Nova09
September 28th, 2012, 12:07 PM
I started talking about Massey Ratings in the Sagarin thread, but he really deserves his own thread. Also this thread isn't about the ranking but the predictions his system comes up with for this weeks games (based on his ranking, obviously).
http://masseyratings.com/pred.php?s=181623&sub=11605&dt=20120928
I particularly like to look at the percent chance he gives each team to win the game. Like all computer systems, these will become more accurate as the season goes on and there is more data. Some games that stood out to me for any reason from big game to high/low spread:
NDST 64% over UNI
SIU 54% over Ind St
Army 83% over SB (a lot of ppl, including me, giving SB a fighting chance)
Albany 84% over Monmouth (winning big could ultimately affect Albany seeding)
Delaware 67% over UNH
EWU 69% over Montana
UND 53% over Cal Poly
and the big one
SUU 59% over Mont St
http://masseyratings.com/pred.php?s=181623&sub=11605&dt=20120928
I particularly like to look at the percent chance he gives each team to win the game. Like all computer systems, these will become more accurate as the season goes on and there is more data. Some games that stood out to me for any reason from big game to high/low spread:
NDST 64% over UNI
SIU 54% over Ind St
Army 83% over SB (a lot of ppl, including me, giving SB a fighting chance)
Albany 84% over Monmouth (winning big could ultimately affect Albany seeding)
Delaware 67% over UNH
EWU 69% over Montana
UND 53% over Cal Poly
and the big one
SUU 59% over Mont St