Pointspreads Week 1: Let's Make some $$

[Lehigh'98]

Help me find some value in these spreads. no way the oddsmakers have a good feel in week 1 of a new season for FCS teams. I starred the picks I think are out of line and have good value. xscanx


Game........................... Spread............. Pick (Winner vs Spread)
Alabam A&M at Grambling State......... 448 Grambling State +13 -120...... Grambling St

Albany at Duquesne..................................... Duquesne -5 -120.................Albany *****

Appalachian State at Montana..................... 454 Montana -2 -120 ......... Montana

Bethune-Cookman at Tennessee State.......... 458 Tennessee State -3½ -120 ........... Tenn St *****

Butler at South Dakota State ............ 446 South Dakota State -34½ -120 ........ SDSU

Central Connecticut State at James Madison.... 434 James Madison -5½ -120 ........ JMU *****

Charleston Southern at Citadel.......... 444 Citadel -25½ -120 ............. CSU

Coastal Carolina at South Carolina State........ 442 South Carolina State +12½ -120..... CCSU ****

Dayton at Youngstown State ......... 414 Youngstown State -30½ -120 ...... Dayton

Furman at Gardner-Webb .................. 438 Gardner-Webb +17½ -120 .......... GW

Georgetown at Wagner............. 430 Wagner +3½ -120 .......... Wagner *****

Hampton at Western Illinois............. 408 Western Illinois -19½ -120...... WIU

Holy Cross at Bryant University........... 432 Bryant University +5 -120 ......... HC

Jacksonville at Delaware.......... 412 Delaware -14 -120 ......... UD *****

Maine at Norfolk State ......... 426 Norfolk State +20½ -120 ........ Maine *****

Mississippi Valley State vs Florida A&M, Orlando.. 456 Florida A&M -14 -120 ........ FAM

Monmouth at Montana State.......... 420 Montana State -27½ -120 ........ Monmouth

Northwestern State at Missouri State........ Missouri State -2.5 ........ MSU

Prairie View A&M at Texas Southern ......... 450 Texas Southern +14 -120 .......... TS

Rhode Island at Fordham........... 404 Fordham -9½ -120 .......... Rhody

Robert Morris at Eastern Kentucky .......... 402 Eastern Kentucky -24½ -120 ......... Bob Mo

Sacred Heart at Marist ................. 440 Marist +1½ -120 ......... Marist

Samford at Georgia State .......... 422 Georgia State +21½ -120 ......... GSU

Savannah State at Georgia Southern ...... 436 Georgia Southern -48½ -120 ....... GSU

Southeast Missouri State at Soeast Louisiana.....418 Southeastern Louisiana -2 -120........ SEL

Stephen F. Austin at Weber State ......... 452 Weber State +3½ -120 .......... SFA *****

Tennessee-Martin at Chattanooga ........... 410 Chattanooga -2½ -120 ......... Chatty *****

Valparaiso at North Dakota ........... 416 North Dakota -41½ -120 ......... NDSU

VMI at Richmond ................ 424 Richmond -27½ -120 ........ VMI

[Go Lehigh TU Owl]

I like Wagner, Monmouth and Delaware...

[Lehigh'98]

I'm with you on all 3 of those Owl...

[Pard4Life]

Yeah Monmouth looks pretty good, and I don't think they are pathetic.

May be worth taking Fordham but don't know about the 120... seems high.

[Lehigh'98]

In the games that I am highly familiar with...

App State and Georgia State are probably pretty good bets.

Chattanooga would have to deliver one of their worst performances of the Russ Huesman era not win cover that spread.


The Georgia Southern is a ton of points and I still think they cover by at least 15. won't touch app travelling across country. Even if it isnt a great Montana team, the home field will be big. Also, we need to see App's motivation this year being ineligible.

[Lehigh'98]

Yeah Monmouth looks pretty good, and I don't think they are pathetic.

May be worth taking Fordham but don't know about the 120... seems high.



120 is just the vig. its 20% of your bet if you lose. normal is 10%. Makes it even harder to bet FCS.

[Pard4Life]

I'm always suspicious of those high lines.. sure SDSU is good but that's a high threshold. 41-14 SDSU and Butler is your winner....

[LeadBolt]

Samford and JMU should be reasonable bets as well.

[gobison.gsb]

Help me find some value in these spreads. no way the oddsmakers have a good feel in week 1 of a new season for FCS teams. I starred the picks I think are out of line and have good value. xscanx


Game........................... Spread............. Pick (Winner vs Spread)
Alabam A&M at Grambling State......... 448 Grambling State +13 -120...... Grambling St

Albany at Duquesne..................................... Duquesne -5 -120.................Albany *****

Appalachian State at Montana..................... 454 Montana -2 -120 ......... Montana

Bethune-Cookman at Tennessee State.......... 458 Tennessee State -3½ -120 ........... Tenn St *****

Butler at South Dakota State ............ 446 South Dakota State -34½ -120 ........ SDSU

Central Connecticut State at James Madison.... 434 James Madison -5½ -120 ........ JMU *****

Charleston Southern at Citadel.......... 444 Citadel -25½ -120 ............. CSU

Coastal Carolina at South Carolina State........ 442 South Carolina State +12½ -120..... CCSU ****

Dayton at Youngstown State ......... 414 Youngstown State -30½ -120 ...... Dayton

Furman at Gardner-Webb .................. 438 Gardner-Webb +17½ -120 .......... GW

Georgetown at Wagner............. 430 Wagner +3½ -120 .......... Wagner *****

Hampton at Western Illinois............. 408 Western Illinois -19½ -120...... WIU

Holy Cross at Bryant University........... 432 Bryant University +5 -120 ......... HC

Jacksonville at Delaware.......... 412 Delaware -14 -120 ......... UD *****

Maine at Norfolk State ......... 426 Norfolk State +20½ -120 ........ Maine *****

Mississippi Valley State vs Florida A&M, Orlando.. 456 Florida A&M -14 -120 ........ FAM

Monmouth at Montana State.......... 420 Montana State -27½ -120 ........ Monmouth

Northwestern State at Missouri State........ Missouri State -2.5 ........ MSU

Prairie View A&M at Texas Southern ......... 450 Texas Southern +14 -120 .......... TS

Rhode Island at Fordham........... 404 Fordham -9½ -120 .......... Rhody

Robert Morris at Eastern Kentucky .......... 402 Eastern Kentucky -24½ -120 ......... Bob Mo

Sacred Heart at Marist ................. 440 Marist +1½ -120 ......... Marist

Samford at Georgia State .......... 422 Georgia State +21½ -120 ......... GSU

Savannah State at Georgia Southern ...... 436 Georgia Southern -48½ -120 ....... GSU

Southeast Missouri State at Soeast Louisiana.....418 Southeastern Louisiana -2 -120........ SEL

Stephen F. Austin at Weber State ......... 452 Weber State +3½ -120 .......... SFA *****

Tennessee-Martin at Chattanooga ........... 410 Chattanooga -2½ -120 ......... Chatty *****

Valparaiso at North Dakota ........... 416 North Dakota -41½ -120 ......... NDSU

VMI at Richmond ................ 424 Richmond -27½ -120 ........ VMI

No. Just, no.

[Lehigh'98]

It's Valpo. So no means yes

[Vitojr130]

No. Just, no.

No respect xlolx

I bet the NCAA sends UN_ our banner again. xbopx

[FCS_pwns_FBS]

Best Picks

1. JMU
2. Delaware
3. Georgia Southern
4. Chattanooga

That JMU line is, um, interesting.

#3 isn't me being a homer. Savannah State is going to have a truly horrible team this year. They didn't even have their coach hired for spring practice and on top of that, Earnest Wilson is going to change their offense to a pass-heavy spread. It's going to be a hideous game.

[BisonCM]

It's Valpo. So no means yes

No. Just, No means the last four letters.

Maybe a threepeat or a UN_ / NDSU championship game with make people realize they are different.

[bluehenbillk]

JMU, Delaware & Wagner. Wow - three easy games.

[darell1976]

No. Just, No means the last four letters.

Maybe a threepeat or a UN_ / NDSU championship game with make people realize they are different.

Maybe NDSU should go with FU (Fargo University). The Summit League wouldn't mind.:D

[darell1976]

Help me find some value in these spreads. no way the oddsmakers have a good feel in week 1 of a new season for FCS teams. I starred the picks I think are out of line and have good value. xscanx


Game........................... Spread............. Pick (Winner vs Spread)
Valparaiso at North Dakota ........... 416 North Dakota -41½ -120 ......... NDSU


Please don't ever, ever do that again.xtroublex

[word]

Maybe NDSU should go with FU (Fargo University). The Summit League wouldn't mind.:D


Maybe UN_ should just close up shop. Nobody would mind.

[Bisonator]

Valparaiso at North Dakota ........... 416 North Dakota -41½ -120 ......... NDSU

This deserves a neg rep! xflamemadx

[aceinthehole]

The JMU/CCSU line is way too low in my opinion as well. Especially after last year's nightmare of a season for Central.

But let's not forget that just 2 seasons ago the Blue Devils went down to Harrisonburg for the first game in the sold-out and expanded Bridgeforth Stadium and lost a heartbreaker 14-9. CCSU was down 7-3 and driving for a score with less than 4:00 in the game before they threw a crucial INT.

I think the spread was more than 2 TDs for that game and CCSU covered.

http://www.ccsubluedevils.com/sports/fball/2011-12/releases/20110910gya0qj

[darell1976]

Maybe UN_ should just close up shop. Nobody would mind.

Then who would FU talk smack about? ;)

[Lehigh'98]

This deserves a neg rep! xflamemadx



Man you guys are touchy. i picked you to cover a 41 pt spread and u get your green and gold panties in a bunch. Give me 49.5 and I'll pick Valpo

[Sammy94]

I will never say this very much but I like SFA.

[Bisonator]

Man you guys are touchy. i picked you to cover a 41 pt spread and u get your green and gold panties in a bunch. Give me 49.5 and I'll pick Valpo

WE ARE NORTH DAKOTA STATE. WE ARE PLAYING KANSAS STATE NOT VALPO! xanim_chaix

By the way KSU is -17.5 for our game. :D

[Lehigh'98]

WE ARE NORTH DAKOTA STATE. WE ARE PLAYING KANSAS STATE NOT VALPO! xanim_chaix

By the way KSU is -17.5 for our game. :D


My bad, I'm dense. Now I get it. I still think ND covers that.

[Lehigh'98]

Maine should whip Norfolk as well. I wouldn't touch the NDSU KSU game.

[BisonFan02]

Maine should whip Norfolk as well. I wouldn't touch the NDSU KSU game.

NDSU will cover 17.5....if not win.

[Go Lehigh TU Owl]

NDSU will cover 17.5....if not win.

Not a chance. I'd gladly take the points on this one. NDSU fans are going to get a dose of reality.

[URMite]

My bad, I'm dense. Now I get it. I still think ND covers that.

I still think NDSU wins the game between UND & Valpo. Even when they aren't on the field they still win, they are just that good. xlolx

The last four letters of this line look interesting too.
Coastal Carolina at South Carolina State........ 442 South Carolina State +12½ -120..... CCSU ****

Even if they lose the JMU game they still win the CCU vs SCSU game. Or could you just not make up your mind.? xlolx

[DJKyR0]

Then who would FU talk smack about? ;)

Rasmussen College.

[Lehigh'98]

I still think NDSU wins the game between UND & Valpo. Even when they aren't on the field they still win, they are just that good. xlolx

The last four letters of this line look interesting too.
Coastal Carolina at South Carolina State........ 442 South Carolina State +12½ -120..... CCSU ****

Even if they lose the JMU game they still win the CCU vs SCSU game. Or could you just not make up your mind.? xlolx

Bad day

[Lehigh Football Nation]

Samford at Georgia State .......... 422 Georgia State +21½ -120 ......... GSU

Did anyone catch this?

[SU DOG]

Georgia State may be improved enough that I would not want to risk the 21.5 point spread against my Dogs. I do like the JMU and Chatty picks, but the one that I REALLY like is Southeastern Louisiana. I would favor them to win even at SEMO, but in Hammond, that looks to be a money maker to me. Thankfully I don't bet, however.

[Lehigh'98]

Did anyone catch this?

What's to catch. GSU has a new coach, no idea how much improvement they could show.

[Lehigh Football Nation]

What's to catch. GSU has a new coach, no idea how much improvement they could show.

What's to catch is FBS Georgia State is a 21 1/2 underdog at home against Samford. I know Georgia State is not that great, but 21 1/2 points?

[Lehigh'98]

What's to catch is FBS Georgia State is a 21 1/2 underdog at home against Samford. I know Georgia State is not that great, but 21 1/2 points?

Thought u might be going the other way... I agree

[BigHouseClosedEnd]

The JMU CCSU point spread stinks. It stinks so bad that I'd almost be inclined to take a flier on CCSU.

[heath]

Samford and JMU should be reasonable bets as well.

If JMU wants to contend for a CAA title,they better bet CCSU at home by 20+

[Tribal]

Locks: Norfolk State and VMI will cover.
JMU will not be in contention for the CAA title...IMO, they're not a top 3 CAA team.

[BigHouseClosedEnd]

I'm not convinced that JMU is a top half CAA team. I struggle to understand why so much is expected from Michael Birdsong. He performed well against us but who doednt perform well against an Umbrella Defense down 3 scores. Take a look at his performance at home against Ga State the following week. Putrid.

I think this is the year the Dukes go 5-6 or 4-7 and Mickey finally gets canned.

Apparently, the oddsmakers hardly disagree.

[danefan]

Even at 5-6 JMU will be CCSU by at least a TD.

Albany put 63 up on CCSU last year including a TD run by an offensive lineman.

[aceinthehole]

Even at 5-6 JMU will be CCSU by at least a TD.

Albany put 63 up on CCSU last year including a TD run by an offensive lineman.

By the time the UA game came around, they had packed it in for the season. Not an excuse, just the reality. Last year was a train wreck in New Britain - an awful season.

I fully expect JMU to win this game, but CCSU finished 4-7 in 2011 when they last played JMU, and still almost pulled off the upset. JMU was a Top-20 team that year and won a first round playoff game, so they were a good team. I'm really hoping last year was just an aberration and CCSU returns as a top NEC contender. If so, and if JMU is having a "down" year, Central should at least keep it close.

[caribbeanhen]

as many have said, the biggest eye popper is the JMU game

[Dane96]

JMU.

[Apps03]

I read through and sorry if I missed it but, where are these lines from?

[seantaylor]

GSU -47/ doesn't seem fair against Savannah State. Very good chance that the spread is covered by halftime.

[IBleedYellow]

I love how we can win 2 National Titles and no one can see the difference between a top level FCS school and a bottom feeder.

Goodness.

[Lehigh'98]

I love how we can win 2 National Titles and no one can see the difference between a top level FCS school and a bottom feeder.

Goodness.

It was an accident. Was going thru the lines very fast. We are all well aware of the mighty North Dakota State. Go watch another video replay of your title.

[Lehigh'98]

I read through and sorry if I missed it but, where are these lines from?

5dimes

[IBleedYellow]

It was an accident. Was going thru the lines very fast. We are all well aware of the mighty North Dakota State. Go watch another video replay of your title.


Oh, I thought 5dimes made the mistake, not you.

Well, now it's not as big of a deal.

[aust42]

Reading this thread makes me want to come out of retirement. But one thing that concerns me is the new "don't hit too hard" rule that will supposedly be rigorously enforced by NCAA refs. Like the NFL is these days, there could be way too many game changing penalties that were considered standard tackles for the past 50 years. Makes it hard to bet.

[darell1976]

I love how we can win 2 National Titles and no one can see the difference between a top level FCS school and a bottom feeder.

Goodness.

Haha bottom feeder...that's cute. You so funny.

[Lehigh'98]

The JMU CCSU point spread stinks. It stinks so bad that I'd almost be inclined to take a flier on CCSU.

It's wayyyy off

[grayghost06]

It's wayyyy off

Just looked into this. Right now, there is no line for JMU-CCSU on 5Dimes. Anybody know when it got taken down? Are there any other sites that have FCS point spreads?

[NoDak 4 Ever]

It's Valpo. So no means yes

Valpo was our very first DI home game in 2004. 52-0 so even the Whioux have a chance.

[Saint3333]

Samford 21 and the hook. Wow, is GA St still that bad?