2014 FCS Teams added to simulation/game

[ebemiss]

I've adjusted last years rankings and teams and I've added 2014 FCS and FBS teams to simulation/game I've created. Here's a sample game

http://nationalsportsrankings.com/index.php?option=com_oneonone&magic=6800

hit play again to get a different result each time or select new teams to try a different match up.

Here's a 100 game match. It will give you more of a prediction of for an upcoming game.

http://nationalsportsrankings.com/index.php?option=com_oneonone&magic=6801

To set your own game up go here and pick college football.

http://nationalsportsrankings.com/index.php?option=com_oneonone

You can run each team's full season results in 1 click (after you select their opponents) here:

http://nationalsportsrankings.com/index.php?option=com_dreamseason&Itemid=202

thought some would be interested.

[2ram]

very cool but something is very wrong... it says villanova would beat fordham 60/100 times this year, and we all know that's completely ridiculous. fordham wins 100/100, so obviously there's a formula error in there somewhere.

[ebemiss]

very cool but something is very wrong... it says villanova would beat fordham 60/100 times this year, and we all know that's completely ridiculous. fordham wins 100/100, so obviously there's a formula error in there somewhere.

thanks. I'll re-run the numbers and get it fixed. xnodx

[melloware13]

Delaware 2014 using "dream season" and 100 game sims:
Delaware (0%) 3 @ Pittsburgh (100%) 35
Delaware State (2%) 12 @ Delaware (98%) 43
Colgate (5%) 18 @ Delaware (95%) 46
Delaware (27%) 40 @ James Madison (73%) 37
Sacred Heart (26%) 31 @ Delaware (74%) 45
Elon (16%) 12 @ Delaware (84%) 34
Towson (84%) 25 @ Delaware (16%) 15
Delaware (28%) 14 @ William & Mary (72%) 9
Rhode Island (0%) 10 @ Delaware (100%) 39
Delaware (90%) 34 @ Albany (10%) 24
Delaware (12%) 27 @ New Hampshire (88%) 34
Villanova (70%) 37 @ Delaware (30%) 41

"Dream Season": 9-3 (6-2 CAA)
100 Game Sim: 6-6 (3-5 CAA)

[ebemiss]

Delaware 2014 using "dream season" and 100 game sims:

"Dream Season": 9-3 (6-2 CAA)
100 Game Sim: 6-6 (3-5 CAA)

The full season sim only plays the game once as opposed to 100 times that you did that gave Delaware the 6-6 record. My best guess is they finish somewhere in between with 7-8 wins.

[Gordon Shumway]

Very cool indeed. It says we would beat Lehigh 100/100 this year. That should get the Patriot League guys ready to rumble. :D

[bjtheflamesfan]

I wish there was a slot for sub D1 schools for those who ended up scheduling them. I defaulted to Savannah State to fill the spot by the D2 and we still ended up 9-3

[ebemiss]

Very cool indeed. It says we would beat Lehigh 100/100 this year. That should get the Patriot League guys ready to rumble. :D

Thanks. The numbers will adjust after each week so check back periodically to get different results.


I wish there was a slot for sub D1 schools for those who ended up scheduling them. I defaulted to Savannah State to fill the spot by the D2 and we still ended up 9-3

Use Davidson for any D2/other school on the schedule, when running the full season. They are rated as the worst team.

[centennial]

NDSU beats Montana only 97 times of hundred?

[clenz]

These numbers are still based on last season's results, right?

Sent from my S4 using Tapatalk

[Gangtackle11]

Villanova Dream Season. 10-2

Game 1 Results Villanova (2014) 21 Syracuse (2014) 34
Game 2 Results Fordham (2014) 23 Villanova (2014) 36
Game 3 Results James Madison (2014) 29 Villanova (2014) 41
Game 4 Results Villanova (2014) 26 Pennsylvania (2014) 3
Game 5 Results Villanova (2014) 35 Maine (2014) 20
Game 6 Results Rhode Island (2014) 7 Villanova (2014) 51
Game 7 Results Villanova (2014) 32 William & Mary (2014) 21
Game 8 Results Morgan St. (2014) 11 Villanova (2014) 44
Game 9 Results Villanova (2014) 22 Richmond (2014) 33
Game 10 Results Towson (2014) 9 Villanova (2014) 16
Game 11 Results Albany (2014) 21 Villanova (2014) 52
Game 12 Results Villanova (2014) 52 Delaware (2014) 44

[ebemiss]

These numbers are still based on last season's results, right?

Sent from my S4 using Tapatalk

No. They are adjusted from my final numbers to include returning starters/offense/defense/production etc..

The numbers will get better as I get more data.

[NoDak 4 Ever]

NDSU beats Montana only 97 times of hundred?

NDSU beats EWU 71 times out of 100 in Cheney.

[MDUNHfan]

very cool but something is very wrong... it says villanova would beat fordham 60/100 times this year, and we all know that's completely ridiculous. fordham wins 100/100, so obviously there's a formula error in there somewhere.

Thank you sir!!! Was having one of "those" days but after reading this. . . . . Life is Good!

[mmiller_34]

Using this SDSU went 7-5. Losses to Missouri, Illinois State, Northern Iowa, Youngstown State, and North Dakota State.

[Lehigh'98]

Very cool indeed. It says we would beat Lehigh 100/100 this year. That should get the Patriot League guys ready to rumble. :D

Gotta be right. Lowly Lehigh could never compete with the mighty UNH. Look how they spanked the big brown ass last season......how many tds did they beat us by??

[citdog]

Gotta be right. Lowly Lehigh could never compete with the mighty UNH. Look how they spanked the big brown ass last season......how many tds did they beat us by??

le high loses 87 of 100 to The Citadel.

[pokefan02]

McNeese State results = 9-2 record loses to Nebraska and Sam Houston State

[mvemjsunpx]

Picks Montana to go 10-2, losing to NDSU & EWU.

It also has EWU beating SHSU 93% of the time.

[lionsrking2]

Has us going 12-0 ... I'll take it.xeyebrowx



Game 1

Jacksonville (2014)
29

SE Louisiana (2014)
57


Game 2

Southern Utah (2014)
18

SE Louisiana (2014)
31


Game 3

SE Louisiana (2014)
38

Tulane (2014)
26


Game 4

SE Louisiana (2014)
25

SE Missouri St. (2014)
3


Game 5

SE Louisiana (2014)
39

Incarnate Word (2014)
3


Game 6

Northwestern St. (2014)
17

SE Louisiana (2014)
23


Game 7

SE Louisiana (2014)
39

Lamar (2014)
11


Game 8

Central Arkansas (2014)
37

SE Louisiana (2014)
48


Game 9

SE Louisiana (2014)
48

Stephen F. Austin (2014)
23


Game 10

Houston Baptist (2014)
7

SE Louisiana (2014)
39


Game 11

McNeese St. (2014)
32

SE Louisiana (2014)
35


Game 12

SE Louisiana (2014)
52

Nicholls St. (2014)
25





SE Louisiana (2014)

Record 12-0

[NoDak 4 Ever]

Game 1


North Dakota St. (2014)
27

Iowa St. (2014)
20



Game 2

North Dakota St. (2014)
35

Weber St. (2014)
3


Game 3

Incarnate Word (2014)
10

North Dakota St. (2014)
46


Game 4

Montana (2014)
9

North Dakota St. (2014)
27


Game 5

North Dakota St. (2014)
22

Western Ill. (2014)
10


Game 6

Southern Ill. (2014)
3

North Dakota St. (2014)
27


Game 7

Indiana St. (2014)
3

North Dakota St. (2014)
39


Game 8

North Dakota St. (2014)
40

South Dakota (2014)
17


Game 9

South Dakota St. (2014)
14

North Dakota St. (2014)
44


Game 10

North Dakota St. (2014)
12

Northern Iowa (2014)
7


Game 11

North Dakota St. (2014)
58

Missouri St. (2014)
25


Game 12

Youngstown St. (2014)
15

North Dakota St. (2014)
4




Guess I'll take another undefeated season.

[No_Skill]

Youngstown 15 NDSU 4 ????

[Bisonator]

Youngstown 15 NDSU 4 ????

Gotta be a typo. No way we lose to the guins this year.

[NoDak 4 Ever]

Gotta be a typo. No way we lose to the guins this year.

Yep it was 46. They said 12-0

[ebemiss]

I've updated the NCAA teams from the Week 1 games. I'm hoping after week 3 or 4 to add player names to the teams and fine tune the team stats as well.

I also just added an NFL full season simulation. (If anyone is interested) Get season results in 1 click. I'm working on 1 for college so I'll update you if/when I get it online. I made it so I'll be able to input actual results and let users sim the remainder of the season.

If you click load season over and over you'll get different results each time.

http://nationalsportsrankings.com/index.php?option=com_fullseason

[jhaan79]

very cool sim...I will have to check it out even more when I can spend a couple hours on it!

[ebemiss]

very cool sim...I will have to check it out even more when I can spend a couple hours on it!

Thanks.

Teams are updated after last week for the sim/game.

Here are what my raw numbers are projecting for this week's games.



Alabama St.



29.14
Alcorn St.



34.61


63.75


5.46


-5.46


10/2/2014
(Home)



Lamar



26.76
Abilene Christian



41.75


68.51


14.99


-14.99


10/4/2014
(Home)



Grambling St.



27.26
Alabama A&M



30.33


57.59


3.07


-3.07


10/4/2014
(Home)



James Madison



26.99
Albany



20.51


47.51


-6.48


6.48


10/4/2014
(Home)



Eastern Kentucky



39.91
Austin Peay



8.78


48.69


-31.13


31.13


10/4/2014
(Home)



Delaware St.



8.82
Bethune-Cookman



33.69


42.52


24.87


-24.87


10/4/2014
(Home)



Bucknell



21.71
Bryant



19.86


41.57


-1.85


1.85


10/4/2014
(Home)



Southern Utah



14.95
Cal Poly



27.33


42.28


12.38


-12.38


10/4/2014
(Home)



Virginia Military



15.11
Chattanooga



42.45


57.56


27.35


-27.35


10/4/2014
(Home)



Holy Cross



21.19
Colgate



26.85


48.04


5.65


-5.65


10/4/2014
(Home)



Princeton



44.83
Columbia



13.04


57.87


-31.79


31.79


10/4/2014
(Home)



Yale



37.16
Cornell



28.95


66.11


-8.22


8.22


10/4/2014
(Home)



Pennsylvania



15.65
Dartmouth



28.11


43.75


12.46


-12.46


10/4/2014
(Home)



Dayton



38.48
Davidson



10.92


49.4


-27.55


27.55


10/4/2014
(Home)



Sacred Heart



27.35
Delaware



31.33


58.68


3.98


-3.98


10/4/2014
(Home)



Idaho St.



23.59
Eastern Wash.



52.9


76.49


29.32


-29.32


10/4/2014
(Home)



New Hampshire



34.7
Elon



17.24


51.95


-17.46


17.46


10/4/2014
(Home)



Morgan St.



27.07
Florida A&M



25.63


52.7


-1.44


1.44


10/4/2014
(Home)



Lafayette



21.64
Fordham



41.65


63.29


20.02


-20.02


10/4/2014
(Home)



Coastal Carolina



27
Furman



17.78


44.78


-9.23


9.23


10/4/2014
(Home)



Charlotte



24.48
Gardner-Webb



29.38


53.87


4.9


-4.9


10/4/2014
(Home)



Harvard



37.55
Georgetown



17.08


54.63


-20.47


20.47


10/4/2014
(Home)



South Dakota St.



25.76
Illinois St.



27.74


53.5


1.98


-1.98


10/4/2014
(Home)



Houston Baptist



20.64
Incarnate Word



28.35


48.99


7.71


-7.71


10/4/2014
(Home)



Northern Iowa



28.21
Indiana St.



18.63


46.84


-9.59


9.59


10/4/2014
(Home)



Prairie View A&M



31.87
Jackson St.



38.33


70.2


6.46


-6.46


10/4/2014
(Home)



Drake



25.16
Jacksonville



29.06


54.22


3.91


-3.91


10/4/2014
(Home)



Tenn-Martin



22.21
Jacksonville St.



38.18


60.39


15.97


-15.97


10/4/2014
(Home)



Richmond



29.28
Liberty



26.98


56.25


-2.3


2.3


10/4/2014
(Home)



Villanova



32.71
Maine



17.61


50.32


-15.1


15.1


10/4/2014
(Home)



Nicholls St.



15.38
McNeese St.



51.51


66.89


36.12


-36.12


10/4/2014
(Home)



Youngstown St.



28.63
Missouri St.



31.66


60.29


3.02


-3.02


10/4/2014
(Home)



Campbell



39.37
Morehead St.



37.22


76.59


-2.15


2.15


10/4/2014
(Home)



S. Carolina St.



20.88
N.C. A&T



16.86


37.74


-4.02


4.02


10/4/2014
*NEUTRAL*



Howard



25.28
N.C. Central



26.4


51.67


1.12


-1.12


10/4/2014
(Home)



Montana



31.91
North Dakota



14.36


46.28


-17.55


17.55


10/4/2014
(Home)



Northern Arizona



28.2
Northern Colorado



18.03


46.23


-10.17


10.17


10/4/2014
(Home)



UC Davis



28.53
Portland St.



30.28


58.81


1.75


-1.75


10/4/2014
(Home)



Western Carolina



35.47
Presbyterian



23.51


58.98


-11.96


11.96


10/4/2014
(Home)



Brown



24.11
Rhode Island



17.71


41.82


-6.4


6.4


10/4/2014
(Home)



Monmouth



28.09
Robert Morris



17.14


45.22


-10.95


10.95


10/4/2014
(Home)



Montana St.



34.82
Sacramento St.



28.5


63.31


-6.32


6.32


10/4/2014
(Home)



Mercer



23.55
Samford



40.34


63.89


16.79


-16.79


10/4/2014
(Home)



Norfolk St.



32.25
Savannah St.



14.02


46.27


-18.24


18.24


10/4/2014
(Home)



Northwestern St.



20.25
SE Louisiana



39.27


59.52


19.01


-19.01


10/4/2014
(Home)



Tennessee St.



26.23
SE Missouri St.



20.12


46.35


-6.1


6.1


10/4/2014
(Home)



AR Pine Bluff



26.96
Southern



35.66


62.62


8.69


-8.69


10/4/2014
(Home)



South Dakota



18.45
Southern Ill.



31.46


49.91


13.01


-13.01


10/4/2014
(Home)



Central Arkansas



39.26
Stephen F. Austin



34.35


73.61


-4.91


4.91


10/4/2014
(Home)



Butler



29.45
Stetson



18.57


48.02


-10.89


10.89


10/4/2014
(Home)



Murray St.



32.36
Tennessee Tech



34.16


66.52


1.79


-1.79


10/4/2014
(Home)



Miss. Valley St.



14.95
Texas Southern



27.84


42.8


12.89


-12.89


10/4/2014
(Home)



Stony Brook



20.21
Towson



20.54


40.75


0.33


-0.33


10/4/2014
(Home)



Marist



36.08
Valparaiso



18.24


54.32


-17.84


17.84


10/4/2014
(Home)



North Dakota St.



32.23
Western Ill.



10.16


42.4


-22.07


22.07


10/4/2014
(Home)



Citadel



19.95
Wofford



20.81


40.76


0.86


-0.86


10/4/2014
(Home)

[ebemiss]

Game projections for this week



Texas Southern



15.51
Alcorn St.



37.41


52.93


21.9


-21.9


10/18/2014
(Home)



Murray St.



41.13
Austin Peay



21.08


62.21


-20.05


20.05


10/18/2014
(Home)



San Diego



34.77
Butler



22.36


57.12


-12.41


12.41


10/18/2014
(Home)



Davidson



17.95
Campbell



35.63


53.58


17.68


-17.68


10/18/2014
(Home)



Presbyterian



16.2
Charleston Sou.



30.01


46.21


13.81


-13.81


10/18/2014
(Home)



Chattanooga



27.61
Citadel



24.07


51.69


-3.54


3.54


10/18/2014
(Home)



Lehigh



34.35
Cornell



28.78


63.13


-5.57


5.57


10/18/2014
(Home)



Holy Cross



16.57
Dartmouth



25.88


42.45


9.31


-9.31


10/18/2014
(Home)



Morehead St.



20.98
Dayton



46.6


67.58


25.61


-25.61


10/18/2014
(Home)



Towson



26.11
Delaware



31.43


57.54


5.32


-5.32


10/18/2014
(Home)



N.C. A&T



23.19
Delaware St.



11.6


34.79


-11.59


11.59


10/18/2014
(Home)



Sacred Heart



23.99
Duquesne



23.34


47.33


-0.65


0.65


10/18/2014
(Home)



Northern Colorado



20.92
Eastern Wash.



49.92


70.84


29


-29


10/18/2014
(Home)



Stony Brook



21.94
Elon



14.09


36.02


-7.85


7.85


10/18/2014
(Home)



AR Pine Bluff



27.67
Grambling St.



36.6


64.27


8.93


-8.93


10/18/2014
(Home)



Norfolk St.



16.37
Hampton



20.78


37.16


4.41


-4.41


10/18/2014
(Home)



Lafayette



19.31
Harvard



34.53


53.84


15.22


-15.22


10/18/2014
(Home)



Stephen F. Austin



50.45
Houston Baptist



15.4


65.85


-35.05


35.05


10/18/2014
(Home)



Florida A&M



20.07
Howard



23.06


43.13


3


-3


10/18/2014
(Home)



Southern Utah



28.73
Idaho St.



26.34


55.07


-2.4


2.4


10/18/2014
(Home)



Albany



19.73
Maine



26.36


46.09


6.63


-6.63


10/18/2014
(Home)



Abilene Christian



23.34
McNeese St.



38.11


61.45


14.77


-14.77


10/18/2014
(Home)



Western Carolina



33.63
Mercer



28.61


62.24


-5.02


5.02


10/18/2014
(Home)



Prairie View A&M



34.55
Miss. Valley St.



24.95


59.5


-9.59


9.59


10/18/2014
(Home)



South Dakota



20.79
Missouri St.



31.69


52.49


10.9


-10.9


10/18/2014
(Home)



UC Davis



17.15
Montana



33.64


50.79


16.5


-16.5


10/18/2014
(Home)



Weber St.



20.42
Montana St.



41.17


61.59


20.75


-20.75


10/18/2014
(Home)



N.C. Central



21.52
Morgan St.



30.6


52.12


9.07


-9.07


10/18/2014
(Home)



Lamar



39.81
Nicholls St.



26.33


66.14


-13.49


13.49


10/18/2014
(Home)



Indiana St.



10.58
North Dakota St.



34.83


45.41


24.24


-24.24


10/18/2014
(Home)



South Dakota St.



20.05
Northern Iowa



28.15


48.2


8.1


-8.1


10/18/2014
(Home)



Sam Houston St.



33.74
Northwestern St.



29.26


63


-4.48


4.48


10/18/2014
(Home)



Columbia



10.25
Pennsylvania



34.17


44.42


23.93


-23.93


10/18/2014
(Home)



Northern Arizona



27.34
Portland St.



26.98


54.32


-0.35


0.35


10/18/2014
(Home)



Brown



21.12
Princeton



34.46


55.59


13.34


-13.34


10/18/2014
(Home)



Rhode Island



10.54
Richmond



39.89


50.44


29.35


-29.35


10/18/2014
(Home)



Central Conn. St.



27.84
Robert Morris



22.8


50.64


-5.04


5.04


10/18/2014
(Home)



Cal Poly



31.43
Sacramento St.



31.95


63.38


0.52


-0.52


10/18/2014
(Home)



Wofford



21.54
Samford



27.59


49.13


6.04


-6.04


10/18/2014
(Home)



Bethune-Cookman



41.91
Savannah St.



14.77


56.68


-27.14


27.14


10/18/2014
(Home)



Central Arkansas



27.8
SE Louisiana



39.38


67.19


11.58


-11.58


10/18/2014
(Home)



Eastern Illinois



38.04
SE Missouri St.



31.23


69.27


-6.81


6.81


10/18/2014
(Home)



Bryant



23.94
St. Francis (PA)



21.5


45.44


-2.44


2.44


10/18/2014
(Home)



Jacksonville



39
Stetson



19.67


58.67


-19.32


19.32


10/18/2014
(Home)



Tenn-Martin



17.6
Tennessee St.



25.74


43.33


8.14


-8.14


10/18/2014
(Home)



Eastern Kentucky



29.74
Tennessee Tech



20.1


49.83


-9.64


9.64


10/18/2014
(Home)



Drake



34.4
Valparaiso



15.26


49.66


-19.13


19.13


10/18/2014
(Home)



Gardner-Webb



28.65
Virginia Military



22.15


50.8


-6.5


6.5


10/18/2014
(Home)



Illinois St.



25.84
Western Ill.



19.95


45.79


-5.89


5.89


10/18/2014
(Home)



Villanova



27.94
William & Mary



17.29


45.23


-10.66


10.66


10/18/2014
(Home)



Colgate



25.35
Yale



32.37


57.73


7.02


-7.02


10/18/2014
(Home)



Southern Ill.



26.79
Youngstown St.



28.21


55


1.42


-1.42


10/18/2014
(Home)



Furman



5.43
South Carolina



40.6


46.04


35.17


-35.17


10/18/2014
(Home)