T, South Carolina State, and Bethune Cookman(who just beat FIU again) are lurking later in the season...I expect to BCU and SCSU to be ranked when we face them as well...maybe even A&T(especially if they knock off Coastal this weekend)
LUHawker
September 4th, 2014, 01:20 PM
Colgate way ahead of the rest of the Patriot and Ivy in schedule strength.
Simply because of its game against FBS Ball St. In fact, the entire SOS is highly skewed by the impact of FBS games.
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