PDA

View Full Version : Early I-AA/I-A Predictions from Sportsline!



Retro
August 3rd, 2006, 08:36 PM
http://www.sportsline.com/collegefootball/story/8820391

Game of the Week
*Miami (Fla.) 19, Florida State 17
The Hurricanes are 19-1 in home openers since 1986 and have beaten the Seminoles in four of the last five games. The past two season's scores were 10-7 (Florida State) and 16-10 (Miami).


Games for the weekend of Sept. 2
*Arizona State 49 Northern Arizona 10
Army 19 *Arkansas State 17
*Alabama 26 Hawaii 25
*Auburn 27 Washington State 13
Brigham Young 28 *Arizona 13
*Boise State 48 Sacramento State 7
Boston College 24 *Central Michigan 20
*Buffalo 17 Temple 16
*Central Florida 32 Villanova 6
*Cincinnati 30 Eastern Kentucky 7
*Clemson 34 Florida Atlantic 7
*Colorado 41 Montana State 3
*Colorado State 39 Weber State 7
*Connecticut 36 Rhode Island 6
*Duke 28 Richmond 6
Eastern Michigan 27 *Ball State 25
*Florida 30 Southern Mississippi 17
Florida International 23 *Middle Tennessee 20
*Fresno State 34 Nevada 31
*Georgia 44 Western Kentucky 7
Houston 33 *Rice 17
*Illinois 37 Eastern Illinois 13
*Indiana 23 Western Michigan 19
*Iowa 35 Montana 10
*Iowa State 26 Toledo 21
*Kansas 36 Northwestern State 3
*Kansas State 47 Illinois State 3
*Louisiana-Monroe 31 Alcorn State 13
*Louisville 35 Kentucky 21
*LSU 31 Louisiana-Lafayette 14
*Maryland 33 William & Mary 7
*Miami (Fla.) 19 Florida State 17
*Michigan 31 Vanderbilt 10
*Michigan State 37 Idaho 13
Minnesota 31 *Kent State 14
*Missouri 48 Murray State 9
Memphis 23 *Mississippi 20
*Navy 23 East Carolina 20
*Nebraska 27 Louisiana Tech 10
*New Mexico 31 Portland State 3
*New Mexico State 26 Southeastern Louisiana 9
Northwestern 34 *Miami (Ohio) 31
*North Carolina State 28 Appalachian State 3
Notre Dame 27 *Georgia Tech 20
*Ohio 28 Tennessee-Martin 9
*Ohio State 27 Northern Illinois 17
*Oklahoma 27 UAB 13
*Oklahoma State 44 Missouri State 8
*Oregon State 42 Eastern Washington 7
*Penn State 27 Akron 10
*Pittsburgh 23 Virginia 20
Rutgers 23 *North Carolina 20
*San Diego State 30 Texas-El Paso 28
South Carolina 24 *Mississippi State 14
*South Florida 28 McNeese State 8
Southern California 26 *Arkansas 17
*Texas 47 North Texas 14
*Texas A&M 35 The Citadel 6
TCU 26 *Baylor 7
*Tulsa 38 Stephen F. Austin 10
*UCLA 35 Utah 31
*UNLV 31 Idaho State 3
*Virginia Tech 49 Northeastern 6
*Washington 23 San Jose State 21
*Wake Forest 19 Syracuse 13
*West Virginia 34 Marshall 14
Wisconsin 23 *Bowling Green 19
*Wyoming 26 Utah State 23

* - Denotes home team

Some good early bulletin board material !:nono:

Go Lehigh TU Owl
August 3rd, 2006, 08:41 PM
http://www.sportsline.com/collegefootball/story/8820391

Game of the Week
*Miami (Fla.) 19, Florida State 17
The Hurricanes are 19-1 in home openers since 1986 and have beaten the Seminoles in four of the last five games. The past two season's scores were 10-7 (Florida State) and 16-10 (Miami).


Games for the weekend of Sept. 2
*Arizona State 49 Northern Arizona 10
Army 19 *Arkansas State 17
*Alabama 26 Hawaii 25
*Auburn 27 Washington State 13
Brigham Young 28 *Arizona 13
*Boise State 48 Sacramento State 7
Boston College 24 *Central Michigan 20
*Buffalo 17 Temple 16
*Central Florida 32 Villanova 6
*Cincinnati 30 Eastern Kentucky 7
*Clemson 34 Florida Atlantic 7
*Colorado 41 Montana State 3
*Colorado State 39 Weber State 7
*Connecticut 36 Rhode Island 6
*Duke 28 Richmond 6
Eastern Michigan 27 *Ball State 25
*Florida 30 Southern Mississippi 17
Florida International 23 *Middle Tennessee 20
*Fresno State 34 Nevada 31
*Georgia 44 Western Kentucky 7
Houston 33 *Rice 17
*Illinois 37 Eastern Illinois 13
*Indiana 23 Western Michigan 19
*Iowa 35 Montana 10
*Iowa State 26 Toledo 21
*Kansas 36 Northwestern State 3
*Kansas State 47 Illinois State 3
*Louisiana-Monroe 31 Alcorn State 13
*Louisville 35 Kentucky 21
*LSU 31 Louisiana-Lafayette 14
*Maryland 33 William & Mary 7
*Miami (Fla.) 19 Florida State 17
*Michigan 31 Vanderbilt 10
*Michigan State 37 Idaho 13
Minnesota 31 *Kent State 14
*Missouri 48 Murray State 9
Memphis 23 *Mississippi 20
*Navy 23 East Carolina 20
*Nebraska 27 Louisiana Tech 10
*New Mexico 31 Portland State 3
*New Mexico State 26 Southeastern Louisiana 9
Northwestern 34 *Miami (Ohio) 31
*North Carolina State 28 Appalachian State 3
Notre Dame 27 *Georgia Tech 20
*Ohio 28 Tennessee-Martin 9
*Ohio State 27 Northern Illinois 17
*Oklahoma 27 UAB 13
*Oklahoma State 44 Missouri State 8
*Oregon State 42 Eastern Washington 7
*Penn State 27 Akron 10
*Pittsburgh 23 Virginia 20
Rutgers 23 *North Carolina 20
*San Diego State 30 Texas-El Paso 28
South Carolina 24 *Mississippi State 14
*South Florida 28 McNeese State 8
Southern California 26 *Arkansas 17
*Texas 47 North Texas 14
*Texas A&M 35 The Citadel 6
TCU 26 *Baylor 7
*Tulsa 38 Stephen F. Austin 10
*UCLA 35 Utah 31
*UNLV 31 Idaho State 3
*Virginia Tech 49 Northeastern 6
*Washington 23 San Jose State 21
*Wake Forest 19 Syracuse 13
*West Virginia 34 Marshall 14
Wisconsin 23 *Bowling Green 19
*Wyoming 26 Utah State 23

* - Denotes home team

Some good early bulletin board material !:nono:

Maybe bulletin board material but i don't think any of those scores are way off base. The Georgia-WKU game might be closer because Georgia is going to have some fresh faces in key spots and Duke-Richmond might be a little optimistic.

SO ILLmatic
August 3rd, 2006, 08:46 PM
IMO the Cincy-EKU will be closer than that.

And App St. and ILL St. will be able to score more than just kicking a field goal.

blueballs
August 3rd, 2006, 10:15 PM
Maybe bulletin board material but i don't think any of those scores are way off base. The Georgia-WKU game might be closer because Georgia is going to have some fresh faces in key spots and Duke-Richmond might be a little optimistic.

I don't see NCSt holding App to 3, UCF will defeat Villanova by more than 25, Notre Dame will beat Ga Tech by more than 7 and Oklahoma will be lucky to beat UAB.

UGA will name the score on WKU, too many athletes, 5 td margin seems about right.

ASU Kep
August 3rd, 2006, 10:28 PM
If ANYBODY wants to bet ANY amount of money that NC State will beat us by at least 25 points, I'm more than willing to take ya up.

ASU Kep
August 3rd, 2006, 10:30 PM
:bang: :bang: :bang: :mad: :mad: :mad: xidiotx :shakingmad: :shakingmad: :shakingmad: :pumpuke: :pumpuke: :pumpuke: : flamemad : flamemad : flamemad :splat: :splat: :splat:

douglasdmb
August 3rd, 2006, 10:45 PM
The Illinois State/K-State game should be much closer than that, considering K-State is picked to finish last in a very poor Big XII North Division.

BaylorTitan
August 3rd, 2006, 10:48 PM
I don't think Illinois St. will play too close to KSU. I'd say about a 10-20 loss.

Mr. C
August 3rd, 2006, 11:08 PM
Isn't it easy to predict that a I-A will crush a I-AA. These folks obviously have no clue about the I-AAs. I'm picking Richmond over Duke and App State over North Carolina State in the opening week. Bad week for the ACC:hurray: :hurray: :hurray: :hurray: :hurray: :hurray:

Maroons
August 4th, 2006, 12:33 AM
There are a ton of spreads on that list I'd take in a bet. I do believe I-AA is getting undersold.

Tod
August 4th, 2006, 12:40 AM
I don't know squat about South Florida, but...

I have a problem with:

South Florida 28 McNeese State 8

If I'm wrong, I'd certainly accept that without argument. But this seems to be a winnable game for McNeese State.

:confused:

SO ILLmatic
August 4th, 2006, 12:52 AM
I don't know squat about South Florida, but...

I have a problem with:

South Florida 28 McNeese State 8

If I'm wrong, I'd certainly accept that without argument. But this seems to be a winnable game for McNeese State.

:confused:

The Bulls from South Florida are going to be decent this year. They kind of remind of me of Central Florida, in the way that they are starting to rebuild their program in a new conference. It cant hurt to be able to have the recruiting possibilities that their home state of Florida offers and be in a BCS conference.

South Florida has an outstanding group of linebackers and I think they will be one of the reasons why McNeese will have trouble playing with them.

Chi Panther
August 4th, 2006, 01:10 AM
Only games I predict being close could be the Kansas State and Illinois games.....

birdsflyhigh
August 4th, 2006, 01:22 AM
The Sportsline 47-3 prediction of Kansas State over Illinois State is just plain stupid. Where do they get these people? This KSU team should not be near the challenge of Iowa State or Minnesota (IAs the Birds played in the previous two seasons). ISU lost both of those games, but both were very tight games.

By all accounts, ISU will field a top notch team this year. Can't wait to see that game roll around now, and think back on what a freaking joke Sportsline predictions really are! :eek: Another poster was right on point when they pointed out how IAA teams are really being undersold.

*****
August 4th, 2006, 01:54 AM
http://www.sportsline.com/collegefootball/story/8820391

Games for the weekend of Sept. 2
*Arizona State 49 Northern Arizona 10
*Boise State 48 Sacramento State 7
*Central Florida 32 Villanova 6
*Cincinnati 30 Eastern Kentucky 7
*Colorado 41 Montana State 3
*Colorado State 39 Weber State 7
*Connecticut 36 Rhode Island 6
*Duke 28 Richmond 6
*Georgia 44 Western Kentucky 7
*Illinois 37 Eastern Illinois 13
*Iowa 35 Montana 10
*Kansas 36 Northwestern State 3
*Kansas State 47 Illinois State 3
*Louisiana-Monroe 31 Alcorn State 13
*Maryland 33 William & Mary 7
*Missouri 48 Murray State 9
*New Mexico 31 Portland State 3
*New Mexico State 26 Southeastern Louisiana 9
*North Carolina State 28 Appalachian State 3
*Ohio 28 Tennessee-Martin 9
*Oklahoma State 44 Missouri State 8
*Oregon State 42 Eastern Washington 7
*South Florida 28 McNeese State 8
*Texas A&M 35 The Citadel 6
*Tulsa 38 Stephen F. Austin 10
*UNLV 31 Idaho State 3
*Virginia Tech 49 Northeastern 6

* - Denotes home teamI think they will be wrong on many of these prediction spreads and I-AA will win more than one game outright.

ASU Kep
August 4th, 2006, 01:57 AM
I think they will be wrong on many of these prediction spreads and I-AA will win more than one game outright.

pssst...don't you mean the CS?

xlolx xlolx xlolx

just kidding, I know we're not "officially" the "CS" yet, but come on, CATCH THE SPIRIT! ;) :D

UNH 40
August 4th, 2006, 07:44 AM
There is no way in hell that these games will be that lopsided. Whomever made these predictions has not been paying attention to how competitive I-AA teams have been against I-A teams in the past three or four years.xidiotx xidiotx

I-AA Fan
August 4th, 2006, 08:45 AM
*Arizona State 49 Northern Arizona 10 = good call
*Boise State 48 Sacramento State 7 = good call
*Central Florida 32 Villanova 6 = UCF is down this year & Nova will score 14.
*Cincinnati 30 Eastern Kentucky 7 = Too much respect for Cinci
*Colorado 41 Montana State 3 = MSU scores twice (10)
*Colorado State 39 Weber State 7 = WSU scores 10.
*Connecticut 36 Rhode Island 6 = good call
*Duke 28 Richmond 6 = too much respect for Duke (17-7 Duke)
*Georgia 44 Western Kentucky 7 = about right, WKU is better than that, but GA's offense is too strong & too different for WKU.
*Illinois 37 Eastern Illinois 13 (too much respect for EIU 31-3)
*Iowa 35 Montana 10 = about right
*Kansas 36 Northwestern State 3 (KU will never score 36 points on anyone)
*Kansas State 47 Illinois State 3 (ILS will score much more than 3 points, 34-17 KSU)
*Maryland 33 William & Mary 7 (a little too high on MD here. Game will be very close until late)
*Missouri 48 Murray State 9 (about right, maybe 42-3)
*New Mexico 31 Portland State 3 (much closer, PSU could win this)
*North Carolina State 28 Appalachian State 3 (much closer)
*Ohio 28 Tennessee-Martin 9 (about right)
*Oklahoma State 44 Missouri State 8 (a little too much respect for OKS, maybe 34-14)
*Oregon State 42 Eastern Washington 7 (what are they seeing in the Beavers? Am I missing something? EWU could win this.)
*South Florida 28 McNeese State 8 (good call)
*Texas A&M 35 The Citadel 6 (about right)
*Tulsa 38 Stephen F. Austin 10 (way too much respect for Tulsa)
*UNLV 31 Idaho State 3 (way too much respect for UNLV)
*Virginia Tech 49 Northeastern 6 (UVa could score 49, but won't)

blueballs
August 4th, 2006, 09:21 AM
*Ar*Central Florida 32 Villanova 6 = UCF is down this year & Nova will score 14.


UCF is far from down this year. In fact they return about 50 lettermen from their C-USA division champ team from last year that lost the shootout of a bowl game in Hawaii.

Not only is the talent pool far superior, UCF has the home field advantage of the central FL heat AND humidity which will make the depth difference that much more pronounced. UCF is rebuilding its program (last year was a great year for them going from zero wins to 8), returns a boatload of starters and will want to make a statement. This one will get real ugly if O'Leary wants it to.

blackfordpu
August 4th, 2006, 09:24 AM
Are they going to predict any other weeks?

GannonFan
August 4th, 2006, 10:45 AM
I'd like to be optimistic, but I can't see a I-AA team winning any of those games. I think the Appy St game and certainly the Richmond game scores are a little too lopsided, but on the whole the rest are pretty accurate. As much as we'd like to think otherwise, there haven't been a lot of I-AA's beating IA's recently, and especially not a lot once you get rid of the games versus the Sun Belt (which is really only psuedo IA anyway - easy way to pad the stats).

Lehigh Football Nation
August 4th, 2006, 12:23 PM
Cincinnati 30 Eastern Kentucky 7
Duke 28 Richmond 6
Illinois 37 Eastern Illinois 13
Kansas 36 Northwestern State 3
Kansas State 47 Illinois State 3
Oklahoma State 44 Missouri State 8
UNLV 31 Idaho State 3

Can I get these bets in before Congress bans internet gambling for good? :D

I *really* like Richmond in that Duke game, followed very closely by EKU over Cincy and ISU over UNLV. Cincy, UNLV and Duke are horrid teams that will struggle against these three very good I-AA schools (er, CS schools).

Mr. C
August 4th, 2006, 12:40 PM
I'd like to be optimistic, but I can't see a I-AA team winning any of those games. I think the Appy St game and certainly the Richmond game scores are a little too lopsided, but on the whole the rest are pretty accurate. As much as we'd like to think otherwise, there haven't been a lot of I-AA's beating IA's recently, and especially not a lot once you get rid of the games versus the Sun Belt (which is really only psuedo IA anyway - easy way to pad the stats).
I-AA wins several games a year against I-A teams in a given year. And there are always several near misses. I can think of three games, Cincinnati against Western Carolina, Indiana against Nicholls State and whoever played Kentucky, where the I-As were downright lucky to win.

kmax
August 4th, 2006, 12:51 PM
*Colorado 41 Montana State 3
Not that I think MSU will win this, or even that we will put a bunch of points on the board with all of the questions on the offensive side, but I just don't see CU putting up 41 points in this game. They have a ton of questions on offense as well and in their first game in the re-engineered Hawkins offense I just don't think things will be clicking that well yet. I see this one as more of a defensive games with both O's struggling to find themselves.

Hansel
August 4th, 2006, 12:58 PM
does Idaho St lose alot? If not I could see them beating or hanging with UNLV

Retro
August 4th, 2006, 02:43 PM
I-AA wins several games a year against I-A teams in a given year. And there are always several near misses. I can think of three games, Cincinnati against Western Carolina, Indiana against Nicholls State and whoever played Kentucky, where the I-As were downright lucky to win.


Remember Furman at Pittsburgh 2 years ago.. It went into OT!

Maroons
August 4th, 2006, 02:48 PM
I can think of three games, Cincinnati against Western Carolina, Indiana against Nicholls State and whoever played Kentucky, where the I-As were downright lucky to win.

Kentucky 41-Idaho State 29

Kentucky took the lead on a 99 yard kickoff return to avoid the "potentially embarassing" defeat. Idaho State went on to be... what? 5-6 and 3-4 in the Big Sky?

The bottom of I-A football is not good football.

Maroons
August 4th, 2006, 02:49 PM
I'd like to be optimistic, but I can't see a I-AA team winning any of those games. I think the Appy St game and certainly the Richmond game scores are a little too lopsided, but on the whole the rest are pretty accurate. As much as we'd like to think otherwise, there haven't been a lot of I-AA's beating IA's recently, and especially not a lot once you get rid of the games versus the Sun Belt (which is really only psuedo IA anyway - easy way to pad the stats).

UC-Davis punched Stanford in the mouth 20-17 last season. I'm sure there were other I-AA wins over I-A schools.

lucchesicourt
August 4th, 2006, 05:18 PM
Right 20-17, and the game wasn't even that close. Stanford is lucky they only lost by 3. UCD could easily have won this game by 10-14 points, and at Stanford. Stanford scoed 2 defensive TD's, and UCD missed on 3 other scroring opportunities.

BaylorTitan
August 4th, 2006, 05:27 PM
That was the only 1-AA over 1-A last year. I see 1 or 2 comming this year. Hopefully just not NSU over Baylor.

*****
August 4th, 2006, 05:29 PM
That was the only 1-AA over 1-A last year. I see 1 or 2 comming this year. Hopefully just not NSU over Baylor.Now that you mention it:
9/1/05 Northwestern St 27 @ LA Monroe 23 xcoffeex

BaylorTitan
August 4th, 2006, 05:31 PM
Now that you mention it:
9/1/05 Northwestern St 27 @ LA Monroe 23 xcoffeex

Baylor is no UL-Monroe though, but I think it'll be a good game. I think they have a better chance @ Kansas.

GeauxLions94
August 4th, 2006, 05:45 PM
http://www.sportsline.com/collegefootball/story/8820391

*New Mexico State 26 Southeastern Louisiana 9

Yeah, New Mexico State will only give up nine points :rolleyes:

TxState_GO_CATS!
August 4th, 2006, 08:09 PM
Yeah, New Mexico State will only give up nine points :rolleyes:

more like...

SELA 31
NMSt. 28

TheValleyRaider
August 4th, 2006, 08:23 PM
*Central Florida 32 Villanova 6 - Nova will make this one tougher than UCF (or some of us :eek: ) think it should be
*Cincinnati 30 Eastern Kentucky 7 - I could see EKU getting an upset here
*Duke 28 Richmond 6 - I know everybody's picking this as their upset, but I'm not sold yet on Richmond's O without Tutt. And as much as I hate Dook, they'll pull this one out
*Iowa 35 Montana 10 - If Swogger works out as well as some Griz fans think, UM could push Iowa a lot harder than people expect. Scoring early takes the crowd out of the game, and we know Montana has a good D
*Kansas 36 Northwestern State 3 - NWSt pwns I-A :cool:
*Maryland 33 William & Mary 7 - Like Marshall last year: close, but not close enough
*New Mexico State 26 Southeastern Louisiana 9 - Here's my upset pick
*UNLV 31 Idaho State 3 - I can see the Bengals winning one for I-AA here as well

For upsets that week, I'll say Northwestern State, Southeastern Louisiana, and one of Idaho State/Eastern Kentucky/Montana :eek: (in that order of possibility)

IaaScribe
August 4th, 2006, 09:56 PM
Last year was the first real "dry" year for I-AAs against I-As in awhile ... 2-50 with the only wins being UC Davis and Northwestern State.

Three of the six wins in 2004 came against Florida International, so I'm going to tend to discount those a bit since FIU was just barely out of I-AA.

10-54 in '03; 7-52 in '02 ... definitely some precedent.

The only legitimate shot I see in this first week is the Duke-Richmond game. Nothing against App, I just think NC State plays at a much higher level than someone like Duke. That's just a tough draw. We'll see, though.

Oh, and if Virginia Tech wanted to, it could hang 120 on Northeastern. That may be one of the biggest mismatches I've ever seen.

Go Lehigh TU Owl
August 4th, 2006, 11:39 PM
*Central Florida 32 Villanova 6 - Nova will make this one tougher than UCF (or some of us :eek: ) think it should be
*Cincinnati 30 Eastern Kentucky 7 - I could see EKU getting an upset here
*Duke 28 Richmond 6 - I know everybody's picking this as their upset, but I'm not sold yet on Richmond's O without Tutt. And as much as I hate Dook, they'll pull this one out
*Iowa 35 Montana 10 - If Swogger works out as well as some Griz fans think, UM could push Iowa a lot harder than people expect. Scoring early takes the crowd out of the game, and we know Montana has a good D
*Kansas 36 Northwestern State 3 - NWSt pwns I-A :cool:
*Maryland 33 William & Mary 7 - Like Marshall last year: close, but not close enough
*New Mexico State 26 Southeastern Louisiana 9 - Here's my upset pick
*UNLV 31 Idaho State 3 - I can see the Bengals winning one for I-AA here as well

For upsets that week, I'll say Northwestern State, Southeastern Louisiana, and one of Idaho State/Eastern Kentucky/Montana :eek: (in that order of possibility)

I think you're 1-AA homerness is getting in the way of logic.
-Cincy while not being world beaters returns just about everyone from last year. A lot of these guys were pretty good recruits from 2004, the move to the Big East gave them a boost. Also when was the last team EKU was a Top 25 1-AA team?? EKU has not done enough in 1-AA in a mediocre conference at best to suggest they could possibly beat Cincy.
-I can't anyway that the Montana Iowa game is close, barring a Tate broken leg. Kirk Ferentz is too good of a coach to let his team sleepwalk against Montana. I'm sure football players from the midwest are also pretty familiar with Griz football. I can't see anyway Montana gets closer than 24.
-Kansas will beat Nw St. by 20+. The Jayhawks have gotten better under Mangino, especially defensively. It would take a very very good 1-AA team to beat a top 50 Kansas team.

TheValleyRaider
August 5th, 2006, 08:16 AM
I think you're 1-AA homerness is getting in the way of logic.

What are you trying to say? :smiley_wi :D