teams eligible to reach 7 D-I wins with my playoff picks

[Tealblood]

The alternate title for this would be Grizband slept in this morning.
Teams in bold can not reach 7 D-I wins with another loss


Auto-bid conferences
1--Atlantic 10 (North)
Massachusetts 5-0 7-1 at-large(1)
Maine 4-1 5-3
New Hampshire 3-2 6-2 at-large(2)

1A--(South)
James Madison 5-0 7-1 Auto(1)
Towson 3-2 6-2 at-large(3)
Richmond 2-3 5-3

2--Big Sky
Montana 6-0 7-1 Auto(2)
Montana State 4-1 5-3
Portland State 4-2 5-4


3--Gateway
Youngstown State 4-1 7-2 Auto(3)
Western Kentucky 4-1 5-3 at-large(4)
Northern Iowa 3-1 5-3 at-large(5)
Illinois State 3-1 6-2
Southern Illinois 3-2 6-2

4--Mid-Eastern Athletic
Hampton 6-1 8-1 Auto(4)
Delaware State 5-1 6-2
South Carolina State 3-2 4-4
Bethune-Cookman 3-2 4-4
Florida A&M 3-2 5-3

5--Ohio Valley
Tennessee-Martin 4-0 7-1 Auto(5)
Tennessee State 4-0 5-3
Eastern Illinois 4-1 5-4
Jacksonville State 4-2 4-4

6--Patriot
Holy Cross 3-1 6-3 Auto(6)
Lehigh 3-0 4-4
Bucknell 2-2 5-4

7--Southern
Appalachian State 5-0 8-1 Auto(7)
Furman 4-1 6-3 at-large(6)
Wofford 3-2 4-4

8--Southland
Whoever wins the conf Auto(8)


non-bid conferences
Big South
Charleston Southern 2-0 8-0
Coastal Carolina 2-0 6-2 at-large(7)
Gardner-Webb 2-0 6-2

Great West
Cal Poly 3-1 6-2 at-large(8)

Pioneer
San Diego 5-0 8-0

Northeast

Robert Morris 4-1 6-3
Monmouth 4-1 8-1
Albany 4-1 6-3
Central Connecticut State 2-3 6-3


Metro Athletic
Duquesne 2-1 6-3

Southwestern (East)
Jackson State 4-1 5-2
Alabama A&M 4-2 6-2

(West)

Arkansas-Pine Bluff 4-2 5-3

[shakdaddy3]

can't happen... WKU and UNI play each other and will be gone with a loss...

on top of that, ILSU plays Mo St. and INSU which have a combined record of 2-16... so, u think 8-3 if we lose to UNI will get us a spot?

[ISUMatt]

so, u think 8-3 if we lose to UNI will get us a spot?

With our possible 3 losses to K-St, Youngstown, and N Iowa...YES

[thirdgendin]

Furman must win its last two games to reach 7 DI wins.

[grizband]

You beat me again this morning, TB, unfortunately, but I guess that is what I get for going out last night.

Here is what I will add to my list. The following teams have already met the 7 win mandate for playoff inclusion:

*Massachusetts 5-0 7-1
*Montana 6-0 7-1
*Hampton 5-1 8-1
*Appalachian State 5-0 8-1
*Monmouth 4-1 8-1

Oh, and one more thing: Lehigh has the inside track for the Patriot autobid. They are undefeated in conference play, and gave Holy Cross their only conference loss to this point.

[shakdaddy3]

With our possible 3 losses to K-St, Youngstown, and N Iowa...YES

i know.. i just wanted tealblood to admit his folly and say that we would make it :D

[galojay]

ISU, I think three Gateway schools get in. We won't have that figured out till last game of the season probably.

[Tealblood]

The Gateway is pretty f-ed up I really don't know who is in the playoffs. I guess what I am saying is that none of the teams still listed has been eliminated from the 7 win plateau and I don't think any are on the verge with loss of being eliminated yet. My bottom line is this 3 teams from the Gateway are playoff bound.
Which combo of 3 still to be dtermined. We gots 3 good weeks of football left.
And sorry I have not gotten into who each of you got left. My prediction was more of a gut feel. My big ole gut gets confused often. Ask UNH last week

[Dukes_Bando]

Auto-bid conferences
1--Atlantic 10 (North)
Massachusetts 5-0 7-1 at-large(1)
Maine 4-1 5-3
New Hampshire 3-2 6-2 at-large(2)

1A--(South)
James Madison 5-0 7-1 Auto(1)
Towson 3-2 6-2 at-large(3)
Richmond 2-3 5-3
[/B]

UMass gets the autobid even if both teams win out. UMass is 7-1 vs. Div. I while JMU is 6-1 vs Div. I with a win over D-II Bloomsburg, only way JMU gets auto is for UMass to drop a game.

[Old Cage]

I'm no expert at this, but I sat up straight here with your pick of Towson.

We (UMass) beat them 35-0 on their field and they accomplished very little.

As much as I would love to see the A-12 have four teams in, I believe Towson is a real long shot.

[Umass74]

As I said in another thread, I think JMU runs the table with Delaware, Villanova and Towson.

Towson closes with @ Richmond and home against JMU. I think that settles their playoff hopes.

[UNH_Alum_In_CT]

I know it's fun to try and predict the playoff teams, but I'm going to throw a scenario at you that probably will stump everyone from predicting the field.

I believe it is not beyond the realm of possibility that based on the well known standards that there could be only ten schools from the eight autobid conferences "making the grade"!


Montana wins out and they're the only Big Sky team.
JMU and UMass win out and become the only A-10 teams with eight wins. -- Maine would be gone with a UMass loss. UNH would then be gone if they lose to Maine (and UMass of course). If Towson loses to Richmond and JMU as well as if Richmond loses to either Nova or W&M (yes the least likely to occur). That's only two A-10 teams at the eight win threshold.
Gateway beats up on each other and only two get to the eight win threshold. If you can predict which two, then I'd suggest an immediate trip to Las Vegas, Atlantic City, Foxwoods or the casino of your choice!! :D
Furman loses one more and only App gets in from the Southern.
MEAC, OVC, Patriot and Southland get one as most have predicted.


Even if the A-10 does get a third or fourth team or the Gateway gets a third as well as Cal Poly qualifying with their difficult remaining schedule, there would still be three slots available. My point is that the selection committee will be facing decisions about taking 7-4 teams (obviously with all D-I wins) or teams with excellent records from lower rated conferences. Think about it if there are six slots available!!

One thing is for sure, the picture will be a lot clearer each Sunday going forward. :p But some new ground will most likely be broken this season.

[*****]

wow.

[Tod]

2--Big Sky
Montana 6-0 7-1 Auto(2)
Montana State 4-1 5-3
Portland State 4-2 5-4



MSU is 5-1 6-3

[Tod]

I know it's fun to try and predict the playoff teams, but I'm going to throw a scenario at you that probably will stump everyone from predicting the field.

I believe it is not beyond the realm of possibility that based on the well known standards that there could be only ten schools from the eight autobid conferences "making the grade"!


Montana wins out and they're the only Big Sky team.
JMU and UMass win out and become the only A-10 teams with eight wins. -- Maine would be gone with a UMass loss. UNH would then be gone if they lose to Maine (and UMass of course). If Towson loses to Richmond and JMU as well as if Richmond loses to either Nova or W&M (yes the least likely to occur). That's only two A-10 teams at the eight win threshold.
Gateway beats up on each other and only two get to the eight win threshold. If you can predict which two, then I'd suggest an immediate trip to Las Vegas, Atlantic City, Foxwoods or the casino of your choice!! :D
Furman loses one more and only App gets in from the Southern.
MEAC, OVC, Patriot and Southland get one as most have predicted.


Even if the A-10 does get a third or fourth team or the Gateway gets a third as well as Cal Poly qualifying with their difficult remaining schedule, there would still be three slots available. My point is that the selection committee will be facing decisions about taking 7-4 teams (obviously with all D-I wins) or teams with excellent records from lower rated conferences. Think about it if there are six slots available!!

One thing is for sure, the picture will be a lot clearer each Sunday going forward. :p But some new ground will most likely be broken this season.

Thanks! BTW, this also makes it clear that USD could make the playoffs. Like you said, new ground will probably be broken, either multiple 7-4 teams in the playoffs, or a mid-major, or both.

[Dabnus Brickey]

Hey Grizband, nice pic

[Tod]

Remaining Big Sky Schedules (Home games in bold):

Montana:
Cal Poly
UNC
MSU

Montana could lose to both Cal Poly and MSU and still would make the playoffs. But both games are at home, giving the Griz an edge.

MSU:
UNC
UM

If the 'Cats beat UNC, they have 7 D-I wins. However, if they lose to UM, they would be one of many 7-4 bubble teams. Winning both would guarantee the 'Cats make the playoffs.

PSU:
NAU
Sac

Both games are on the road, and NAU is a tough team. Sac seems to play well on occasion as well, though PSU should definitely win that game.

If PSU wins out, they are a 7-4 bubble team. However SOS (beating a I-A and losing to two PAC-10 teams (as well as UM and MSU), makes for a possible shot if multiple 7-4 teams make the playoffs.

NAU:
PSU
WSU
UNC

If NAU wins out, PSU is gone, and NAU would be another 7-4 bubble team. Like PSU their four losses would be to two I-A teams and UM and MSU. Again SOS is strong.

[Tod]

Hey Grizband, nice pic

He gets that a lot. :) :) xlolx

[Humble Steward]

[QUOTE=Tealblood]The alternate title for this would be Grizband slept in this morning.
Teams in bold can not reach 7 D-I wins with another loss



4--Mid-Eastern Athletic
Hampton 6-1 8-1 Auto(4)
Delaware State 5-1 6-2
South Carolina State 3-2 4-4
Bethune-Cookman 3-2 4-4
Florida A&M 3-2 5-3

Bethune-Cookman is 5-3 and 3-2 in the conference.:thumbsup: Our team is starting to get some players back from injuries. We'll see how a healthy team fairs against Hampton on Thursday (ESPNU - 7:30 pm ET).:hurray:

[TSU84returntoglory]

AGS - Towson has wins at Hofstra, Delaware, and Villanova. Richmond is reeling a bit and it's about time we get a league win at home. :o

At Johnny U, Maine sacked Schaefer 9 times and he missed the UMass game due to illness.

[grizband]

He gets that a lot. :) :) xlolx
The main reason I chose this pic...:nod:

[Keeper]

grizband still hasn't answered whether
that photo op was in his dorm room
or at one of the tailgate parties.

:bow:
seems a trip to Missoula is in order.

[Tribe4SF]

I know it's fun to try and predict the playoff teams, but I'm going to throw a scenario at you that probably will stump everyone from predicting the field.

I believe it is not beyond the realm of possibility that based on the well known standards that there could be only ten schools from the eight autobid conferences "making the grade"!


Montana wins out and they're the only Big Sky team.
JMU and UMass win out and become the only A-10 teams with eight wins. -- Maine would be gone with a UMass loss. UNH would then be gone if they lose to Maine (and UMass of course). If Towson loses to Richmond and JMU as well as if Richmond loses to either Nova or W&M (yes the least likely to occur). That's only two A-10 teams at the eight win threshold.
Gateway beats up on each other and only two get to the eight win threshold. If you can predict which two, then I'd suggest an immediate trip to Las Vegas, Atlantic City, Foxwoods or the casino of your choice!! :D
Furman loses one more and only App gets in from the Southern.
MEAC, OVC, Patriot and Southland get one as most have predicted.


Even if the A-10 does get a third or fourth team or the Gateway gets a third as well as Cal Poly qualifying with their difficult remaining schedule, there would still be three slots available. My point is that the selection committee will be facing decisions about taking 7-4 teams (obviously with all D-I wins) or teams with excellent records from lower rated conferences. Think about it if there are six slots available!!

One thing is for sure, the picture will be a lot clearer each Sunday going forward. :p But some new ground will most likely be broken this season.

I agree, and my prediction is that Portland State gets in at 7-4.

[birdsflyhigh]

Not really sure where anyone would be coming from by saying that Portland St. at 7-4 would qualifly for the playoffs over ANY 7-4 team from the Gateway. Folks this isn't even CLOSE.

Out of the 5 Portland St. wins so far, 4 of them have come against teams that have a combined record of 7-26. That's HORRIBLE!

Yes, they have 1 win against a midling I-A New Mexico team, but that's their entire resume so far. The other 2 games against I-A foes have both resulted in absolute demolition of Portland St.

IMO PSU, based on their schedule, should be WAY outside looking in at the playoffs. I'd take ANY of the top 6 Gateway teams in a heartbeat over PSU.

[Sam Adams]

Towson will have to beat Richmond to get a look for the at large. NU is a better football team IMHO.

[already123]

first off....portland st. argueable has one of the best defenses in the big sky, if not the best. that is sayin a lot no matter what year it is. a d-1 win is somethin to hold on to no matter who it is against...a sub par d-1 team usually equates to a good 1-aa. however i think their real test will come against NAU to see how legit they are. NAU IS A PLAYOFF CALIBER TEAM! if they are able to win, or win impressivley, i believe they deserve a shot

[BillLuc1982]

With our possible 3 losses to K-St, Youngstown, and N Iowa...YES

I'm pulling for the Redbirds, but remember what happened to 8-3 Youngstown with losses to UNI, SIU, and Pitt last year.

[shakdaddy3]

first off....portland st. argueable has one of the best defenses in the big sky, if not the best. that is sayin a lot no matter what year it is. a d-1 win is somethin to hold on to no matter who it is against...a sub par d-1 team usually equates to a good 1-aa. however i think their real test will come against NAU to see how legit they are. NAU IS A PLAYOFF CALIBER TEAM! if they are able to win, or win impressivley, i believe they deserve a shot

ok, how about a 7-4 PSU team versus a 7-4 Southern Illinois team? IF it came down to those 2 teams, who would you or anyone else pick?

i pick SIU because of the strength of the gateway and it's D-IA win is a more quality opponent than PSU's... thought?

[andy7171]

I'm no expert at this, but I sat up straight here with your pick of Towson.

We (UMass) beat them 35-0 on their field and they accomplished very little.

As much as I would love to see the A-12 have four teams in, I believe Towson is a real long shot.
In Towsons defense, Shaefer left Fridays walk through practice half way and came down with, what I've heard, the mumps. He was quarantined the entire following week. Anyway, Goldbeck didn't even have 24 hours to prepare for starting that game against UMass. We are a whole different team with Shaefer, ask Delaware.

That said, I think Towson has to beat W&M this weekend and then win one against either Richmond or JMU to finish 8-3 make it in.