playoff prediction plus eligible teams

[Tealblood]

I stole this from somebody last week teams in bold are not eligible with 1 more loss. This also includes my playoff predictions. I may change some of the at-larges easily esp. the A-10 bottom line I think 4 bids, Gateway 3 bids with some combo of what happens.

Auto-bid conferences
1--Atlantic 10 (North)
Massachusetts 3-0 5-1 at-large(1)
Maine 3-0 4-2
New Hampshire 2-1 5-1 at-large(2)
Northeastern 1-2 2-4
Hofstra 1-3 2-4

1A--(South)
James Madison 3-0 5-1 Auto(1)
Richmond 2-1 5-1 at-large(3)
Towson 1-2 4-2
Delaware 2-2 3-3
William & Mary 0-3 2-4


2--Big Sky
Montana 4-0 5-1 Auto(2)
Portland State 3-2 4-3
Montana State 2-1 3-3
Sacramento State 2-2 2-4
Idaho State 1-2 2-4
Weber State 1-2 2-4

3--Gateway
Youngstown State 3-0 6-1 Auto(3)
Illinois State 2-0 5-1 at-large(4)
Northern Iowa 2-0 4-2 at-large(5)
Southern Illinois 2-1 5-1
Western Kentucky 2-1 3-3

4--Mid-Eastern Athletic
Hampton 5-0 7-0 Auto(4)
Delaware State 3-1 4-2
Morgan State 3-1 4-3
Bethune-Cookman 2-2 4-3
South Carolina State 2-1 3-3
Florida A&M 1-2 3-3
Norfolk State 1-3 3-3

5--Ohio Valley
Tennessee-Martin 2-0 5-1 Auto(5)
Eastern Illinois 3-0 4-3
Tennessee State 2-0 3-3
Jacksonville State 3-1 3-3
Southeast Missouri State 1-2 3-3

6--Patriot
Holy Cross 2-0 5-2 Auto(6)
Lafayette 1-0 2-4
Colgate 1-0 2-4
Lehigh 1-0 2-4
Bucknell 1-1 4-3
Fordham 0-1 1-4

7--Southern
Appalachian State 3-0 6-1 Auto(7)
Furman 3-0 5-2 at-large(6)
Georgia Southern 2-1 3-3
Elon 1-2 3-3
Wofford 1-2 2-4
Chattanooga 1-2 2-4


8--Southland
Sam Houston State 1-0 3-2 Auto(8)


non-bid conferences
Big South
Charleston Southern 0-0 5-0
Coastal Carolina 0-0 4-2 at-large(7)
Gardner-Webb 0-0 3-2
Liberty 0-0 3-2

Great West
Cal Poly 2-0 5-1 at-large(8)

Pioneer
San Diego 2-0 5-0

Northeast
Robert Morris 2-0 4-2
Stony Brook 2-0 2-4
Central Connecticut State 1-1 5-1
Monmouth 1-1 5-1
Albany 1-1 3-3
Wagner 0-2 4-2

Metro Athletic
Duquesne 0-0 4-2

Southwestern (East)
Jackson State 4-0 5-1
Alabama A&M 4-1 5-1


(West)
Grambling State 2-2 2-4
Southern University 2-3 3-4
Texas Southern 2-3 2-4
Arkansas-Pine Bluff 2-2 3-3

[Tealblood]

I am sorry to whoever originally did this but you had not updated so I did, it makes for a pretty concise look at all of the division. Plus I added my playoff predict.'s. I am sure I made plenty of mistakes

[BigApp]

is San Diego playoff eligible?? :D

[kirkblitz]

Coastal Carolina 0-0 4-2 at-large(7)

I like it.

[Tealblood]

by elibible for purposes of this=can get to 7 div. I wins

[Death Dealer]

I think technically they are eligible, but realistically they are not gonna get in, plus the whole last game of the season thing and the GIC thing.

[Tealblood]

another disclaimer I am not predicting ASU over Furman yet. Just 1 gets auto the other at-large

[umassfan]

Why this is there I wana ask the simple question of what happens if both UMass and JMU finish the year undefeated in the A10? Who then would get that Auto?

[Tealblood]

also autos and at-larges in no order except for how the page played out
cause I think Cal Poly is prolly the first at-large in

[*****]

Nie one TB! Keep it coming.

This post has nothing to do with seven D-I wins needed for playoffs, only with that old four loss barrier (I took out playoff ineligible teams).

Record : Team

NO FEAR
7-0 : Hampton
6-0 : San Diego
6-0 : Charleston So

ONE LOSS
6-1 : Youngstown St
6-1 : Monmouth NJ
6-1 : Drake
6-1 : Appalachian St
5-1 : TN Martin
5-1 : S Illinois
5-1 : Richmond
5-1 : New Hampshire
5-1 : Montana
5-1 : Massachusetts
5-1 : James Madison
5-1 : Jackson St
5-1 : Illinois St
5-1 : Cal Poly SLO
5-1 : Alabama A&M

TWO LOSS
5-2 : Robert Morris
5-2 : Holy Cross
5-2 : Furman
5-2 : Duquesne
5-2 : Coastal Car
5-2 : Central Conn
4-2 : Towson
4-2 : Sam Houston St
4-2 : Northern Iowa
4-2 : Maine
4-2 : Gardner Webb
4-2 : Delaware St

THREE LOSS
4-3 : Wagner
4-3 : Portland St
4-3 : Morgan St
4-3 : Montana St
4-3 : E Illinois
4-3 : Bucknell
4-3 : Bethune-Cookman
4-3 : Albany NY
3-3 : W Kentucky
3-3 : Tennessee St
3-3 : SE Missouri St
3-3 : S Carolina St
3-3 : Norfolk St
3-3 : Liberty
3-3 : Jacksonville St
3-3 : Jacksonville
3-3 : Ga Southern
3-3 : Florida A&M
3-3 : Elon
3-3 : Delaware
3-3 : Dayton
3-3 : Davidson
3-3 : Ark Pine Bluff
3-3 : Alcorn St

[*****]

last bit of numbers...

64 teams without four losses

A10 5 - 1 James Madison
A10 5 - 1 Massachusetts
A10 5 - 1 New Hampshire
A10 5 - 1 Richmond
A10 4 - 2 Maine
A10 4 - 2 Towson
A10 3 - 3 Delaware
Big Sky 5 - 1 Montana
Big Sky 4 - 3 Portland St
Big Sky 4 - 3 Montana St
BSC 6 - 0 Charleston So
BSC 4 - 2 Gardner Webb
BSC 5 - 2 Coastal Car
BSC 3 - 3 Liberty
GFC 5 - 1 Illinois St
GFC 6 - 1 Youngstown St
GFC 5 - 1 S Illinois
GFC 4 - 2 Northern Iowa
GFC 3 - 3 W Kentucky
GWFC 6 - 0 N Dakota St
GWFC 5 - 1 Cal Poly SLO
GWFC 3 - 3 UC Davis
GWFC 3 - 3 S Dakota St
IAA Ind 4 - 3 C Arkansas
Ivy 5 - 0 Harvard
Ivy 5 - 0 Princeton
Ivy 4 - 1 Yale
Ivy 4 - 1 Penn
Ivy 3 - 2 Columbia
Ivy 2 - 3 Cornell
MAAC 5 - 2 Duquesne
MEAC 7 - 0 Hampton
MEAC 4 - 2 Delaware St
MEAC 4 - 3 Morgan St
MEAC 3 - 3 Florida A&M
MEAC 3 - 3 S Carolina St
MEAC 4 - 3 Bethune-Cookman
MEAC 3 - 3 Norfolk St
NEC 6 - 1 Monmouth NJ
NEC 5 - 2 Robert Morris
NEC 5 - 2 Central Conn
NEC 4 - 3 Albany NY
NEC 4 - 3 Wagner
OVC 5 - 1 TN Martin
OVC 4 - 3 E Illinois
OVC 3 - 3 Jacksonville St
OVC 3 - 3 Tennessee St
OVC 3 - 3 SE Missouri St
PFL 6 - 0 San Diego
PFL 6 - 1 Drake
PFL 3 - 3 Davidson
PFL 3 - 3 Jacksonville
PFL 3 - 3 Dayton
PL 5 - 2 Holy Cross
PL 4 - 3 Bucknell
SC 6 - 1 Appalachian St
SC 5 - 2 Furman
SC 3 - 3 Elon
SC 3 - 3 Ga Southern
SLC 4 - 2 Sam Houston St
SWAC 5 - 1 Jackson St
SWAC 5 - 1 Alabama A&M
SWAC 3 - 3 Ark Pine Bluff
SWAC 3 - 3 Alcorn St

58 with four losses:
A10 2 - 4 Northeastern
A10 2 - 4 Villanova
A10 2 - 4 William & Mary
A10 2 - 4 Rhode Island
A10 2 - 4 Hofstra
Big Sky 2 - 4 CS Sacramento
Big Sky 2 - 4 N Arizona
Big Sky 2 - 4 Weber St
Big Sky 2 - 4 Idaho St
Big Sky 2 - 5 E Washington
Big Sky 1 - 6 N Colorado
BSC 1 - 6 VMI
GFC 3 - 4 W Illinois
GFC 1 - 6 Missouri St
GFC 0 - 7 Indiana St
GWFC 3 - 4 Southern Utah
IAA Ind 2 - 5 W Salem St
IAA Ind 1 - 5 Savannah St
IAA Ind 1 - 5 Austin Peay
Ivy 1 - 4 Brown
Ivy 0 - 5 Dartmouth
MAAC 2 - 4 La Salle
MAAC 2 - 5 Marist
MAAC 1 - 5 Iona
MAAC 0 - 6 St Peter's
MEAC 1 - 5 Howard
MEAC 0 - 6 NC A&T
NEC 3 - 4 Stony Brook
NEC 2 - 5 Sacred Ht
NEC 1 - 6 St Francis PA
OVC 3 - 4 Samford
OVC 2 - 5 Tennessee Tech
OVC 2 - 5 E Kentucky
OVC 1 - 6 Murray St
PFL 2 - 5 Butler
PFL 2 - 5 Valparaiso
PFL 1 - 6 Morehead St
PL 2 - 4 Lafayette
PL 2 - 4 Lehigh
PL 2 - 4 Colgate
PL 2 - 4 Fordham
PL 1 - 6 Georgetown
SC 2 - 4 Wofford
SC 3 - 4 Chattanooga
SC 2 - 4 W Carolina
SC 1 - 5 Citadel
SLC 2 - 4 Nicholls St
SLC 2 - 4 Northwestern LA
SLC 2 - 4 Texas St
SLC 2 - 4 McNeese St
SLC 1 - 5 SF Austin
SLC 2 - 5 SE Louisiana
SWAC 3 - 4 MS Valley St
SWAC 2 - 4 Grambling
SWAC 3 - 4 Southern Univ
SWAC 3 - 4 Alabama St
SWAC 2 - 4 TX Southern
SWAC 2 - 5 Prairie View

[grizband]

I am sorry to whoever originally did this but you had not updated so I did, it makes for a pretty concise look at all of the division. Plus I added my playoff predict.'s. I am sure I made plenty of mistakes
TealBlood, I was just about to post what I updated, but saw that you beat me to the punch (way to steal my hard work:cool: ). Don't worry about it, but if you dont' mind, I would like to resume my duties updating this list (thanks for your work this weekxsmileyclapx ).

[Tealblood]

I figured I broke the patent by adding the playoff scenario. And yea it was plenty of work.

[grizband]

I figured I broke the patent by adding the playoff scenario. And yea it was plenty of work.
Nah, it was a nice touch. Puts a more personal touch on the standings.

[FlyYtown]

Why this is there I wana ask the simple question of what happens if both UMass and JMU finish the year undefeated in the A10? Who then would get that Auto?
YSU fans are experts on this... Whoever wins the head-2-head matchup will get the Auto-Bid..

I love those rankings, I'd love to get the auto bid and stay at home throughout the playoffs!

[TexasTerror]

So, the SLC is completely eliminated from an at-large outside of SHSU who can only lose to UCA (a Div II) from here on out to maintain a chance at the seven win plateau...

[Tribe4SF]

Why this is there I wana ask the simple question of what happens if both UMass and JMU finish the year undefeated in the A10? Who then would get that Auto?

Since there is no head-to-head, they will look at common opponents and other tie breakers. Most likely would get down to record against D-I opponents, which would give the nod to UMass, since JMU played a D-II. Same thing cost JMU the autobid in 2004.

[HensRock]

YSU fans are experts on this... Whoever wins the head-2-head matchup will get the Auto-Bid..


Dear expert,
What if they don't play each other?

[JustToyin]

I don't believe there is any standard formula for tie-breakers - each conference sets their own criteria. May want to check the A-10 site to see if you can dig anything up (if so, please post). It would be nice to see the tie-breaking process for all of the different conferences?

I definitely think the A-10 has a better chance to land 4 seeds this year than the Gateway. Could make for some very intersting geographic brackets (i.e. could be coming to Y-Town if we are fortunate enough to finish strong this year?!?).

Ralph, nice breakout of the records by losses for all of the various teams - however, we obviously can't discount 4 loss teams as of yet as conference auto bids may still be in play (especially, in the case of ties among multiple teams).

[Tealblood]

Ralph
you need to remember that Charleston Southern could finish 10-1 and not be eligble (4 non DI's) so although not having the 4 losses still ineligible. Just a short look at your numbers CSU would be the only team that meets both extremes

[PaladinFan]

just as long as Coastal gets sent to Furman. Let it all ride.

[*****]

Ralph
you need to remember that Charleston Southern could finish 10-1 and not be eligble (4 non DI's) so although not having the 4 losses still ineligible. Just a short look at your numbers CSU would be the only team that meets both extremesInteresting. My post had nothing to do with seven D-I wins needed for playoffs, only with that old four loss barrier.

[PantherRob82]

Any word on the A-10 tiebreaker yet?

[LeopardFan04]

Any word on the A-10 tiebreaker yet?


http://graphics.fansonly.com/photos/schools/atl10/sports/m-footbl/auto_pdf/06-fb-conf.pdf

Go to page 3...outlines it...


basically after head to head it goes to record vs. common opponents in the conference, followed by a comparison of OOC wins/losses...